HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s4

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

62.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2634

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0398

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007063	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007036	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006838	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006843	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007355	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008241	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008627	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008363	-2.94%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2318	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008734	-3.33%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.2966	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008539	-3.49%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2013	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008454	-3.10%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2056	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008758	-4.01%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.0867	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010425	-5.14%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1437	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.00953	-4.76%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0237	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008172	-3.72%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0344	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010203	-6.01%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0506	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011307	-7.00%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1458	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.010981	-7.69%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0647	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.01268	-7.90%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2158	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.01364	-7.82%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1402	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012068	-7.86%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1056	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.01368	-8.23%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3464	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.010992	-6.97%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0011	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.01182	-7.78%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0476	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.01008	-6.48%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0737	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.010752	-7.85%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1660	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.012984	-9.24%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.1178	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012357	-8.83%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0417	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009431	-5.25%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4387	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008665	-3.77%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3447	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.008963	-5.30%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4665	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011519	-7.28%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0632	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010427	-4.07%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0330	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011251	-4.83%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.1006	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.014954	-7.83%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2390	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011755	-1.97%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4935	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012672	-2.46%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6765	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011438	+0.19%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.6158	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009966	+2.90%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1813	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008492	+6.10%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0361	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010458	+4.09%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0636	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012386	+2.70%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.0997	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010895	+4.59%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.0984	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.010086	+5.07%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.2809	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012455	+3.57%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0499	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.013186	+3.08%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2969	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015991	+2.00%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6471	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022317	-2.43%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7654	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018121	-1.36%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3758	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023645	-3.67%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7598	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018116	-5.34%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6477	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.01962	-6.64%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5029	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.023884	-5.46%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6311	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.02554	-5.39%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5219	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.020989	-5.32%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0658	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.012566	-12.02%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.3565	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.015356	-7.83%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.4568	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.02186	-4.33%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1110	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.018968	-3.77%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1169	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018299	-3.26%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3278	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015656	-3.06%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5456	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013332	-2.82%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4932	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.012959	-2.78%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.1035	✗	1.00