MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s4

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

72.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0822

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0120

actual -0.0431

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.045153	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.045136	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042625	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043295	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043106	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044502	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045973	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044692	-1.75%	0.04613	+1.41%	0.0074	✓	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044913	-1.74%	0.04599	+0.61%	0.0224	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.04368	-1.64%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0043	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042914	-1.71%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0243	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045748	-2.10%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0114	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042225	-1.87%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0978	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040658	-1.96%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1604	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040185	-2.02%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1161	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043334	-2.28%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0836	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045126	-2.41%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0262	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048766	-2.55%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0405	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047868	-2.62%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0245	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048608	-2.74%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0896	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044946	-2.97%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0459	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048218	-3.82%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1063	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040588	-2.83%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0933	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040796	-2.82%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0926	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041038	-2.77%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1595	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042701	-2.73%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1063	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043658	-2.61%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1296	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045334	-2.56%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0144	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043837	-2.39%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1263	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042623	-2.31%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0059	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045468	-2.31%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0353	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044285	-2.19%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0080	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042073	-2.13%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0200	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041514	-2.05%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0167	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040135	-1.82%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0880	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.03514	-0.42%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1050	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034575	+0.16%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0908	✓	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034271	+0.56%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1383	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035923	+0.60%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1018	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035807	+0.95%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1121	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037408	+0.90%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0616	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.038024	+1.06%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0141	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037384	+1.41%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0543	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.039313	+1.73%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0927	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042463	+0.76%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1689	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040934	+1.90%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1200	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.04061	+2.60%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0698	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.04108	+2.32%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0553	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039612	+2.65%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0049	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041081	+2.52%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0193	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037004	+0.86%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0248	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037566	+0.34%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0949	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038052	+0.30%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0446	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036513	-0.50%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0339	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038189	-0.58%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0226	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037108	-0.81%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0074	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039012	-0.30%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0100	✗	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039251	-0.65%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0372	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038612	-0.74%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0108	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.039911	-0.69%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0434	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.04237	-1.14%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1426	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.039795	-1.11%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0568	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.041958	-1.23%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1060	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036982	-2.19%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0703	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034069	-2.35%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0271	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031439	-1.91%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0467	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031563	-1.98%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0301	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030986	-1.79%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0381	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030708	-1.67%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0012	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030646	-1.62%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0317	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032059	-1.82%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0271	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032593	-1.89%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0536	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032534	-1.83%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0395	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035586	-2.24%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1121	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035161	-2.28%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0639	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035344	-2.27%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0820	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034529	-2.13%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0608	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034813	-2.07%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0453	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035306	-2.12%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0344	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035142	-1.95%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0470	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035962	-1.98%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0021	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035833	-1.85%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0261	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035883	-1.69%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0405	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035955	-1.60%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0653	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036371	-1.70%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0127	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035859	-1.47%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0092	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038831	-1.87%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0845	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039013	-1.78%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0565	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042437	-1.88%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1120	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041773	-1.77%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1027	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042723	-1.76%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1297	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042483	-1.58%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1313	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043081	-1.39%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1224	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042777	-1.35%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0216	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042197	-1.36%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0281	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043407	-1.46%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0177	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043867	-1.38%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0203	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042742	-1.29%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0133	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045467	-1.37%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0794	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047382	-1.34%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1100	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048374	-1.36%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1414	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046588	-1.42%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1497	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045478	-1.34%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0532	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046095	-1.25%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0588	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046873	-1.17%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0740	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047434	-1.10%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0423	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046843	-1.03%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0322	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049755	-1.12%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0521	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048885	-1.06%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0065	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050759	-1.09%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1000	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051798	-1.19%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1201	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050458	-1.12%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0993	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049036	-1.08%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0617	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044793	-0.77%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0042	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044903	-0.72%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0043	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047631	-0.95%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0488	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.04533	-0.79%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0343	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046838	-0.87%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0438	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046331	-0.81%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0416	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04616	-0.75%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0321	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050174	-1.02%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0838	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054781	-1.31%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1063	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055053	-1.38%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0568	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055662	-1.45%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1182	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053929	-1.41%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0400	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056103	-1.64%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1064	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060865	-2.10%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1952	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056123	-1.73%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0147	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056363	-1.96%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0593	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058811	-2.44%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0051	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060927	-3.09%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0134	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060829	-3.00%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1009	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046237	-0.89%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2113	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045741	-0.76%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3213	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042512	-0.02%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2387	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047013	-0.42%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1276	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049737	-0.72%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1334	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048377	-0.21%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2181	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045127	+1.18%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2739	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.04672	+1.32%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0403	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050851	+0.56%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0949	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054474	+0.34%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2104	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054768	+0.38%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0629	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058881	-0.42%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0029	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060635	-0.55%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0094	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062711	-0.55%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0423	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061669	+0.07%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1067	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.06347	+0.11%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0856	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067374	-0.23%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0671	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067613	-0.13%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0856	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073284	-0.85%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1347	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.07666	-0.93%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1838	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079389	-0.95%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1920	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079815	-0.63%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2307	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085687	-1.51%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2478	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.08093	-0.83%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1394	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.08061	-0.63%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1622	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085091	-1.06%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1448	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088603	-1.49%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1298	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.09107	-1.79%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1089	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098115	-2.14%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1533	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.10288	-2.37%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1231	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.100737	-2.55%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1875	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107027	-2.50%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2299	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.115877	-2.27%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2379	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124275	-2.08%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2633	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.122701	-2.24%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2479	✓	1.00