KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

153

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

36.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1751

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0032

actual -0.0446

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.028691	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029148	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028089	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028271	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033324	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034586	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032116	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030456	-4.58%	0.030038	-5.89%	0.0127	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027651	-4.24%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0980	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026217	-4.33%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1134	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024044	-3.96%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2096	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023984	-4.11%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3771	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.02409	-4.40%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4112	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023678	-4.61%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3530	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019983	-3.50%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4731	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021883	-3.65%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2818	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025196	-6.12%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0917	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019526	-3.92%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2577	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018636	-3.47%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2998	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.02115	-3.90%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1812	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020734	-3.50%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1896	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023229	-3.80%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1140	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025334	-4.82%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1149	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029919	-9.87%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1144	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014298	-2.62%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3361	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014588	-2.81%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2777	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013196	-2.12%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5084	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012961	-2.04%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5019	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013363	-2.03%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.5980	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013297	-1.89%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7128	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013509	-1.68%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9230	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013375	-1.01%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0630	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013695	-0.92%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0627	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013455	-0.41%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0270	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013904	+0.07%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1372	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013994	+0.31%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.1164	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013345	+1.91%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.1047	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013337	+2.48%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0692	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013605	+2.73%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0608	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014338	+2.49%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0847	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014355	+2.76%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.1038	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.014263	+2.66%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0239	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.01449	+3.74%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0113	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014694	+3.64%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0811	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015385	+3.08%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1567	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.016167	+2.73%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1594	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.016099	+2.57%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.1110	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016717	+2.13%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1551	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017185	+2.35%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1694	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017538	+0.79%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2405	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017912	+0.68%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2478	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018301	+0.87%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2103	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017848	+0.64%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1612	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.01768	+0.70%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1424	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018038	+0.71%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1246	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017994	+1.15%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0849	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017378	+0.73%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0293	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018285	+0.56%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0086	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.01884	+0.65%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0305	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020364	+0.09%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1370	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018272	+0.39%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0612	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017684	+0.75%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0217	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017207	-0.49%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1138	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016582	-1.61%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1627	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015658	-1.88%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1691	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017267	-2.23%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2443	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017381	-2.19%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1910	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017532	-2.08%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2968	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017503	-1.97%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3595	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017198	-1.64%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2380	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016996	-1.53%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1482	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018153	-1.51%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1567	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017786	-1.33%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0213	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017072	-0.98%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0937	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016867	-0.78%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1099	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.01766	-0.84%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0623	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018076	-0.90%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0106	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018342	-0.99%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0292	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018176	-1.14%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0290	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017085	-1.07%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0408	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015856	-0.96%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0455	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014713	-0.69%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0848	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015087	-0.78%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1085	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016745	-1.50%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.0978	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015248	-0.86%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1761	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014244	-0.46%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2498	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013524	+0.03%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2505	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.01705	-1.44%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0196	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013083	+0.25%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1561	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014104	-0.08%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1015	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013623	+0.06%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2284	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013099	+0.30%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2082	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013051	+0.39%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1503	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015119	-0.00%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0754	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015998	+0.02%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0624	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015655	+0.29%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1699	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016244	+0.43%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1451	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.019044	+0.12%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3675	✗	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019515	+0.13%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4355	✗	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.0209	-0.05%	0.013	-37.83%	0.5124	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020202	+0.09%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3652	✗	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020746	-0.02%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2844	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020538	+0.04%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.3008	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020946	-0.02%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2524	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020283	+0.19%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0796	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.02006	+0.33%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0919	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.021055	+0.14%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0489	✗	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022086	-0.02%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0455	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021396	+0.17%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0346	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020354	+0.39%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0082	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021293	+0.25%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0562	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022863	-0.01%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1661	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022959	+0.22%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.2001	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023889	+0.25%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2647	✗	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026622	-0.46%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2914	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026069	-0.29%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.3105	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025241	-0.13%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.3048	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026392	-0.33%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2861	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.02528	-0.00%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1485	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024196	+0.23%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0254	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025525	-0.18%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0506	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029431	-0.82%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0071	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030077	-0.80%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0363	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030085	-0.84%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0550	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027348	-0.37%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0585	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026313	+0.01%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0407	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028406	-0.54%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0771	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029164	-0.70%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0584	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029396	-0.76%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0663	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030529	-0.69%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0545	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031811	-0.61%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0420	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.03094	-0.23%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1181	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030353	+0.07%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1259	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031189	+0.53%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1680	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031683	+0.65%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1789	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032577	+0.55%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1806	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034797	+0.39%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1883	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.038075	+0.59%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.3018	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.029127	+4.06%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0193	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034893	+2.11%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1363	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.038365	+1.98%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1710	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037784	+2.70%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.042242	+1.03%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1423	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049361	-1.28%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.2032	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.062141	-7.98%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.3032	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.039891	+4.29%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1702	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.038662	+5.14%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.041026	+4.71%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.045866	+3.40%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0916	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.052348	+1.72%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1448	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.055631	+1.68%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0615	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.054848	+2.75%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2463	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.057717	+3.07%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3835	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.05532	+3.29%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3550	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.055658	+3.63%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.3094	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.06369	+2.57%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3493	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.062882	+2.81%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.2043	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.074307	+0.13%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.3006	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076027	-0.62%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3348	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.091127	-3.11%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4401	✓	1.00