MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s4

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0332

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0004

actual -0.0071

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042803	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043283	-0.17%	0.04289	-1.07%	0.0046	✓	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043974	-0.17%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0348	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043762	-0.17%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0097	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.045193	-0.20%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0423	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046716	-0.26%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0289	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.045363	-0.28%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0437	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.04557	-0.31%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0123	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.04429	-0.27%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0614	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043535	-0.29%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0065	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046503	-0.49%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0267	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042895	-0.31%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0719	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041367	-0.25%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0328	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040935	-0.20%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0025	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.04423	-0.26%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0475	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.046112	-0.28%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0000	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049842	-0.40%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0714	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.04897	-0.38%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0345	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049757	-0.44%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0426	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.046129	-0.41%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0759	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049628	-1.01%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0630	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041651	-0.28%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1637	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041873	-0.25%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0010	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.042107	-0.23%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0061	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043789	-0.25%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0196	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044722	-0.24%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0193	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046408	-0.25%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0402	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044834	-0.17%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0421	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043592	-0.09%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0297	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046484	-0.13%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0319	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045208	-0.15%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0361	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042966	-0.05%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0493	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042351	-0.08%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0164	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040838	-0.10%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0304	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035375	+0.24%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0639	✓	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034634	+0.33%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0151	✓	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034201	+0.35%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0001	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035882	+0.48%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0088	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035636	+0.47%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0207	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037237	+0.44%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0410	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037784	+0.42%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0198	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037015	+0.41%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0045	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038846	+0.52%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0220	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.04228	+0.32%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0870	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040378	+0.52%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0544	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039832	+0.64%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0312	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040369	+0.55%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0289	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038823	+0.60%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0307	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040273	+0.51%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0134	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036775	+0.23%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0118	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037478	+0.10%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0195	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037985	+0.12%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0069	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036709	+0.04%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0171	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.03843	+0.05%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0363	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037443	+0.09%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0186	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039198	+0.17%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0046	✗	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039556	+0.12%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0324	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038951	+0.13%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0054	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040227	+0.09%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0257	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042815	-0.11%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0860	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040221	-0.05%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0513	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042296	-0.43%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0270	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037726	-0.22%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0248	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034865	-0.07%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0115	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.032061	+0.04%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0078	✗	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.032204	+0.01%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0090	✗	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031562	+0.04%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0147	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031248	+0.06%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0135	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031172	+0.07%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0009	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032668	+0.04%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0379	✗	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033232	+0.04%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0178	✗	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.033156	+0.05%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0045	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036382	-0.05%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0851	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035956	-0.07%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0328	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.036136	-0.08%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0030	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035261	-0.05%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0249	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035529	-0.06%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0208	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.036036	-0.09%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0062	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035813	-0.07%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0051	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.03665	-0.11%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0355	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036468	-0.11%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0068	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036462	-0.10%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0154	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036502	-0.10%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0014	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.03694	-0.16%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0318	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036363	-0.09%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0002	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039494	-0.19%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0828	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039656	-0.16%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0054	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043151	-0.23%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0485	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042442	-0.20%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0027	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.0434	-0.21%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0248	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.043092	-0.17%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0296	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043638	-0.12%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0108	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043327	-0.08%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0173	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.04275	-0.07%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0130	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.044017	-0.08%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0398	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044454	-0.06%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0067	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043287	-0.03%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0079	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.046077	-0.05%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0648	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.048013	-0.02%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0204	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.049034	-0.01%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0150	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047242	-0.04%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0223	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.04611	+0.03%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0586	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046718	+0.08%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0127	✗	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047496	+0.14%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0092	✗	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.048039	+0.16%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0347	✗	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047419	+0.19%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0105	✗	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050409	+0.18%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0380	✗	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049518	+0.22%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0317	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051418	+0.19%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0495	✗	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052503	+0.16%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0345	✗	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.051111	+0.16%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0120	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049644	+0.15%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0032	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045241	+0.22%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0572	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045336	+0.24%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0381	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.048178	+0.18%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0250	✗	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045798	+0.24%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0334	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.04735	+0.21%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0253	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046822	+0.24%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0106	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046635	+0.27%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0050	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050811	+0.24%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0609	✗	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055619	+0.20%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0591	✗	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055943	+0.21%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0187	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056587	+0.19%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0281	✗	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.05483	+0.24%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0503	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.057153	+0.20%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0599	✗	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.062207	+0.06%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.1002	✗	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.057221	+0.19%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1218	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057605	+0.20%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0203	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.060359	+0.13%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0327	✗	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.062834	-0.06%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0556	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.062564	-0.23%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0274	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046853	+0.43%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2728	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046297	+0.45%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0081	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042761	+0.57%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0348	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047431	+0.47%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.1047	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050291	+0.38%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0371	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048705	+0.46%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0327	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044908	+0.69%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0385	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046434	+0.70%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0374	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.05085	+0.55%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0579	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054555	+0.49%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0725	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054826	+0.49%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0344	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059303	+0.29%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0069	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.061109	+0.23%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0154	✓	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.063188	+0.20%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0316	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061837	+0.34%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0141	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063621	+0.35%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0299	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067716	+0.28%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0550	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067907	+0.31%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073989	+0.10%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0702	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077441	+0.08%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0501	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.080185	+0.04%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0399	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080448	+0.16%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0196	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086698	-0.35%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0489	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081648	+0.05%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0626	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.081293	+0.21%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0054	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.086033	+0.04%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0565	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089887	-0.06%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092612	-0.13%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099934	-0.32%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0627	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.104928	-0.43%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.103056	-0.30%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109396	-0.34%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.118143	-0.36%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126439	-0.38%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0585	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.125015	-0.39%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0038	✓	1.00