FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s4

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

50.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0499

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0044

actual +0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.9131	0.907151	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-21	oos	0.9062	0.900833	-0.59%	0.9131	+0.76%	0.0115	✗	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.834964	-0.26%	0.9062	+8.25%	0.0703	✗	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.893171	-0.35%	0.8371	-6.60%	0.0769	✓	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.913849	-0.38%	0.8963	-2.29%	0.0175	✓	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.8796	-0.18%	0.9173	+4.10%	0.0351	✗	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.919693	-0.25%	0.8812	-4.43%	0.0415	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.951802	-0.32%	0.922	-3.45%	0.0251	✓	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.935754	-0.21%	0.9549	+1.83%	0.0142	✗	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.997412	-0.43%	0.93775	-6.38%	0.0455	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	1.0086	-0.41%	1.0017	-1.09%	0.0213	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.983875	-0.35%	1.0128	+2.58%	0.0497	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.976908	-0.30%	0.9873	+0.77%	0.0024	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.921045	-0.13%	0.9798	+6.25%	0.0579	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.893202	-0.04%	0.9222	+3.20%	0.0228	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.991022	-0.40%	0.8936	-10.20%	0.0873	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.979061	-0.57%	0.99505	+1.05%	0.0392	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0488	-0.68%	0.9847	-6.75%	0.0610	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.1081	-0.79%	1.0559	-5.46%	0.0409	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.0772	-0.79%	1.1169	+2.87%	0.0193	✗	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0701	-0.86%	1.0857	+0.59%	0.0122	✗	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0635	-0.93%	1.0794	+0.54%	0.0181	✗	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.0765	-0.87%	1.0735	-1.15%	0.0153	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0711	-0.86%	1.0859	+0.51%	0.0146	✗	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.2389	-0.86%	1.0804	-13.54%	0.1386	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2378	-0.86%	1.2496	+0.08%	0.0183	✗	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.238	-0.84%	1.2486	+0.00%	0.0081	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2997	-1.02%	1.2486	-4.91%	0.0429	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.2051	-0.83%	1.3131	+8.06%	0.0884	✗	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2675	-0.95%	1.2151	-5.04%	0.0423	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.3152	-1.13%	1.2796	-3.80%	0.0123	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.2368	-1.06%	1.3302	+6.41%	0.0762	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.112	-0.89%	1.2501	+11.43%	0.0747	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.1993	-1.45%	1.1219	-7.81%	0.0662	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1751	-2.00%	1.217	+1.50%	0.0323	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.918624	-0.76%	1.199	+29.52%	0.2521	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.805246	-0.35%	0.9257	+14.55%	0.1388	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.805523	-0.38%	0.8081	-0.06%	0.0012	✓	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.762336	-0.13%	0.8086	+5.93%	0.0709	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.715089	+0.11%	0.7633	+6.86%	0.0595	✓	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.74565	+0.05%	0.7143	-4.16%	0.0410	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.749163	+0.08%	0.7453	-0.44%	0.0054	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.732105	+0.17%	0.7486	+2.43%	0.0195	✓	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.773822	+0.09%	0.73085	-5.47%	0.0509	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.849204	-0.18%	0.77315	-9.12%	0.0933	✓	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.881386	-0.33%	0.8507	-3.80%	0.0333	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	1.0035	-1.03%	0.8843	-12.78%	0.1234	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.880098	-0.50%	1.0139	+14.62%	0.1404	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.702218	+0.33%	0.88455	+26.38%	0.2306	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.667669	+0.43%	0.6999	+5.28%	0.0504	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.65985	+0.36%	0.6648	+1.11%	0.0058	✗	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.658464	+0.28%	0.6575	+0.14%	0.0011	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.687968	+0.18%	0.6566	-4.38%	0.0430	✗	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.67319	+0.09%	0.6867	+2.10%	0.0166	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.671525	+0.03%	