FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s4

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

47.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3015

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0628

actual +0.0425

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.763061	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.756154	-9.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.806121	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.822742	-10.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.794931	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.827348	-10.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.851822	-10.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.838729	-10.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.887743	-11.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.897685	-11.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.876227	-11.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.870834	-11.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.82617	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.805471	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.886464	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.877626	-10.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	0.937506	-11.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	0.989119	-11.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	0.959501	-11.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	0.951043	-11.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	0.942383	-12.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	0.949736	-12.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	0.939867	-13.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.0815	-13.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.0767	-13.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.0748	-13.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.135	-13.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.0548	-13.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.1138	-12.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.1695	-12.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.118	-10.57%	0.8476	-32.20%	0.2424	✓	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.0018	-10.70%	0.8371	-25.39%	0.1938	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.0917	-10.29%	0.8963	-26.35%	0.2020	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.0833	-9.65%	0.9173	-23.49%	0.1750	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.859685	-7.13%	0.8812	-4.81%	0.0089	✓	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.76556	-5.26%	0.922	+14.09%	0.1697	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.765403	-5.34%	0.9549	+18.09%	0.1990	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.730867	-4.25%	0.93775	+22.85%	0.2342	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.690317	-3.36%	1.0017	+40.24%	0.3466	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.719382	-3.48%	1.0128	+35.88%	0.3241	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.725462	-3.09%	0.9873	+31.89%	0.2829	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.712948	-2.45%	0.9798	+34.06%	0.2927	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.756837	-2.11%	0.9222	+19.28%	0.1830	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.825896	-2.92%	0.8936	+5.04%	0.0677	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.862237	-2.49%	0.99505	+12.52%	0.1296	✗	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.974652	-3.87%	0.9847	-2.88%	0.0017	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.867995	-1.87%	1.0559	+19.38%	0.1837	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.701802	+0.27%	1.1169	+59.58%	0.4540	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.677275	+1.88%	1.0857	+63.31%	0.4649	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.665214	+1.17%	1.0794	+64.16%	0.4604	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.666581	+1.52%	1.0735	+63.49%	0.4509	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.698766	+1.76%	1.0859	+58.14%	0.4259	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.683141	+1.57%	1.0804	+60.63%	0.4374	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.685139	+2.06%	1.2496	+86.15%	0.5844	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.679022	+2.28%	1.2486	+88.07%	0.5881	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.702442	+4.10%	1.2486	+85.03%	0.5627	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.6981	+3.50%	1.3131	+94.67%	0.6163	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.715011	+3.46%	1.2151	+75.82%	0.5126	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.708407	+4.79%	1.2796	+89.29%	0.5738	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.737437	+3.34%	1.3302	+86.41%	0.5587	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.727616	+3.86%	1.2501	+78.43%	0.5063	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.706177	+6.30%	1.1219	+68.88%	0.4510	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.672237	+1.44%	1.217	+83.64%	0.5549	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.628319	-2.86%	1.199	+85.37%	0.5918	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.58804	-5.52%	0.9257	+48.73%	0.4044	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.588978	-5.54%	0.8081	+29.61%	0.2613	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.588898	-5.61%	0.8086	+29.60%	0.2550	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.586815	-5.58%	0.7633	+22.82%	0.1912	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.593434	-5.65%	0.7143	+13.56%	0.1144	✗	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.590822	-5.72%	0.7453	+18.92%	0.1524	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.591652	-5.68%	0.7486	+19.34%	0.1498	✗	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.603862	-5.87%	0.73085	+13.93%	0.1004	✗	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.589119	-5.80%	0.77315	+23.62%	0.1603	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.594706	-5.68%	0.8507	+34.92%	0.2671	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.611659	-5.74%	0.8843	+36.28%	0.2742	✗	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.596091	-5.65%	1.0139	+60.48%	0.4276	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.586424	-5.51%	0.88455	+42.53%	0.3075	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.588748	-5.60%	0.6999	+12.22%	0.0727	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.611682	-6.03%	0.6648	+2.14%	0.0321	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.614512	-6.32%	0.6575	+0.23%	0.0379	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.616522	-6.39%	0.6566	-0.30%	0.0537	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.617718	-6.45%	0.6867	+4.00%	0.0279	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.621657	-6.50%	0.6726	+1.16%	0.0476	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.624926	