KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

65.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4101

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0233

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.026751	-10.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027222	-10.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026234	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.026328	-11.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.030972	-11.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032241	-11.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030048	-10.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028479	-10.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.025943	-10.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.02458	-10.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.022591	-9.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022584	-9.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.022676	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022232	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.018849	-8.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.020716	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.02391	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018481	-9.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017589	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.019975	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019613	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.02203	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.02413	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.028235	-14.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013792	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.01411	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012745	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012529	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.012915	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.012916	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013185	-4.04%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.8533	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013	-3.78%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8363	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013283	-3.90%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7877	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013032	-3.54%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8100	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013385	-3.66%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9025	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013492	-3.29%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9294	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012646	-3.43%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9049	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012603	-3.17%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.8882	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012864	-2.87%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7317	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013555	-3.11%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6500	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013565	-2.89%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5379	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013473	-3.02%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5434	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013755	-1.53%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5546	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014014	-1.16%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5345	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014819	-0.71%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2879	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015786	+0.31%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3080	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015787	+0.59%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4664	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016527	+0.96%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1427	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017147	+2.12%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0882	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.0173	-0.57%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1490	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017796	+0.03%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0926	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.01839	+1.36%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2133	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017979	+1.37%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3150	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017899	+1.95%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5431	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018387	+2.65%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3211	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018643	+4.79%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2816	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017963	+4.12%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3664	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018978	+4.37%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4541	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019764	+5.59%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4593	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.02132	+4.79%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.6008	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.019109	+4.99%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4933	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.01875	+6.82%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3786	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017526	+1.36%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.4030	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016386	-2.77%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4310	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.01528	-4.24%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3675	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016761	-5.09%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4499	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016843	-5.22%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5543	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.01703	-4.89%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6270	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017031	-4.61%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5812	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016863	-3.56%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5280	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016702	-3.23%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4886	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017868	-3.05%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5399	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017569	-2.53%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5555	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017	-1.39%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.5055	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016877	-0.72%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4589	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017651	-0.89%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4804	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.01805	-1.04%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.5122	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018321	-1.10%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4694	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018107	-1.51%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.5159	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017064	-1.19%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3403	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015811	-1.24%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2415	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014696	-0.80%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1881	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015056	-0.98%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2129	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016718	-1.66%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2817	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015263	-0.76%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1731	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014343	+0.23%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1682	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013677	+1.16%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.1258	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.01717	-0.75%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.2212	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.01318	+1.00%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.0794	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014178	+0.45%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1041	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013699	+0.61%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0522	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013234	+1.33%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0421	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013211	+1.63%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1367	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015249	+0.85%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0060	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.016141	+0.91%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0114	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015868	+1.65%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1147	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016502	+2.02%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1004	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.019323	+1.59%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0572	✗	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019852	+1.86%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0619	✗	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.021226	+1.51%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1545	✗	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020473	+1.43%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.2005	✗	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.021031	+1.35%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.1266	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020834	+1.48%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1484	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.021232	+1.35%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.2268	✗	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020583	+1.67%	0.017	-16.03%	0.2353	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.020348	+1.77%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.2006	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.021347	+1.53%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1812	✗	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022383	+1.33%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.2043	✗	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021731	+1.74%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1789	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020638	+1.79%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1875	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021487	+1.17%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.3187	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.02291	+0.19%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4697	✗	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022968	+0.25%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4900	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023854	+0.10%	0.017	-28.66%	0.5137	✗	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026389	-1.33%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6418	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025791	-1.35%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.7073	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024945	-1.30%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.7143	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026006	-1.79%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5505	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024856	-1.68%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7656	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023844	-1.23%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.6100	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025217	-1.38%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6824	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029016	-2.22%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8536	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029611	-2.34%	0.013	-57.12%	0.9088	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029625	-2.36%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6990	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.02688	-2.08%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5495	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025869	-1.68%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5519	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027922	-2.23%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.5326	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028666	-2.40%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3652	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.028864	-2.55%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3548	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030008	-2.38%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3436	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031217	-2.46%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3794	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030329	-2.20%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3846	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029722	-2.00%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3752	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030461	-1.82%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4460	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030799	-2.16%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4594	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.031558	-2.60%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4337	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.033517	-3.30%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4669	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.036388	-3.86%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.6123	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.027406	-2.09%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3326	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032746	-4.17%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4681	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.035613	-5.34%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4928	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.034458	-6.34%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3293	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.037692	-9.85%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3245	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.043404	-13.19%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3707	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.053764	-20.38%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.4944	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.034254	-10.45%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.033131	-9.90%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03521	-10.13%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0710	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.039491	-10.98%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2070	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.045263	-12.05%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.3922	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.048172	-11.95%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4273	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.047398	-11.21%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.2871	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.049921	-10.86%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3221	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.047846	-10.66%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2670	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.048311	-10.05%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3660	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.055867	-10.03%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5535	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.055452	-9.34%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.4863	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.066707	-10.11%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6551	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.068831	-10.02%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.6790	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.083913	-10.78%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8192	✓	1.00