0.6726	+0.19%	0.0035	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.663889	-0.00%	0.6713	+1.11%	0.0098	✗	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.675038	+0.04%	0.6639	-1.62%	0.0090	✗	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.674424	-0.01%	0.6748	+0.04%	0.0033	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.690915	-0.03%	0.6745	-2.40%	0.0256	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.676124	+0.02%	0.6911	+2.23%	0.0234	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.71298	-0.09%	0.676	-5.27%	0.0581	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.700004	-0.09%	0.7136	+1.86%	0.0166	✗	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.664579	+0.04%	0.7006	+5.46%	0.0583	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.661958	-0.11%	0.6643	+0.24%	0.0219	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.645358	-0.22%	0.6627	+2.46%	0.0081	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.620519	-0.30%	0.6468	+3.92%	0.0209	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.621579	-0.31%	0.6224	-0.18%	0.0003	✓	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.621897	-0.32%	0.6235	-0.06%	0.0061	✓	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.619544	-0.31%	0.6239	+0.39%	0.0080	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.626913	-0.33%	0.6215	-1.19%	0.0089	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.624561	-0.34%	0.629	+0.37%	0.0100	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.625128	-0.35%	0.6267	-0.10%	0.0024	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.639131	-0.37%	0.6273	-2.21%	0.0178	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.623188	-0.35%	0.6415	+2.57%	0.0322	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.628247	-0.36%	0.6254	-0.81%	0.0024	✓	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.646455	-0.38%	0.6305	-2.84%	0.0245	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.629501	-0.36%	0.6489	+2.71%	0.0302	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.618384	-0.36%	0.6318	+1.80%	0.0168	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.621405	-0.37%	0.6206	-0.50%	0.0012	✓	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.648347	-0.39%	0.6237	-4.18%	0.0429	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.653324	-0.41%	0.6509	-0.78%	0.0086	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.655917	-0.41%	0.656	-0.39%	0.0004	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.657535	-0.42%	0.6586	-0.26%	0.0053	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.661772	-0.47%	0.6603	-0.69%	0.0016	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.665818	-0.45%	0.6649	-0.58%	0.0170	✗	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.636396	-0.42%	0.6688	+4.65%	0.0417	✗	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.629019	-0.42%	0.6391	+1.17%	0.0154	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.681515	-0.61%	0.6317	-7.88%	0.0775	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.663422	-0.39%	0.6857	+2.96%	0.0500	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.682425	-0.45%	0.666	-2.84%	0.0361	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.74371	-0.84%	0.6855	-8.60%	0.0842	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.622965	-0.28%	0.75	+20.06%	0.1993	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.686598	-0.44%	0.6247	-9.41%	0.0804	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.648949	-0.32%	0.6896	+5.93%	0.0666	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.633388	-0.27%	0.651	+2.50%	0.0092	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.608912	-0.19%	0.6351	+4.10%	0.0346	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.612067	-0.18%	0.6101	-0.51%	0.0016	✓	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.60815	-0.16%	0.6132	+0.67%	0.0043	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.630271	-0.18%	0.6091	-3.53%	0.0359	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.657481	-0.22%	0.6314	-4.17%	0.0267	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.648871	-0.19%	0.6589	+1.35%	0.0192	✗	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.634911	-0.17%	0.6501	+2.22%	0.0164	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.645116	-0.18%	0.636	-1.59%	0.0078	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.64409	-0.19%	0.6463	+0.15%	0.0039	✗	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.650319	-0.21%	0.6453	-0.98%	0.0027	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.611135	-0.13%	0.6517	+6.50%	0.0508	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.62011	-0.13%	0.6119	-1.45%	0.0273	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.62573	-0.12%	0.6209	-0.89%	0.0084	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.629235	-0.12%	0.6265	-0.56%	0.0056	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.634939	-0.12%	0.63	-0.90%	0.0140	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.645034	-0.13%	0.6357	-1.58%	0.0220	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.637918	-0.11%	0.6459	+1.14%	0.0042	