KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

46.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0689

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0003

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.02979	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030254	-0.81%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0071	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029135	-0.79%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0459	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.02937	-0.77%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0003	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034588	-0.89%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1552	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035833	-1.27%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0265	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.03325	-1.39%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0869	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031522	-1.24%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0680	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028581	-1.02%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1103	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.02708	-1.18%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0644	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024821	-0.86%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1010	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024723	-1.15%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0116	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.02484	-1.43%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0065	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024429	-1.58%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0299	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020571	-0.66%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1922	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022509	-0.89%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0792	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026045	-2.95%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1366	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.0201	-1.10%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2915	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019181	-0.64%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0526	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021768	-1.09%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1208	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021319	-0.78%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0328	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023868	-1.15%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1092	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.026062	-2.08%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0761	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031292	-5.74%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1623	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014605	-0.53%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8289	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014898	-0.74%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0149	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013465	-0.12%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1062	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.01322	-0.07%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0218	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013629	-0.08%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0298	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013545	-0.05%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0203	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013735	-0.03%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0104	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013526	+0.12%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0336	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013837	+0.11%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0232	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013537	+0.19%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0175	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01392	+0.19%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0802	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.01395	-0.00%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0064	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.01318	+0.65%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0501	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013116	+0.78%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0310	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013351	+0.80%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0427	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014093	+0.74%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0564	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014075	+0.77%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0067	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013995	+0.73%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0101	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014097	+0.92%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0071	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014304	+0.89%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0219	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015039	+0.77%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0515	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015843	+0.67%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0458	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015796	+0.65%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0094	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016459	+0.55%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0491	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016888	+0.58%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0170	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017449	+0.28%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0898	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017835	+0.25%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0235	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018192	+0.26%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0080	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017773	+0.21%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0087	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017599	+0.24%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0161	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017953	+0.23%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0283	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017846	+0.31%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0434	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017301	+0.28%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0078	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018228	+0.24%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0632	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018763	+0.24%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0236	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020349	+0.01%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1064	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018238	+0.21%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.0972	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017598	+0.26%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0571	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017305	+0.08%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0948	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016836	-0.10%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0537	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015934	-0.14%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0572	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017618	-0.24%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1041	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017728	-0.24%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0461	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017866	-0.22%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0006	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017821	-0.19%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0036	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017466	-0.11%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0344	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017246	-0.08%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0134	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01841	-0.11%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0616	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.018014	-0.06%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0324	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017246	+0.03%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0690	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.017014	+0.08%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0148	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017821	+0.06%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0476	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018246	+0.03%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0408	✗	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018522	-0.02%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0065	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.01837	-0.08%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0075	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017255	-0.09%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0467	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.016013	+0.02%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0765	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.01483	+0.10%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0558	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015214	+0.06%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0248	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016939	-0.36%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0562	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015377	-0.02%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0786	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014323	+0.09%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0699	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013553	+0.24%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0504	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017213	-0.50%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.2028	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013092	+0.32%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2574	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014146	+0.22%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0851	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013652	+0.27%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0539	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013105	+0.34%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0605	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013049	+0.38%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0100	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015162	+0.28%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1844	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.016039	+0.28%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0718	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015663	+0.34%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0237	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016234	+0.37%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0613	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.019077	+0.30%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1681	✗	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019549	+0.30%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0036	✗	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020965	+0.26%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0662	✗	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020243	+0.29%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0374	✗	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020805	+0.27%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0087	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020588	+0.28%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0087	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.021007	+0.27%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0138	✗	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.02031	+0.32%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0067	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.020064	+0.35%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0152	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.02109	+0.31%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0254	✗	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022149	+0.27%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0349	✗	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021427	+0.31%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0201	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020349	+0.37%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0363	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021312	+0.34%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0641	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022929	+0.28%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.1039	✗	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022985	+0.33%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0469	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023906	+0.32%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0847	✗	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026791	+0.17%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0704	✗	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026199	+0.21%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0014	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025337	+0.25%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0443	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026532	+0.20%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0467	✗	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025349	+0.27%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0355	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024221	+0.34%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0794	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025637	+0.26%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0130	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029711	+0.12%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1154	✗	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030354	+0.11%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0417	✗	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030369	+0.10%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0251	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027509	+0.21%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0791	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026388	+0.30%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0248	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028615	+0.19%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0458	✗	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.02942	+0.17%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0013	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029671	+0.17%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0057	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030798	+0.19%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0528	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.032068	+0.20%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0748	✗	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.031096	+0.28%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0066	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030436	+0.35%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0193	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.03116	+0.43%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0838	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031627	+0.47%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0127	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032553	+0.47%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0045	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034811	+0.44%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0652	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037989	+0.37%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1803	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028302	+1.12%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.2968	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034451	+0.82%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1632	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037925	+0.81%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.1006	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037165	+1.02%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.042111	+0.72%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0676	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049982	-0.04%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1473	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.065066	-3.65%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2607	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038731	+1.26%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5504	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.037299	+1.44%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03972	+1.38%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0663	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044861	+1.13%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1153	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051857	+0.76%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1376	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.055108	+0.73%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0719	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053885	+0.95%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056527	+0.94%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0731	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.054094	+1.01%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.0543	+1.10%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0147	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062618	+0.84%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1626	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061713	+0.90%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.074406	+0.26%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1899	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076572	+0.09%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0224	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093358	-0.74%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1870	✓	1.00