HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s4
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3626
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1181
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.00645 | -5.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006579 | -5.13% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.00659 | -4.64% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007053 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007834 | -7.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008135 | -8.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.007868 | -8.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008171 | -9.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.007964 | -10.00% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.007897 | -9.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008113 | -11.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.009532 | -13.27% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.008733 | -12.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007541 | -11.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009197 | -15.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.010063 | -17.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.009681 | -18.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.011133 | -19.13% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.01197 | -19.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.010568 | -19.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.011934 | -19.95% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.009703 | -17.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.010327 | -19.42% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.008906 | -17.37% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.00933 | -20.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.011085 | -22.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.010638 | -21.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.008404 | -15.56% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.007801 | -13.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008027 | -15.19% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.01004 | -19.18% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.2292 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.009204 | -15.32% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.3621 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.009823 | -16.91% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.3785 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.012808 | -21.05% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.5884 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010316 | -13.97% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4084 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011044 | -14.99% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4383 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.009942 | -12.91% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4124 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.00863 | -10.90% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1210 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007361 | -8.03% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1169 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009087 | -9.55% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2500 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.010767 | -10.72% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4609 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009487 | -8.93% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0671 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.008897 | -7.32% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011081 | -7.85% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.011922 | -6.80% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014706 | -6.19% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2530 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.020967 | -8.33% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6383 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.01695 | -7.74% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.2902 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022226 | -9.45% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.016512 | -13.72% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3208 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.017716 | -15.70% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.2645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.022073 | -12.62% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.6866 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.02383 | -11.72% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.6943 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.019608 | -11.55% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6631 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.010605 | -25.75% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.013893 | -16.61% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.020934 | -8.38% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4969 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018356 | -6.87% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6841 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018147 | -4.06% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7669 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015572 | -3.58% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013259 | -3.35% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1818 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013193 | -1.02% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2293 | ✓ | 1.00 |