LONGXIA

? · · gru_s4

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

58.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2360

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0092

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.022085	+0.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021428	+1.10%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0253	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.02063	+1.35%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0092	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021172	+1.40%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0366	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027713	+0.92%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2941	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029343	+0.89%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0642	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.03026	+0.88%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0287	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029929	+1.03%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0075	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048212	-0.84%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4698	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.04038	+0.21%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1730	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043999	-0.03%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0724	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.046284	+0.03%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0568	✗	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.046106	+0.23%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0005	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051916	-0.08%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1290	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041487	+0.79%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2455	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.064974	-1.79%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4499	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045703	+0.58%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3707	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.045598	+0.68%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0005	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.05028	+0.67%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.1145	✗	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03951	+0.82%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2331	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.103632	-5.94%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9721	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.036164	+0.74%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1287	✓	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.0694	+0.62%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6602	✗	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.070594	+0.53%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0209	✗	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.087723	-0.03%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2380	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.103323	-0.46%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1627	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128365	-1.39%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2163	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.101718	-1.66%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2501	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.163919	-2.50%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4605	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.133759	-4.09%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2500	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.227921	-2.72%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4866	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.231361	-2.91%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.219416	-3.06%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0835	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.215321	-3.11%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0455	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.222808	-3.42%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0601	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.205632	-3.50%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1123	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.188434	-3.86%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1156	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.155932	-3.20%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2624	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.139989	-3.27%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1226	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.143608	-7.10%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069179	-1.90%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.8034	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038675	+1.54%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.5920	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049578	+0.86%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2410	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058912	+0.12%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1790	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054618	+0.12%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.07391	-0.26%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2881	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087554	-0.21%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1732	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.