HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s4

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

52.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1391

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0071

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006789	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006933	-0.04%	0.00679	-2.08%	0.0109	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006917	+0.09%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0422	✗	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007472	-0.06%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0711	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008423	-0.29%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1450	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008853	-0.44%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0419	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008582	-0.41%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0614	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008986	-0.53%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0650	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008798	-0.57%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0913	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008688	-0.42%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0392	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009066	-0.64%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0447	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.01087	-1.09%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2080	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009916	-0.90%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0869	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.00845	-0.45%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1323	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010747	-1.00%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1702	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012009	-1.22%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0089	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.01174	-1.31%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0434	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013571	-1.43%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1018	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014569	-1.54%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1281	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012906	-1.45%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1269	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014621	-1.92%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0961	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011663	-1.28%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1935	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012594	-1.74%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0605	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.01066	-1.09%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1769	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011495	-1.48%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0238	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013982	-2.27%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1828	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013211	-2.53%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0667	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009843	-1.11%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3321	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008956	-0.53%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1052	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009385	-0.84%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0356	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012229	-1.57%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2400	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010814	-0.51%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0976	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011739	-0.70%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0737	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015877	-2.14%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3109	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011972	-0.17%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1157	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012921	-0.54%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0834	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011429	+0.11%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1042	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009759	+0.76%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2892	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.00812	+1.46%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1085	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010152	+1.04%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2154	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012132	+0.60%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1912	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010526	+1.05%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1273	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009713	+1.18%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012128	+0.85%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2317	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012892	+0.78%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0613	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015762	+0.54%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1931	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022746	-0.56%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3785	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018342	-0.16%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2188	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024369	-0.72%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2627	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018959	-0.94%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2084	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020766	-1.18%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0805	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.025003	-1.02%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1589	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026604	-1.44%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0633	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021883	-1.28%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2172	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.013949	-2.34%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4581	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016427	-1.41%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1090	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022616	-1.02%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3213	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.01954	-0.87%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1502	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018709	-1.10%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0580	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015984	-1.03%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1525	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013598	-0.88%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1633	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013163	-1.24%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0577	✗	1.00