MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s4

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1708

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1292

actual -1.3000

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001688	-12.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001592	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.0017	-12.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001588	-11.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001792	-14.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.00195	-17.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.00198	-18.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.001913	-15.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001787	-12.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.001883	-12.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001657	-9.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001668	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001692	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.001896	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002116	-12.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002087	-12.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002423	-15.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002063	-11.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001611	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001602	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001629	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002237	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.002797	-9.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003212	-11.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003245	-11.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.003901	-14.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.00418	-15.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.003889	-13.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.003977	-13.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004149	-14.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004519	-15.50%	0.001936	-63.80%	0.8016	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.003996	-10.49%	0.0018	-59.70%	0.8196	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.003884	-9.02%	0.001942	-54.51%	0.7005	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.004992	-10.91%	0.001786	-68.12%	1.0417	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005008	-9.10%	0.002094	-61.99%	0.9358	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.00408	-6.07%	0.002361	-45.64%	0.6148	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005473	-7.58%	0.002423	-59.08%	0.8978	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.007637	-10.65%	0.002253	-73.64%	1.2632	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005861	-6.76%	0.002043	-67.50%	1.1328	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007716	-8.18%	0.002155	-74.36%	1.3321	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005618	-11.69%	0.001829	-71.24%	1.2024	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.007689	-9.03%	0.001829	-78.36%	1.5161	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.008949	-14.65%	0.001849	-82.37%	1.6302	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.015448	-13.48%	0.002105	-88.21%	2.0337	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.011809	-34.41%	0.002412	-86.60%	1.6399	✓	1.00