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.646562	-0.11%	0.6386	-1.34%	0.0278	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.64965	-0.10%	0.6473	-0.46%	0.0273	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.659838	-0.12%	0.6503	-1.56%	0.0379	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.641533	-0.07%	0.6606	+2.90%	0.0570	✗	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.669396	-0.12%	0.642	-4.21%	0.0534	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.665628	-0.12%	0.6702	+0.57%	0.0145	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.651788	-0.08%	0.6664	+2.16%	0.0233	✗	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.648279	-0.06%	0.6523	+0.55%	0.0012	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.652525	-0.07%	0.6487	-0.66%	0.0151	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.684476	-0.13%	0.653	-4.73%	0.0190	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.698165	-0.15%	0.6854	-1.97%	0.0034	✗	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.719072	-0.18%	0.6992	-2.94%	0.0401	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.704718	-0.15%	0.7204	+2.07%	0.0388	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.699903	-0.13%	0.7058	+0.71%	0.0046	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.718286	-0.14%	0.7008	-2.57%	0.0350	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.747406	-0.20%	0.7193	-3.95%	0.0114	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.768897	-0.26%	0.7489	-2.85%	0.0067	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.773856	-0.30%	0.7709	-0.68%	0.0066	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.767499	-0.21%	0.7762	+0.92%	0.0022	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.769041	-0.19%	0.7691	-0.18%	0.0211	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.754958	-0.14%	0.7705	+1.92%	0.0053	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.731706	-0.04%	0.756	+3.28%	0.0331	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.716139	+0.06%	0.732	+2.28%	0.0149	✗	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.729643	+0.05%	0.7157	-1.86%	0.0150	✗	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.733299	+0.05%	0.7293	-0.49%	0.0187	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.713779	+0.15%	0.7329	+2.83%	0.0304	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.74165	+0.20%	0.7127	-3.72%	0.0854	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.742294	+0.24%	0.7402	-0.04%	0.0006	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.808065	+0.08%	0.7405	-8.29%	0.0373	✗	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.874446	-0.06%	0.8074	-7.73%	0.0756	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.873254	-0.09%	0.875	+0.11%	0.0474	✗	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.913158	-0.27%	0.874	-4.54%	0.0262	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.892858	-0.24%	0.9156	+2.30%	0.0596	✗	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.909965	-0.22%	0.895	-1.86%	0.0141	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.953245	-0.30%	0.912	-4.61%	0.0492	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.956929	-0.29%	0.9561	-0.38%	0.0009	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.948466	-0.26%	0.9597	+0.93%	0.0206	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.98216	-0.40%	0.9509	-3.57%	0.0162	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	1.0253	-0.52%	0.9861	-4.33%	0.0227	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	1.0123	-0.51%	1.0307	+1.30%	0.0149	✗	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.92497	-0.22%	1.0175	+9.76%	0.0916	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.936886	-0.18%	0.927	-1.24%	0.0248	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.954398	-0.32%	0.9386	-1.97%	0.0081	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.051	-0.53%	0.9575	-9.38%	0.0940	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.967578	-0.40%	1.0566	+8.76%	0.0800	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.949617	-0.45%	0.9715	+1.85%	0.0248	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.932055	-0.52%	0.9539	+1.81%	0.0286	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.0381	-0.62%	0.9369	-10.30%	0.0947	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1928	-0.69%	1.0445	-13.03%	0.1226	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2589	-0.77%	1.201	-5.34%	0.0267	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1827	-0.72%	1.2687	+6.51%	0.0512	✗	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.3742	-1.16%	1.1912	-14.32%	0.1309	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1796	-0.71%	1.3903	+17.02%	0.1780	✗	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1779	-0.68%	1.1881	+0.19%	0.0139	✗	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.1571	-0.69%	1.1859	+1.79%	0.0073	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1588	-0.78%	1.1651	-0.25%	0.0003	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1605	-0.85%	1.168	-0.21%	0.0043	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.154	