-6.56%	0.6713	+0.37%	0.0457	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.600824	-5.99%	0.6639	+3.88%	0.0219	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.598214	-5.30%	0.6748	+6.82%	0.0210	✓	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.648489	-5.43%	0.6745	-1.63%	0.1004	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.633049	-4.95%	0.6911	+3.77%	0.0343	✓	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.652799	-4.77%	0.676	-1.39%	0.1144	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.710964	-5.20%	0.7136	-4.85%	0.1544	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.603179	-3.44%	0.7006	+12.15%	0.0053	✓	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.664114	-3.70%	0.6643	-3.67%	0.1511	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.632478	-2.85%	0.6627	+1.80%	0.0370	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.617976	-2.70%	0.6468	+1.84%	0.0105	✓	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.596607	-2.21%	0.6224	+2.02%	0.0423	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.602014	-1.82%	0.6235	+1.68%	0.0395	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.599494	-1.58%	0.6239	+2.43%	0.0548	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.622446	-1.42%	0.6215	-1.57%	0.0090	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.649234	-1.47%	0.629	-4.54%	0.0062	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.642816	-1.12%	0.6267	-3.60%	0.0029	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.626985	-1.42%	0.6273	-1.37%	0.0166	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.63824	-1.25%	0.6415	-0.74%	0.0082	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.637827	-1.16%	0.6254	-3.08%	0.0217	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.644741	-1.07%	0.6305	-3.25%	0.0325	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.608661	-0.53%	0.6489	+6.05%	0.0397	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.617636	-0.53%	0.6318	+1.76%	0.0163	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.624902	-0.26%	0.6206	-0.94%	0.0207	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.630375	+0.06%	0.6237	-1.00%	0.0194	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.637417	+0.27%	0.6509	+2.39%	0.0140	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.64821	+0.36%	0.656	+1.56%	0.0062	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.641959	+0.53%	0.6586	+3.13%	0.0115	✓	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.65042	+0.48%	0.6603	+2.01%	0.0039	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.652549	+0.35%	0.6649	+2.25%	0.0253	✗	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.661267	+0.10%	0.6688	+1.24%	0.0855	✗	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.645073	+0.48%	0.6391	-0.45%	0.0697	✗	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.670318	+0.02%	0.6317	-5.74%	0.1308	✗	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.666157	-0.04%	0.6857	+2.90%	0.0316	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.652487	+0.03%	0.666	+2.10%	0.0641	✗	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.648503	-0.03%	0.6855	+5.67%	0.0181	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.6528	-0.03%	0.75	+14.85%	0.0898	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.683151	-0.33%	0.6247	-8.86%	0.1288	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.695931	-0.47%	0.6896	-1.37%	0.0440	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.71516	-0.73%	0.651	-9.63%	0.1485	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.7023	-0.50%	0.6351	-10.02%	0.1172	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.698327	-0.35%	0.6101	-12.94%	0.1560	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.715832	-0.48%	0.6132	-14.75%	0.1878	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.742729	-0.82%	0.6091	-18.67%	0.1889	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.762765	-1.06%	0.6314	-18.10%	0.1578	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.768204	-1.03%	0.6589	-15.11%	0.1286	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.761305	-1.01%	0.6501	-15.47%	0.1464	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.762809	-1.00%	0.636	-17.46%	0.1448	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.749532	-0.86%	0.6463	-14.51%	0.1516	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.72626	-0.78%	0.6453	-11.84%	0.1217	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.711114	-0.64%	0.6517	-8.94%	0.1337	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.721199	-1.11%	0.6119	-16.10%	0.1905	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.720878	-1.64%	0.6209	-15.28%	0.1349	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.701823	-1.53%	0.6265	-12.09%	0.1139	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.726931	-1.79%	0.63	-14.89%	0.2014	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.727088	-1.81%	0.6357	-14.15%	0.1813	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.77949	-3.46%	0.6459	-20.00%	0.1752	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.83454	-4.62%	0.6386	-27.02%	0.2403	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.82711	-5.36%	0.6473	-25.94%	0.1536	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.848313	-7.35%	0.6503	-28.98%	0.0860	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.824088	-7.92%	0.6606	-26.19%	0.0314	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.837413	-8.18%	0.642	-29.61%	0.0751	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.874229	-8.56%	0.6702	-29.90%	0.0753	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.875603	-8.76%	0.6664	-30.56%	0.0910	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.866084	-8.92%	0.6523	-31.40%	0.1104	✓	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.890676	-9.68%	0.6487	-34.22%	0.1247	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.923566	-10.39%	0.653	-36.64%	0.1398	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.912199	-10.35%	0.6854	-32.64%	0.1051	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.841954	-9.17%	0.6992	-24.57%	0.0263	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.854533	-8.96%	0.7204	-23.25%	0.0126	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.868591	-9.29%	0.7058	-26.29%	0.0378	✓	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	0.946512	-10.42%	0.7008	-33.67%	0.1230	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.879033	-9.52%	0.7193	-25.96%	0.0261	✓	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.866296	-9.18%	0.7489	-21.49%	0.0097	✓	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.854495	-8.80%	0.7709	-17.72%	0.0458	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	0.93786	-10.21%	0.7762	-25.69%	0.0453	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.0642	-11.39%	0.7691	-35.96%	0.1697	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.1201	-11.72%	0.7705	-39.27%	0.1880	