MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s4

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

136

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1838

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0183

actual -0.1624

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.041068	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041706	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042222	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042091	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043294	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044669	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043494	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043463	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042382	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041486	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044379	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.04082	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.03938	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038967	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.042049	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043918	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.047268	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.046472	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.047114	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043977	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047234	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.03961	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039861	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040198	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.041827	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.042755	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044538	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043285	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042444	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045768	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044993	-0.62%	0.04289	-5.27%	0.0222	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042162	-1.93%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0061	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041779	-1.43%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0413	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040435	-1.09%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0595	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034612	-1.92%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1793	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034002	-1.50%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2263	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033566	-1.51%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.1980	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035545	-0.46%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.1977	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035167	-0.86%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1324	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.03676	-0.85%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1008	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.03732	-0.81%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1238	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036529	-0.91%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0553	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038801	+0.40%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0048	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042224	+0.19%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0847	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040565	+0.98%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0163	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040313	+1.85%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0460	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.04078	+1.57%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1012	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.03938	+2.05%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.0998	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041077	+2.51%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1339	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036562	-0.35%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1045	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037154	-0.76%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1625	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037872	-0.18%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0101	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036444	-0.68%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0390	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.03846	+0.13%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0049	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037729	+0.85%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0403	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040438	+3.34%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0344	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040772	+3.19%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0464	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.040428	+3.93%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0054	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.042257	+5.14%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0584	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.044822	+4.58%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.1096	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.042382	+5.32%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0984	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.045448	+6.99%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.1052	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.03841	+1.59%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0442	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034404	-1.39%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0337	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031521	-1.65%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.1090	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031631	-1.77%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1354	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030982	-1.80%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1533	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030644	-1.88%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1380	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030557	-1.90%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.1191	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031943	-2.18%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.1204	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032456	-2.30%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.1220	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032369	-2.33%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1248	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035222	-3.24%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1856	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034729	-3.48%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0748	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.034779	-3.83%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1354	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033993	-3.65%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1484	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034211	-3.77%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1478	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034556	-4.20%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1880	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034337	-4.19%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1851	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035067	-4.42%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2372	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034829	-4.60%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2118	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034807	-4.64%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2365	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034778	-4.82%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2504	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.035108	-5.11%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1823	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034647	-4.80%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1933	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037548	-5.11%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2735	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037714	-5.05%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2498	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041119	-4.93%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3026	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.040473	-4.82%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2825	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.04146	-4.67%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2258	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.041475	-3.92%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2605	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042462	-2.81%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2326	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042374	-2.27%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2422	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041705	-2.51%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2621	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042867	-2.68%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2908	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043439	-2.34%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2925	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042217	-2.50%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2683	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045024	-2.33%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3494	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047224	-1.67%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3785	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048557	-0.99%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3632	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.04645	-1.71%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3606	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045627	-1.01%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.3150	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046516	-0.35%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2484	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047664	+0.49%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2974	✗	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.048297	+0.70%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.3290	✗	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047704	+0.79%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3627	✗	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050865	+1.08%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3797	✗	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.050252	+1.70%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3453	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.052112	+1.54%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3851	✗	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.053201	+1.49%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3805	✗	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.051777	+1.46%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3722	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.050129	+1.13%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3473	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045476	+0.75%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2825	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045442	+0.47%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3455	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.04838	+0.60%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3679	✗	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045918	+0.50%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2442	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047398	+0.31%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2584	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046913	+0.43%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1954	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046777	+0.57%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1940	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.051124	+0.86%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2261	✗	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.05591	+0.72%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.3059	✗	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.056356	+0.95%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2968	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056796	+0.56%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3353	✗	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.055267	+1.04%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2765	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.05738	+0.60%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2901	✗	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061856	-0.51%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3725	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.057371	+0.46%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2678	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057876	+0.67%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1816	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.060565	+0.47%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1938	✗	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.063194	+0.52%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.2357	✗	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.063163	+0.72%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.2338	✗	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.047803	+2.47%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0406	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.047119	+2.23%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0137	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.043457	+2.20%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0369	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047778	+1.20%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0246	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050325	+0.45%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0458	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048552	+0.15%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0354	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044666	+0.15%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0523	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.045994	-0.25%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0701	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.049964	-1.20%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0582	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.053133	-2.13%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0187	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.053087	-2.70%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0207	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.056457	-4.52%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0081	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.057536	-5.63%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1141	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.059168	-6.17%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1088	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.057959	-5.95%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0279	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.059455	-6.22%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0256	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.062852	-6.93%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.062886	-7.11%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0626	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.068074	-7.90%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.071189	-8.00%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.073703	-8.04%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0967	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.074056	-7.80%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0944	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.079315	-8.83%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1830	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.074896	-8.22%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0730	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.074755	-7.85%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0152	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.079296	-7.80%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1510	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.082982	-7.74%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2018	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.085799	-7.47%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1888	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.092829	-7.41%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2047	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.097997	-7.01%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2166	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.096115	-7.02%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5014	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.102517	-6.61%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5634	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.111423	-6.03%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6781	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.119969	-5.48%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6455	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.118117	-5.89%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6116	✓	1.00