FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s4

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

44.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1310

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0200

actual +0.0138

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.823331	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.814957	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.870369	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.889346	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.860543	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.896704	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.924308	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.912069	-2.74%	0.8476	-9.61%	0.0855	✓	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.963989	-3.76%	0.8371	-16.43%	0.1394	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.977444	-3.49%	0.8963	-11.50%	0.0877	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.951359	-3.64%	0.9173	-7.09%	0.0185	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.947441	-3.30%	0.8812	-10.06%	0.0560	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.900827	-2.32%	0.922	-0.02%	0.0345	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.88034	-1.48%	0.9549	+6.86%	0.0767	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.960903	-3.43%	0.93775	-5.76%	0.0070	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.946466	-3.88%	1.0017	+1.73%	0.0815	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0103	-4.32%	1.0128	-4.09%	0.0428	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.0654	-4.61%	0.9873	-11.60%	0.0487	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.0364	-4.54%	0.9798	-9.75%	0.0382	✓	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0287	-4.69%	0.9222	-14.56%	0.0901	✓	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0211	-4.88%	0.8936	-16.76%	0.1023	✓	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.0318	-4.99%	0.99505	-8.37%	0.0335	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0234	-5.27%	0.9847	-8.86%	0.0566	✓	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.1802	-5.56%	1.0559	-15.50%	0.1322	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.1767	-5.76%	1.1169	-10.55%	0.0698	✓	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.1756	-5.84%	1.0857	-13.04%	0.0823	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2385	-5.68%	1.0794	-17.80%	0.1410	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.1472	-5.59%	1.0735	-11.65%	0.0704	✓	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2097	-5.47%	1.0859	-15.13%	0.1007	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.2622	-5.11%	1.0804	-18.78%	0.1342	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.1936	-4.52%	1.2496	-0.04%	0.0735	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.072	-4.45%	1.2486	+11.29%	0.1264	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.1647	-4.30%	1.2486	+2.59%	0.0451	✗	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1471	-4.33%	1.3131	+9.51%	0.1108	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.90107	-2.66%	1.2151	+31.26%	0.2742	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.798166	-1.23%	1.2796	+58.35%	0.4475	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.799799	-1.09%	1.3302	+64.51%	0.4736	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.760741	-0.34%	1.2501	+63.78%	0.4603	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.721955	+1.07%	1.1219	+57.06%	0.4228	✓	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.749867	+0.61%	1.217	+63.29%	0.4683	✓	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.754582	+0.80%	1.199	+60.17%	0.4485	✓	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.74083	+1.37%	0.9257	+26.66%	0.2236	✓	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.780893	+1.00%	0.8081	+4.52%	0.0419	✓	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.852324	+0.19%	0.8086	-4.95%	0.0425	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.887489	+0.36%	0.7633	-13.68%	0.1477	✗	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	1.0054	-0.84%	0.7143	-29.55%	0.3332	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.891552	+0.79%	0.7453	-15.74%	0.1736	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.730549	+4.38%	0.7486	+6.96%	0.0285	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.703503	+5.82%	0.73085	+9.94%	0.0481	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.684208	+4.06%	0.77315	+17.59%	0.1189	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.680921	+3.70%	0.8507	+29.56%	0.2189	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.708401	+3.16%	0.8843	+28.78%	0.2202	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.689403	+2.50%	1.0139	+50.74%	0.3762	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.686307	+2.24%	0.88455	+31.77%	0.2486	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.675757	+1.79%	0.6999	+5.42%	0.0291	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.688131	+1.98%	0.6648	-1.48%	0.0375	✗	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.683255	