LONGXIA

? · · gru_s4

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +30d

assessed

18

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

94.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.2052

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1503

actual -1.3308

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.01779	-15.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.018024	-15.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.018169	-14.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.017633	-13.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.018154	-13.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.024005	-12.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.025612	-11.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.026583	-11.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.026393	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.041765	-14.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.035414	-12.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.038427	-12.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.040561	-12.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.040433	-12.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.044913	-13.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.035563	-13.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.053972	-18.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.036735	-19.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.033838	-25.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.037751	-24.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.0213	-45.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.085031	-22.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.013886	-61.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.048694	-29.40%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.044214	-37.04%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.062545	-28.72%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.079038	-23.86%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.10546	-18.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.072018	-30.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.138794	-17.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.1125	-19.33%	0.02106	-84.90%	1.6523	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.196101	-16.30%	0.021215	-90.94%	2.1938	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.194188	-18.51%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2367	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.183978	-18.71%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.2089	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.18037	-18.84%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.1701	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.183409	-20.50%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.9628	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.170597	-19.94%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8370	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.157631	-19.57%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7422	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.134858	-16.28%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5581	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.122672	-15.24%	0.04862	-66.40%	1.0043	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.127762	-17.35%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.2103	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.06553	-7.08%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4786	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.034182	-10.26%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.2228	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.04525	-7.95%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.054957	-6.60%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.0966	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.049676	-8.94%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.2396	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.071488	-3.53%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1402	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.085361	-2.71%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7020	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.