LONGXIA

? · · gru_s4

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +7d

assessed

41

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

58.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6057

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0506

actual -0.1736

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.021444	+1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.021788	+2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021965	+3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.021366	+4.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021958	+5.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.028179	+2.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029799	+2.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030709	+2.38%	0.02106	-29.79%	0.4131	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.030482	+2.89%	0.021215	-28.39%	0.4048	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.046495	-4.37%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7838	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039984	-0.77%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6760	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043232	-1.77%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7144	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045561	-1.53%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4934	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045681	-0.69%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4426	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051152	-1.56%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5378	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041847	+1.67%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.3233	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.062274	-5.87%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2404	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045954	+1.13%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.1151	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.045983	+1.53%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0325	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.050825	+1.76%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0833	✗	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.040044	+2.18%	0.046	+17.38%	0.1495	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.096455	-12.45%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6158	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.036624	+2.02%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.1135	✓	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.070162	+1.72%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0350	✗	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.070903	+0.97%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.4164	✗	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.086684	-1.21%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.6182	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.100869	-2.82%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6979	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.123005	-5.51%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1487	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.094493	-8.65%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1481	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.149237	-11.23%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4150	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.112644	-19.23%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.4603	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.203513	-13.13%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0271	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.20593	-13.59%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.8929	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.194135	-14.23%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.6645	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.190194	-14.42%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4182	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.198372	-14.01%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.7512	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.183559	-13.86%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.1905	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.169496	-13.52%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3264	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.14178	-11.98%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.4000	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.129618	-10.44%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5537	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.133244	-13.81%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4797	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.067322	-4.53%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1479	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.040577	+6.53%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.7403	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.05069	+3.12%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.4637	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058597	-0.41%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2446	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054218	-0.61%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1006	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.072371	-2.33%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7380	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.086273	-1.67%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6159	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.