+1.30%	0.6575	-2.52%	0.0330	✗	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.697178	+0.88%	0.6566	-4.99%	0.0564	✗	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.682844	+1.01%	0.6867	+1.58%	0.0070	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.715672	+0.29%	0.6726	-5.75%	0.0618	✗	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.702227	+0.23%	0.6713	-4.18%	0.0496	✗	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.668998	+0.71%	0.6639	-0.06%	0.0056	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.659792	-0.44%	0.6748	+1.83%	0.0118	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.636866	-1.54%	0.6745	+4.28%	0.0111	✓	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.608947	-2.16%	0.6911	+11.04%	0.0688	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.610023	-2.16%	0.676	+8.42%	0.0356	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.610957	-2.07%	0.7136	+14.38%	0.0839	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.608609	-2.07%	0.7006	+12.73%	0.0739	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.615715	-2.11%	0.6643	+5.61%	0.0021	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.613109	-2.17%	0.6627	+5.74%	0.0208	✓	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.613749	-2.16%	0.6468	+3.11%	0.0139	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.627018	-2.26%	0.6224	-2.98%	0.0161	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.611388	-2.24%	0.6235	-0.30%	0.0148	✓	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.616223	-2.26%	0.6239	-1.05%	0.0274	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.633903	-2.31%	0.6215	-4.22%	0.0056	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.617495	-2.26%	0.629	-0.44%	0.0330	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.607153	-2.17%	0.6267	+0.98%	0.0380	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.60975	-2.24%	0.6273	+0.58%	0.0373	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.63535	-2.39%	0.6415	-1.44%	0.0136	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.63975	-2.48%	0.6254	-4.66%	0.0264	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.64214	-2.50%	0.6305	-4.27%	0.0307	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.643974	-2.47%	0.6489	-1.73%	0.0124	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.648211	-2.51%	0.6318	-4.98%	0.0449	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.651453	-2.59%	0.6206	-7.21%	0.0442	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.624328	-2.31%	0.6237	-2.41%	0.0078	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.618738	-2.05%	0.6509	+3.04%	0.0487	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.670854	-2.17%	0.656	-4.33%	0.0201	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.652752	-1.99%	0.6586	-1.11%	0.0279	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.672484	-1.90%	0.6603	-3.68%	0.0008	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.733541	-2.19%	0.6649	-11.35%	0.0820	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.615858	-1.42%	0.6688	+7.06%	0.0871	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.678436	-1.62%	0.6391	-7.32%	0.0297	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.642351	-1.33%	0.6317	-2.96%	0.0201	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.627402	-1.21%	0.6857	+7.97%	0.1106	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.604097	-0.98%	0.666	+9.16%	0.0883	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.607934	-0.86%	0.6855	+11.79%	0.1271	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.604763	-0.71%	0.75	+23.13%	0.2126	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.627084	-0.68%	0.6247	-1.06%	0.0215	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.653818	-0.77%	0.6896	+4.66%	0.0337	✗	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.645715	-0.67%	0.651	+0.14%	0.0133	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.632121	-0.61%	0.6351	-0.14%	0.0385	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.642104	-0.65%	0.6101	-5.60%	0.0649	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.641278	-0.62%	0.6132	-4.97%	0.0593	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.647602	-0.63%	0.6091	-6.54%	0.0580	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.609873	-0.33%	0.6314	+3.19%	0.0263	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.619205	-0.27%	0.6589	+6.12%	0.0257	✗	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.624904	-0.25%	0.6501	+3.77%	0.0153	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.628787	-0.19%	0.636	+0.95%	0.0372	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.635073	-0.10%	0.6463	+1.67%	0.0152	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.645622	-0.04%	0.6453	-0.09%	0.0108	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.639151	+0.09%	0.6517	+2.05%	0.0036	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.648226	+0.14%	0.6119	-5.47%	0.0827	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.651914	+0.25%	0.6209	-4.52%	0.0839	✗	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.662659	