-1.14%	1.1705	+0.27%	0.0338	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.998448	-0.62%	1.1673	+16.18%	0.1485	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.898184	-0.36%	1.0047	+11.46%	0.0970	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.887778	-0.36%	0.9014	+1.17%	0.0035	✓	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.887411	-0.37%	0.891	+0.03%	0.0058	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.854389	-0.32%	0.8907	+3.92%	0.0351	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.826446	-0.31%	0.8571	+3.39%	0.0088	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.818418	-0.31%	0.829	+0.97%	0.0048	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.909078	-0.50%	0.821	-10.14%	0.0935	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.870683	-0.43%	0.9136	+4.48%	0.0636	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.950495	-0.71%	0.8744	-8.66%	0.0647	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.815172	-0.36%	0.9573	+17.02%	0.1462	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.757754	-0.31%	0.8181	+7.63%	0.0739	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.805906	-0.35%	0.7601	-6.01%	0.0467	✓	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.829809	-0.42%	0.8087	-2.95%	0.0268	✓	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.785236	-0.44%	0.8333	+5.65%	0.0326	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.772576	-0.43%	0.7887	+1.65%	0.0136	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.763099	-0.47%	0.7759	+1.20%	0.0128	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.770076	-0.44%	0.7667	-0.88%	0.0231	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.769834	-0.42%	0.7735	+0.05%	0.0241	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.705792	-0.37%	0.7731	+9.13%	0.0640	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.747469	-0.40%	0.7084	-5.61%	0.0584	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.771544	-0.46%	0.7505	-3.17%	0.0372	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.806142	-0.55%	0.7751	-4.38%	0.0352	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.783504	-0.66%	0.8106	+2.78%	0.0243	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.806484	-0.78%	0.7887	-2.97%	0.0152	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.691656	-0.44%	0.8128	+17.00%	0.1600	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.654239	-0.37%	0.6947	+5.79%	0.0409	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.651251	-0.37%	0.6567	+0.46%	0.0032	✓	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.661822	-0.37%	0.6537	-1.60%	0.0009	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.632286	-0.38%	0.6643	+4.66%	0.0010	✓	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.602492	-0.30%	0.6347	+5.03%	0.0546	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.622428	-0.33%	0.6043	-3.23%	0.0591	✓	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.621599	-0.30%	0.6245	+0.16%	0.0011	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.627254	-0.33%	0.6235	-0.92%	0.0072	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.620253	-0.30%	0.6293	+1.16%	0.0355	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.618036	-0.28%	0.6221	+0.37%	0.0084	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.619135	-0.27%	0.6198	-0.16%	0.0246	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.635808	-0.28%	0.6208	-2.63%	0.0375	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.62982	-0.27%	0.6376	+0.97%	0.0186	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.603962	-0.19%	0.6315	+4.36%	0.0452	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.61698	-0.21%	0.6051	-2.13%	0.0218	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.685266	-0.32%	0.6183	-10.07%	0.0621	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.645078	-0.22%	0.6875	+6.34%	0.0516	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.654072	-0.22%	0.6465	-1.37%	0.0063	✓	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.627024	-0.14%	0.6555	+4.40%	0.0042	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.675633	-0.22%	0.6279	-7.27%	0.0560	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.667622	-0.21%	0.6771	+1.21%	0.0394	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.651658	-0.19%	0.669	+2.47%	0.0171	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.670885	-0.20%	0.6529	-2.87%	0.0067	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.663253	-0.17%	0.6722	+1.17%	0.0550	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.679492	-0.21%	0.6644	-2.42%	0.0083	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.644925	-0.15%	0.6809	+5.42%	0.0239	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.628489	-0.11%	0.6459	+2.65%	0.0032	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.641167	-0.13%	0.6292	-1.99%	0.0233	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.651505	-0.17%	0.642	-1.62%	0.0211	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.611769	-0.04%	0.6526	+6.63%	0.0595	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.645343	-0.07%	0.612	-5.23%	