MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s4
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8746
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2674
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000224823 | -30.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000202913 | -35.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000251301 | -30.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000220721 | -38.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000266937 | -36.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000253809 | -41.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000236312 | -48.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000191069 | -57.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000171693 | -62.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000212076 | -62.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000268477 | -59.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000254829 | -63.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000307178 | -0.91% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.00031353 | -1.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000315219 | -1.25% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000384449 | -3.33% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000389531 | -3.20% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000385643 | -3.20% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000428337 | -4.39% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000467321 | -5.25% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000461729 | -5.03% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000447903 | -4.68% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000444198 | -4.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000473602 | -5.53% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000506362 | -6.63% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000485946 | -6.67% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000505314 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000510491 | -7.37% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000474077 | -6.90% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000462263 | -7.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.00045732 | -8.43% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000493355 | -10.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000484645 | -10.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.00045415 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000459042 | -9.99% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000452896 | -9.69% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000465674 | -10.72% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000476665 | -11.37% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000446969 | -8.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000463373 | -9.88% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000479253 | -10.24% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000446365 | -8.12% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.0005071 | -11.04% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.3468 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000514011 | -12.91% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.2455 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000532268 | -14.14% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.2228 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000534853 | -15.17% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.0817 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000522512 | -15.87% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000560572 | -15.69% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.2018 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000535015 | -14.85% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000660632 | -20.19% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000576207 | -15.26% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.00060325 | -15.04% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.1853 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000510264 | -13.68% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000554779 | -14.39% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1105 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000500068 | -15.33% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.1305 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000574234 | -16.75% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0649 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000605125 | -19.91% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.2110 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000627541 | -20.56% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.1949 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000631059 | -21.22% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.1500 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000622696 | -24.06% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.3147 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000472645 | -30.49% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.5109 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000415824 | -35.40% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.6939 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000428385 | -37.92% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.5527 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000442731 | -40.17% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.6083 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000343834 | -51.57% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.8895 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.00044378 | -45.21% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.6724 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000513015 | -42.36% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.4688 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000696911 | -36.06% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.2433 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001051 | -25.50% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.1849 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.000926453 | -32.38% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.0521 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001124 | -27.49% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.2059 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001115 | -28.95% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.1004 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.000942002 | -35.92% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.1348 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001062 | -33.63% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.1839 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.000756038 | -47.50% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.1852 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.000544016 | -59.40% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.4502 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.000887997 | -49.55% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.000496768 | -64.77% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.6699 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.000719622 | -58.16% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.3748 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001011 | -50.69% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.0689 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.001313 | -45.28% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.001417 | -43.34% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.001215 | -48.09% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.1455 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.00164 | -39.71% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.3151 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002047 | -33.96% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 0.7809 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003087 | -24.89% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.0917 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.003448 | -24.89% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.2609 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.003854 | -23.23% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.3626 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.005194 | -18.72% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.6405 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.004957 | -25.23% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.5634 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.002694 | -44.79% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.2207 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.002871 | -43.92% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.3342 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.005389 | -26.18% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.8368 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.007907 | -16.33% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 2.1657 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.009546 | -12.50% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.5281 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012126 | -11.62% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.6191 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.008977 | -13.43% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.3137 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.011705 | -11.06% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.4738 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.014916 | -11.11% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.3970 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.014252 | -10.98% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.4282 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.017495 | -12.13% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.4768 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.01802 | -12.74% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.5646 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.015896 | -11.49% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.4313 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.019821 | -13.14% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.5048 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.022402 | -15.27% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.5710 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.019585 | -14.40% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.6650 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.017527 | -13.41% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.3971 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.01767 | -15.29% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.5140 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.014349 | -13.03% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.2305 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.01151 | -10.43% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.9391 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.011441 | -10.69% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.8657 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.011815 | -11.10% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.8568 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.010039 | -10.37% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.6771 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.013511 | -13.00% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.6732 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.010821 | -11.44% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.3355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.007148 | -9.52% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.6439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.008175 | -9.77% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.6311 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.00902 | -9.53% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.6387 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.009084 | -9.16% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.4416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007671 | -8.68% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.2559 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.006885 | -8.45% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.3935 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006136 | -10.03% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.2157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.006972 | -8.99% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.010354 | -7.39% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.1301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012865 | -6.23% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.1051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.014853 | -7.69% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.011584 | -6.43% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009948 | -7.38% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.3503 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.009009 | -8.35% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.6926 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.010205 | -7.15% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.5066 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.011026 | -7.19% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.6573 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.008462 | -9.88% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 0.9356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008372 | -10.55% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.7870 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.010573 | -8.30% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.8121 | ✗ | 1.00 |