+0.31%	0.6265	-5.16%	0.1319	✗	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.644492	+0.39%	0.63	-1.87%	0.0848	✗	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.671895	+0.25%	0.6357	-5.15%	0.1227	✗	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.668146	+0.26%	0.6459	-3.08%	0.0848	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.6548	+0.38%	0.6386	-2.10%	0.0658	✗	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.65165	+0.45%	0.6473	-0.22%	0.0359	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.65534	+0.36%	0.6503	-0.41%	0.0090	✓	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.68562	+0.03%	0.6606	-3.62%	0.0338	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.698429	-0.11%	0.642	-8.18%	0.0195	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.719251	-0.16%	0.6702	-6.97%	0.0046	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.705196	-0.09%	0.6664	-5.58%	0.0183	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.701259	+0.07%	0.6523	-6.92%	0.0099	✗	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.719699	+0.06%	0.6487	-9.82%	0.0468	✗	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.747477	-0.19%	0.653	-12.81%	0.0747	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.768253	-0.34%	0.6854	-11.09%	0.0634	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.773398	-0.36%	0.6992	-9.92%	0.0635	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.767069	-0.26%	0.7204	-6.33%	0.0225	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.769452	-0.14%	0.7058	-8.40%	0.0829	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.756638	+0.08%	0.7008	-7.30%	0.0756	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.734393	+0.33%	0.7193	-1.73%	0.0091	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.722019	+0.88%	0.7489	+4.64%	0.0152	✗	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.735623	+0.87%	0.7709	+5.70%	0.0208	✗	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.738419	+0.75%	0.7762	+5.91%	0.0046	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.721003	+1.17%	0.7691	+7.91%	0.0256	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.75137	+1.51%	0.7705	+4.09%	0.0408	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.753563	+1.76%	0.756	+2.09%	0.0429	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.811832	+0.55%	0.732	-9.34%	0.0992	✗	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.873736	-0.14%	0.7157	-18.21%	0.1525	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.870183	-0.44%	0.7293	-16.56%	0.0888	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.900205	-1.68%	0.7329	-19.95%	0.0781	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.878081	-1.89%	0.7127	-20.37%	0.0428	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.893886	-1.99%	0.7402	-18.84%	0.0086	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.934601	-2.25%	0.7405	-22.55%	0.0658	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.93826	-2.23%	0.8074	-15.87%	0.0240	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.929811	-2.22%	0.875	-7.98%	0.0596	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.957179	-2.93%	0.874	-11.37%	0.0128	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.993437	-3.62%	0.9156	-11.17%	0.0117	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.981939	-3.49%	0.895	-12.04%	0.0531	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.906685	-2.19%	0.912	-1.62%	0.0396	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.920656	-1.91%	0.9561	+1.86%	0.0628	✗	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.932252	-2.64%	0.9597	+0.23%	0.0771	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0181	-3.64%	0.9509	-10.00%	0.0312	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.944972	-2.73%	0.9861	+1.50%	0.0534	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.928968	-2.61%	1.0307	+8.05%	0.1005	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.912147	-2.64%	1.0175	+8.60%	0.1143	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.005	-3.78%	0.927	-11.25%	0.0643	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.146	-4.58%	0.9386	-21.85%	0.1604	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2072	-4.85%	0.9575	-24.53%	0.1957	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1356	-4.67%	1.0566	-11.30%	0.0524	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.3203	-5.04%	0.9715	-30.12%	0.2690	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1355	-4.43%	0.9539	-19.71%	0.1205	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1362	-4.19%	0.9369	-21.00%	0.1384	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.1174	-4.09%	1.0445	-10.35%	0.0382	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1223	-3.91%	1.201	+2.83%	0.0802	✗	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1276	-3.67%	1.2687	+8.39%	0.1059	✗	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1293	-3.26%	1.1912	+2.05%	0.0830	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.979779	-2.48%	1.3903	+38.38%	0.3561	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.883195	-2.02%	1.1881	+31.81%	