0.0569	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.685056	-0.12%	0.6458	-5.85%	0.0840	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.645636	-0.03%	0.6859	+6.21%	0.0190	✗	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.650092	-0.02%	0.6458	-0.68%	0.0153	✗	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.707078	-0.09%	0.6502	-8.12%	0.0698	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.750472	-0.16%	0.7077	-5.85%	0.0139	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.712111	-0.08%	0.7517	+5.47%	0.0825	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.720678	-0.04%	0.7127	-1.15%	0.0840	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.779126	-0.12%	0.721	-7.58%	0.0689	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.848071	-0.27%	0.7801	-8.27%	0.1401	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.808484	-0.19%	0.8504	+4.99%	0.0725	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.825418	-0.26%	0.81	-2.13%	0.0393	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.742106	-0.04%	0.8276	+11.48%	0.1400	✗	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.771865	-0.08%	0.7424	-3.90%	0.0295	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.693113	+0.16%	0.7725	+11.63%	0.0361	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.70429	+0.17%	0.692	-1.58%	0.0072	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.73635	+0.10%	0.7031	-4.42%	0.0091	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.770189	+0.08%	0.7356	-4.42%	0.0397	✗	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.796135	+0.07%	0.7696	-3.27%	0.0333	✗	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.803696	+0.10%	0.7956	-0.91%	0.0304	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.812417	+0.14%	0.8029	-1.04%	0.0233	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.823266	+0.15%	0.8113	-1.30%	0.0081	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.870992	+0.09%	0.822	-5.54%	0.0284	✗	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.923286	+0.02%	0.8702	-5.73%	0.0606	✗	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.9423	-0.01%	0.9231	-2.05%	0.0005	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.947799	+0.07%	0.9424	-0.50%	0.0248	✗	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.85331	+0.40%	0.9471	+11.44%	0.0529	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.867398	+0.43%	0.8499	-1.60%	0.0045	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.918207	+0.36%	0.8637	-5.60%	0.0278	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.960794	+0.32%	0.9149	-4.47%	0.0250	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.991813	+0.34%	0.9577	-3.12%	0.0318	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0752	+0.25%	0.9885	-7.83%	0.1041	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1417	+0.10%	1.0725	-5.97%	0.0368	✗	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.940069	+0.82%	1.1406	+22.33%	0.0389	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1555	+0.20%	0.9324	-19.15%	0.0071	✗	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.154	+0.20%	1.1532	+0.13%	0.0538	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.2082	+0.01%	1.1517	-4.66%	0.0106	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.2029	+0.10%	1.208	+0.52%	0.0245	✗	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2274	-0.02%	1.2018	-2.10%	0.0089	✗	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2799	-0.26%	1.2276	-4.33%	0.0540	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2875	-0.28%	1.2832	-0.62%	0.0036	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.4301	-0.52%	1.2912	-10.18%	0.0258	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.41	-0.50%	1.4375	+1.44%	0.0185	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.5	-0.56%	1.4171	-6.05%	0.0711	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3827	-0.43%	1.5084	+8.63%	0.0588	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.554	-0.59%	1.3886	-11.17%	0.0722	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.59	-0.65%	1.5632	-2.32%	0.0107	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.7018	-0.80%	1.6004	-6.71%	0.0616	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.6908	-0.83%	1.7155	+0.62%	0.0129	✗	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.7409	-1.01%	1.705	-3.05%	0.0388	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.7314	-1.34%	1.7586	+0.22%	0.0906	✗	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.5838	-1.02%	1.7548	+9.67%	0.1214	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6793	-1.24%	1.6001	-5.90%	0.0223	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.8692	-2.19%	1.7004	-11.02%	0.0879	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.8135	-2.00%	1.911	+3.27%	0.0538	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.8406	-3.01%	1.8505	-2.49%	0.0287	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.4208	-1.62%	1.8977	+31.40%	0.2641	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3623	-1.26%	1.4442	+4.67%	0.0111	✓	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.2406	-0.79%	1.3797	