0.2700	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.871068	-2.24%	1.1859	+33.10%	0.2566	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.870648	-2.25%	1.1651	+30.81%	0.2630	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.838447	-2.18%	1.168	+36.27%	0.3034	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.808269	-2.50%	1.1705	+41.19%	0.3178	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.800106	-2.55%	1.1673	+42.18%	0.2976	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.887159	-2.89%	1.0047	+9.97%	0.0586	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.853164	-2.43%	0.9014	+3.09%	0.0191	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.932257	-2.62%	0.891	-6.93%	0.0436	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.800502	-2.15%	0.8907	+8.87%	0.0922	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.745778	-1.88%	0.8571	+12.76%	0.1279	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.793561	-1.87%	0.829	+2.51%	0.0724	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.815998	-2.08%	0.821	-1.48%	0.0420	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.769926	-2.38%	0.9136	+15.84%	0.1715	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.756712	-2.47%	0.8744	+12.69%	0.1229	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.744515	-2.89%	0.9573	+24.86%	0.1826	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.754473	-2.46%	0.8181	+5.77%	0.0541	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.757525	-2.01%	0.7601	-1.68%	0.0017	✓	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.691321	-2.41%	0.8087	+14.16%	0.1135	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.730777	-2.63%	0.8333	+11.03%	0.0840	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.753036	-2.85%	0.7887	+1.75%	0.0152	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.787953	-2.79%	0.7759	-4.28%	0.0368	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.765296	-2.97%	0.7667	-2.79%	0.0469	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.790306	-2.77%	0.7735	-4.84%	0.0627	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.678116	-2.39%	0.7731	+11.29%	0.0676	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.641951	-2.25%	0.7084	+7.87%	0.0457	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.640328	-2.05%	0.7505	+14.81%	0.0995	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.65156	-1.92%	0.7751	+16.68%	0.1378	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.62332	-1.79%	0.8106	+27.71%	0.1721	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.594121	-1.68%	0.7887	+30.51%	0.2542	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.614284	-1.64%	0.8128	+30.15%	0.1831	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.613307	-1.63%	0.6947	+11.42%	0.0233	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.618718	-1.68%	0.6567	+4.35%	0.0235	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.611157	-1.76%	0.6537	+5.08%	0.0174	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.609331	-1.69%	0.6643	+7.18%	0.0253	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.612371	-1.36%	0.6347	+2.24%	0.0006	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.629778	-1.23%	0.6043	-5.22%	0.0935	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.624962	-1.04%	0.6245	-1.11%	0.0174	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.601125	-0.66%	0.6235	+3.04%	0.0261	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.613883	-0.71%	0.6293	+1.78%	0.0567	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.680795	-0.98%	0.6221	-9.51%	0.0387	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.642366	-0.64%	0.6198	-4.13%	0.0014	✓	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.651683	-0.58%	0.6208	-5.29%	0.0184	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.626132	-0.28%	0.6376	+1.54%	0.0496	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.673559	-0.52%	0.6315	-6.73%	0.0221	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.66623	-0.41%	0.6051	-9.55%	0.0287	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.651619	-0.20%	0.6183	-5.30%	0.0341	✓	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.670823	-0.20%	0.6875	+2.28%	0.0237	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.664018	-0.06%	0.6465	-2.69%	0.0261	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.680349	-0.08%	0.6555	-3.73%	0.0239	✗	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.646377	+0.07%	0.6279	-2.79%	0.0485	✓	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.630351	+0.18%	0.6771	+7.61%	0.1075	✓	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.643023	+0.16%	0.669	+4.21%	0.0465	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.653574	+0.15%	0.6529	+0.05%	0.0085	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.614344	+0.38%	0.6722	+9.84%	0.0737	✓	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.647809	+0.31%	0.6644	+2.88%	0.0357	✗	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.687401	+0.22%	0.6809	-0.73%	0.1114	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.64999	+0.65%	0.6459	+0.02%	0.1183	✗	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.654632	+0.68%	0.6292	-3.23%	0.1047	✗	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.711184	+0.49%	0.642	-9.28%	0.1482	✗	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.754247	+0.34%	0.6526	-13.18%	0.1391	✗	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.716753	+0.57%	0.612	-14.13%	0.1187	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.726899	+0.82%	0.6458	-10.43%	0.1461	✗	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.784844	+0.61%	0.6859	-12.08%	0.1278	✗	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.853408	+0.35%	0.6458	-24.06%	0.2826	✗	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.814737	+0.58%	0.6502	-19.73%	0.2309	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.831951	+0.53%	0.7077	-14.49%	0.2029	✗	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.749997	+1.02%	0.7517	+1.25%	0.0599	✗	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.778817	+0.82%	0.7127	-7.74%	0.1732	✗	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.705137	+1.90%	0.721	+4.19%	0.0563	✗	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.716196	+1.86%	0.7801	+10.95%	0.0097	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.74605	+1.42%	0.8504	+15.61%	0.1648	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.779369	+1.27%	0.81	+5.25%	0.0570	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.80522	+1.21%	0.8276	+4.02%	0.0700	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.81413	+1.40%	0.7424	-7.54%	0.1026	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.823853	+1.55%	0.7725	-4.78%	0.0968	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.834654	+1.54%	0.692	-15.82%	0.1124	✗	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.880811	+1.22%	0.7031	-19.20%	0.1338	✗	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.932225	+0.99%	0.7356	-20.31%	0.2126	✗	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.950704	+0.88%	0.7696	-18.34%	0.1742	✗	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.956871	+1.03%	0.7956	-16.00%	0.1682	✗	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.870073	+2.37%	0.8029	-5.53%	0.0956	✗	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.884349	+2.39%	0.8113	-6.07%	0.0745	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.932639	+1.94%	0.822	-10.15%	0.1012	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.973553	+1.66%	0.8702	-9.14%	0.0893	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	1.0043	+1.60%	0.9231	-6.62%	0.0574	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0856	+1.22%	0.9424	-12.13%	0.1520	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1485	+0.69%	0.9471	-16.96%	0.1582	✗	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.979174	+5.02%	0.8499	-8.85%	0.2120	✗	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1625	+0.80%	0.8637	-25.10%	0.1795	✗	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1588	+0.62%	0.9149	-20.56%	0.0919	✗	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.204	-0.33%	0.9577	-20.72%	0.0558	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.2034	+0.13%	0.9885	-17.75%	0.0833	✗	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2223	-0.43%	1.0725	-12.63%	0.0385	✗	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2583	-1.94%	1.1406	-11.11%	0.1529	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2639	-2.11%	0.9324	-27.79%	0.1268	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.39	-3.30%	1.1532	-19.78%	0.0983	✗	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.3712	-3.24%	1.1517	-18.73%	0.0672	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.4596	-3.24%	1.208	-19.92%	0.0214	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3498	-2.79%	1.2018	-13.45%	0.0572	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5111	-3.33%	1.2276	-21.47%	0.0327	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.5446	-3.49%	1.2832	-19.82%	0.0965	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.6506	-3.78%	1.2912	-24.73%	0.1637	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.6383	-3.91%	1.4375	-15.69%	0.1275	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.6882	-4.00%	1.4171	-19.42%	0.1888	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.6757	-4.51%	1.5084	-14.04%	0.0291	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.5269	-4.57%	1.3886	-13.22%	0.0335	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6206	-4.69%	1.5632	-8.07%	0.0728	✗	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.8186	-4.84%	1.6004	-16.25%	0.0219	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.762	-4.78%	1.7155	-7.30%	0.0797	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.7914	-5.60%	1.705	-10.15%	0.0844	✗	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.3861	-4.02%	1.7586	+21.77%	0.3576	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3336	-3.34%	1.7548	+27.19%	0.2514	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.215	-2.84%	1.6001	+27.96%	0.2289	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0785	-2.13%	1.7004	+54.32%	0.3768	