+10.33%	0.1009	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0978	-0.38%	1.2505	+13.49%	0.1218	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1499	-0.44%	1.1019	-4.60%	0.0405	✓	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1667	-0.47%	1.155	-1.47%	0.0032	✓	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.2198	-0.55%	1.1722	-4.43%	0.0375	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.2891	-0.85%	1.2265	-5.67%	0.0298	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.2565	-0.72%	1.3002	+2.73%	0.0353	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.2484	-0.54%	1.2657	+0.84%	0.0044	✓	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.2367	-0.42%	1.2551	+1.06%	0.0078	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.2365	-0.34%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0007	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.305	-0.41%	1.2407	-5.31%	0.0606	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.3363	-0.42%	1.3103	-2.35%	0.0301	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.3484	-0.47%	1.3419	-0.94%	0.0033	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.4399	-0.70%	1.3547	-6.58%	0.0727	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.2467	-0.04%	1.4501	+16.27%	0.1583	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.2412	+0.05%	1.2472	+0.53%	0.0041	✓	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.2294	+0.18%	1.2406	+1.10%	0.0042	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3719	-0.08%	1.2271	-10.63%	0.1127	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2866	+0.15%	1.373	+6.87%	0.0692	✓	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.32	+0.19%	1.2847	-2.49%	0.0289	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.342	+0.18%	1.3175	-1.65%	0.0077	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3356	+0.26%	1.3396	+0.56%	0.0038	✓	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.356	+0.29%	1.3321	-1.47%	0.0208	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3841	+0.31%	1.352	-2.01%	0.0257	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.4171	+0.38%	1.3798	-2.26%	0.0539	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5681	+0.15%	1.4117	-9.84%	0.0975	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5226	+0.24%	1.5658	+3.09%	0.0443	✓	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.5516	+0.30%	1.5189	-1.82%	0.0359	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5654	+0.27%	1.547	-0.91%	0.0053	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6598	+0.07%	1.5612	-5.88%	0.0419	✗	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.7002	+0.02%	1.6587	-2.42%	0.0245	✗	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8933	-0.39%	1.6998	-10.57%	0.0886	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.0562	-0.57%	1.9007	-8.09%	0.0830	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1973	-0.79%	2.0681	-6.62%	0.0550	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0658	-0.44%	2.2147	+6.74%	0.0527	✗	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.1474	-0.52%	2.0749	-3.87%	0.0365	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1655	-0.45%	2.1585	-0.77%	0.0129	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.351	-0.81%	2.1753	-8.22%	0.0770	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.3758	-1.01%	2.3701	-1.25%	0.0208	✗	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.1963	-0.80%	2.4001	+8.40%	0.1003	✗	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.0607	-0.27%	2.2141	+7.15%	0.0538	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.0436	+0.06%	2.0663	+1.17%	0.0370	✗	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	2.0167	-0.07%	2.0424	+1.20%	0.0547	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1939	-0.25%	2.0181	-8.25%	0.0790	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.2449	-0.26%	2.1995	-2.28%	0.0197	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.633	-0.64%	2.2508	-15.06%	0.1528	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.793	-0.76%	2.65	-5.84%	0.0611	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.7926	-0.62%	2.8145	+0.16%	0.0257	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	3.0711	-1.26%	2.8099	-9.66%	0.0790	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.6342	-0.47%	3.1104	+17.52%	0.1525	✗	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0872	+0.05%	2.6466	+26.86%	0.2224	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.3929	-0.22%	2.0862	-13.01%	0.1344	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.9104	-0.60%	2.3982	-18.09%	0.1845	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.4694	-1.13%	2.928	-16.56%	0.1557	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.4615	-1.26%	3.509	+0.10%	0.0175	✗	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	4.1589	-3.10%	3.5056	-18.32%	0.1735	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	4.0471	-3.17%	4.2919	+2.69%	0.0662	✗	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	3.0599	-1.39%	4.1796	+34.70%	0.3180	✗	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.8469	-1.20%	3.103	+7.69%	0.0816	✗	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.901	-1.29%	2.8813	-1.96%	0.0135	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.7974	-1.47%	2.939	+3.51%	0.0574	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	3.0581	-2.48%	2.8393	-9.46%	0.0694	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.9121	-3.49%	3.1359	+3.93%	0.0848	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.1644	-1.43%	3.0174	+37.42%	0.3291	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7775	-0.92%	2.1958	+22.40%	0.2086	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.7643	-1.02%	1.794	+0.65%	0.0178	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.4598	-0.57%	1.7824	+21.40%	0.1997	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.837	-1.12%	1.4682	-20.97%	0.2289	✓	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.8409	-1.70%	1.8578	-0.80%	0.0135	✓	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5667	-0.86%	1.8728	+18.51%	0.1807	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.778	-1.40%	1.5803	-12.37%	0.1229	✓	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.5549	-1.13%	1.8033	+14.66%	0.1489	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.3516	-0.68%	1.5727	+15.57%	0.1524	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.256	-0.46%	1.3608	+7.84%	0.0824	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4713	-0.81%	1.2619	-14.93%	0.1581	✓	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.4207	-0.79%	1.4833	+3.58%	0.0366	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.7031	-1.35%	1.4321	-17.05%	0.1767	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.5735	-1.08%	1.7264	+8.54%	0.0915	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.4515	-0.88%	1.5906	+8.63%	0.1008	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.461	-1.00%	1.4643	-0.77%	0.0045	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4593	-1.18%	1.4757	-0.07%	0.0145	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2787	-0.75%	1.4768	+14.62%	0.1560	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.2261	-0.63%	1.2884	+4.43%	0.0459	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.2859	-0.85%	1.2338	-4.87%	0.0522	✓	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1469	-0.60%	1.2969	+12.40%	0.1333	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1988	-0.64%	1.1538	-4.37%	0.0304	✓	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.2576	-0.72%	1.2065	-4.75%	0.0376	✓	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3963	-1.03%	1.2667	-10.21%	0.1077	✓	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.5101	-1.34%	1.4108	-7.83%	0.0852	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.4276	-1.34%	1.5306	+5.78%	0.0555	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.5263	-2.31%	1.447	-7.39%	0.0684	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.3761	-2.11%	1.5624	+11.14%	0.1283	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.4558	-3.67%	1.4058	-6.97%	0.0089	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0574	-2.47%	1.5112	+39.38%	0.3482	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.923836	-1.25%	1.0842	+15.90%	0.1603	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.775422	-0.60%	0.9355	+19.92%	0.1900	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.773053	-0.66%	0.7801	+0.24%	0.0051	✓	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.713753	-0.45%	0.7782	+8.54%	0.0964	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.695986	-0.42%	0.717	+2.59%	0.0263	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.70068	-0.46%	0.6989	-0.71%	0.0055	✓	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.697397	-0.51%	0.7039	+0.41%	0.0089	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.707865	-0.68%	0.701	-1.64%	0.0147	✓	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.621446	-0.38%	0.7127	+14.25%	0.1329	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.616549	-0.38%	0.6238	+0.79%	0.0018	✓	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.63391	-0.47%	0.6189	-2.83%	0.0233	✓	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.570495	-0.30%	0.6369	+11.31%	0.1068	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.581498	-0.29%	0.5722	-1.89%	0.0203	✓	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.618257	-0.39%	0.5832	-6.04%	0.0583	✓	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.593431	-0.33%	0.6207	+4.25%	0.0440	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.605852	-0.42%	0.5954	-2.14%	0.0129	✓	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.607624	-0.44%	0.6084	-0.31%	0.0003	✓	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.589954	-0.45%	0.6103	+2.99%	0.0347	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.61254	-0.51%	0.5926	-3.75%	0.0314	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.596749	-0.54%	0.6157	+2.62%	0.0329	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.629216	-0.55%	0.6	-5.17%	0.0478	✓	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.588303	-0.61%	0.6327	+6.89%	0.0791	✗	0.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.