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1272	-2.41%	1.911	+65.45%	0.4532	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.142	-2.58%	1.8505	+57.87%	0.4228	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.1907	-2.92%	1.8977	+54.72%	0.4161	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.2511	-3.77%	1.4442	+11.08%	0.1302	✗	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.2189	-3.70%	1.3797	+9.01%	0.1457	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.2156	-3.15%	1.2505	-0.37%	0.0332	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.2062	-2.88%	1.1019	-11.27%	0.0887	✓	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.2072	-2.70%	1.155	-6.91%	0.0486	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2743	-2.75%	1.1722	-10.54%	0.1024	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.308	-2.52%	1.2265	-8.60%	0.0959	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.3179	-2.72%	1.3002	-4.02%	0.0600	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.4071	-2.97%	1.2657	-12.72%	0.1655	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.2278	-1.56%	1.2551	+0.63%	0.0109	✓	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.2252	-1.24%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0133	✓	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.2183	-0.72%	1.2407	+1.11%	0.0067	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3512	-1.59%	1.3103	-4.57%	0.0457	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2767	-0.62%	1.3419	+4.45%	0.0508	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.3107	-0.52%	1.3547	+2.82%	0.0237	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.3325	-0.53%	1.4501	+8.25%	0.0983	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3327	+0.05%	1.2472	-6.37%	0.0591	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.3577	+0.42%	1.2406	-8.24%	0.0852	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.388	+0.60%	1.2271	-11.07%	0.1155	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.4286	+1.20%	1.373	-2.74%	0.0575	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5657	-0.01%	1.2847	-17.95%	0.2118	✓	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5272	+0.54%	1.3175	-13.26%	0.1435	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.5612	+0.92%	1.3396	-13.41%	0.1747	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5752	+0.89%	1.3321	-14.67%	0.1721	✗	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6559	-0.17%	1.352	-18.49%	0.1849	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6947	-0.30%	1.3798	-18.83%	0.1852	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8558	-2.36%	1.4117	-25.73%	0.2117	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	1.9988	-3.35%	1.5658	-24.29%	0.1925	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1132	-4.59%	1.5189	-31.42%	0.2883	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0232	-2.49%	1.547	-25.44%	0.2319	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.0969	-2.85%	1.5612	-27.67%	0.2758	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1254	-2.29%	1.6587	-23.75%	0.2563	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.2801	-3.80%	1.6998	-28.28%	0.3017	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.2772	-5.12%	1.9007	-20.81%	0.1844	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.1237	-4.08%	2.0681	-6.59%	0.0144	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.0411	-1.22%	2.2147	+7.18%	0.0700	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.0546	+0.60%	2.0749	+1.59%	0.0321	✗	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	2.0136	-0.23%	2.1585	+6.96%	0.0692	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1606	-1.77%	2.1753	-1.10%	0.0223	✗	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.2031	-2.12%	2.3701	+5.30%	0.0887	✗	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.5174	-5.00%	2.4001	-9.43%	0.0553	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.6578	-5.57%	2.2141	-21.33%	0.2124	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.6801	-4.62%	2.0663	-26.46%	0.3024	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.8987	-6.81%	2.0424	-34.34%	0.3293	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.5394	-4.05%	2.0181	-23.75%	0.2629	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0817	-0.22%	2.1995	+5.43%	0.0126	✗	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.3259	-3.01%	2.2508	-6.15%	0.0731	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.7665	-5.51%	2.65	-9.49%	0.0716	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.2572	-7.18%	2.8145	-19.79%	0.1433	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.2344	-7.74%	2.8099	-19.85%	0.1254	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.9286	-8.46%	3.1104	-27.53%	0.2210	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.8105	-8.83%	2.6466	-36.68%	0.3372	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.8841	-7.06%	2.0862	-32.77%	0.2719	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.6828	-6.89%	2.3982	-16.77%	0.0687	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.7155	-7.61%	2.928	-0.37%	0.1296	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.6169	-7.83%	3.509	+23.59%	0.3353	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.8942	-7.71%	3.5056	+11.79%	0.2285	✗	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.775	-8.03%	4.2919	+42.24%	0.4895	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.0624	-6.07%	4.1796	+90.35%	0.7337	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7058	-4.91%	3.103	+72.97%	0.6064	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.6918	-5.09%	2.8813	+61.65%	0.5429	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.4121	-3.82%	2.939	+100.18%	0.7330	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.7589	-5.32%	2.8393	+52.83%	0.4747	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.7721	-5.37%	3.1359	+67.44%	0.5735	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.507	-4.64%	3.0174	+90.94%	0.6945	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.7042	-5.50%	2.1958	+21.77%	0.2460	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.4938	-5.02%	1.794	+14.07%	0.1718	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.3032	-4.24%	1.7824	+30.98%	0.3023	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.2143	-3.77%	1.4682	+16.35%	0.1762	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4046	-5.31%	1.8578	+25.25%	0.2630	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.3512	-5.65%	1.8728	+30.77%	0.2996	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.622	-6.05%	1.5803	-8.46%	0.0482	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.4995	-5.73%	1.8033	+13.37%	0.1733	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.3881	-5.20%	1.5727	+7.40%	0.1195	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.4004	-5.10%	1.3608	-7.79%	0.0340	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4012	-5.12%	1.2619	-14.55%	0.1113	✓	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2315	-4.42%	1.4833	+15.13%	0.1977	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.1803	-4.33%	1.4321	+16.07%	0.2142	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.2328	-4.94%	1.7264	+33.12%	0.3536	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1013	-4.55%	1.5906	+37.86%	0.3994	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1469	-4.94%	1.4643	+21.37%	0.2678	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.1994	-5.32%	1.4757	+16.50%	0.2310	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3289	-5.81%	1.4768	+4.68%	0.1167	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.4371	-6.11%	1.2884	-15.82%	0.1305	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.3607	-5.97%	1.2338	-14.73%	0.1276	✓	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.4678	-6.05%	1.2969	-16.99%	0.1563	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.3267	-5.62%	1.1538	-17.93%	0.1837	✓	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.4121	-6.56%	1.2065	-20.16%	0.1797	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0295	-5.04%	1.2667	+16.83%	0.1805	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.895174	-4.31%	1.4108	+50.81%	0.4553	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.751781	-3.63%	1.5306	+96.21%	0.7298	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.748701	-3.79%	1.447	+85.94%	0.6767	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.698906	-2.52%	1.5624	+117.91%	0.8334	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.68109	-2.55%	1.4058	+101.14%	0.7497	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.685599	-2.60%	1.5112	+114.69%	0.8251	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.683484	-2.50%	1.0842	+54.66%	0.4885	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.693453	-2.70%	0.9355	+31.26%	0.2962	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.608525	-2.45%	0.7801	+25.06%	0.2386	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.603745	-2.45%	0.7782	+25.74%	0.2382	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.620675	-2.55%	0.717	+12.58%	0.1209	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.560001	-2.13%	0.6989	+22.14%	0.2047	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.571926	-1.93%	0.7039	+20.70%	0.1873	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.607178	-2.18%	0.701	+12.94%	0.1253	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.583648	-1.97%	0.7127	+19.70%	0.1842	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.593839	-2.39%	0.6238	+2.53%	0.0438	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.595943	-2.35%	0.6189	+1.41%	0.0354	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.578806	-2.33%	0.6369	+7.48%	0.0939	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.599758	-2.59%	0.5722	-7.07%	0.0450	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.584529	-2.58%	0.5832	-2.80%	0.0194	✓	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.615666	-2.69%	0.6207	-1.90%	0.0328	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.576202	-2.65%	0.5954	+0.59%	0.0698	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.623169	-2.78%	0.6084	-5.09%	0.0104	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.