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.0556	-11.39%	0.756	-36.53%	0.1447	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.2218	-12.12%	0.732	-47.35%	0.3238	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.0627	-10.55%	0.7157	-39.76%	0.1410	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.0682	-9.92%	0.7293	-38.50%	0.1213	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.0503	-9.86%	0.7329	-37.10%	0.1359	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.0573	-9.48%	0.7127	-38.98%	0.1860	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.0657	-8.96%	0.7402	-36.76%	0.1176	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.0778	-7.67%	0.7405	-36.56%	0.0564	✓	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.944069	-6.03%	0.8074	-19.64%	0.1244	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.853117	-5.36%	0.875	-2.93%	0.2784	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.837472	-6.01%	0.874	-1.91%	0.2311	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.83727	-6.00%	0.9156	+2.80%	0.2018	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.806423	-5.91%	0.895	+4.42%	0.1741	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.772661	-6.80%	0.912	+10.01%	0.2032	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.764876	-6.84%	0.9561	+16.46%	0.2586	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.845358	-7.47%	0.9597	+5.05%	0.1691	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.819543	-6.27%	0.9509	+8.75%	0.1943	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.8977	-6.23%	0.9861	+3.01%	0.1350	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.772971	-5.52%	1.0307	+25.99%	0.2935	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.722759	-4.91%	1.0175	+33.86%	0.3491	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.77175	-4.57%	0.927	+14.63%	0.2070	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.792174	-4.94%	0.9386	+12.64%	0.2100	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.742961	-5.80%	0.9575	+21.40%	0.2363	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.728822	-6.07%	1.0566	+36.18%	0.3481	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.710858	-7.28%	0.9715	+26.71%	0.2701	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.727586	-5.94%	0.9539	+23.32%	0.2538	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.73854	-4.47%	0.9369	+21.19%	0.2336	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.667778	-5.73%	1.0445	+47.44%	0.4064	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.703386	-6.28%	1.201	+60.03%	0.4762	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.721734	-6.89%	1.2687	+63.68%	0.4683	✗	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.756098	-6.72%	1.1912	+46.95%	0.3832	✗	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.729723	-7.48%	1.3903	+76.28%	0.4968	✗	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.759366	-6.57%	1.1881	+46.17%	0.3183	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.655206	-5.69%	1.1859	+70.71%	0.4554	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.62066	-5.49%	1.1651	+77.42%	0.4957	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.621008	-5.00%	1.168	+78.68%	0.4927	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.634606	-4.47%	1.1705	+76.20%	0.4891	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.605785	-4.56%	1.1673	+83.91%	0.4612	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.577867	-4.37%	1.0047	+66.26%	0.3685	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.596903	-4.42%	0.9014	+44.34%	0.2113	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.595415	-4.50%	0.891	+42.90%	0.2155	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.600204	-4.62%	0.8907	+41.54%	0.2042	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.592811	-4.71%	0.8571	+37.78%	0.2069	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.591692	-4.53%	0.829	+33.75%	0.2073	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.596847	-3.86%	0.821	+32.25%	0.1711	✗	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.614658	-3.60%	0.9136	+43.29%	0.2277	✗	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.612059	-3.08%	0.8744	+38.46%	0.1803	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.591697	-2.21%	0.9573	+58.21%	0.2862	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.606872	-1.85%	0.8181	+32.31%	0.1584	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.673558	-2.03%	0.7601	+10.56%	0.0276	✗	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.638527	-1.23%	0.8087	+25.09%	0.1201	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.649097	-0.98%	0.8333	+27.12%	0.1402	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.62338	-0.72%	0.7887	+25.61%	0.1038	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.669988	-1.05%	0.7759	+14.59%	0.0405	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.665582	-0.51%	0.7667	+14.60%	0.0901	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.653187	+0.04%	0.7735	+18.47%	0.0803	✓	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.674309	+0.31%	0.7731	+15.01%	0.0507	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.672943	+1.29%	0.7084	+6.62%	0.0328	✓	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.691471	+1.55%	0.7505	+10.22%	0.0827	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.656128	+1.58%	0.7751	+20.00%	0.1466	✓	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.638452	+1.47%	0.8106	+28.83%	0.1908	✓	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.650805	+1.37%	0.7887	+22.85%	0.1951	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.661428	+1.35%	0.8128	+24.55%	0.1671	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.620892	+1.45%	0.6947	+13.51%	0.0691	✓	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.654525	+1.35%	0.6567	+1.69%	0.0253	✗	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.692192	+0.92%	0.6537	-4.69%	0.1002	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.652722	+1.07%	0.6643	+2.86%	0.0800	✗	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.660166	+1.53%	0.6347	-2.38%	0.0659	✗	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.718353	+1.51%	0.6043	-14.61%	0.1876	✗	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.764745	+1.74%	0.6245	-16.92%	0.1443	✗	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.730777	+2.54%	0.6235	-12.52%	0.0656	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.739328	+2.54%	0.6293	-12.72%	0.1359	✗	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.797332	+2.21%	0.6221	-20.25%	0.2356	✗	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.860625	+1.20%	0.6198	-27.12%	0.3738	✗	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.825027	+1.86%	0.6208	-23.36%	0.2802	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.840245	+1.53%	0.6376	-22.96%	0.2778	✗	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.761229	+2.54%	0.6315	-14.94%	0.1647	✗	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.788689	+2.10%	0.6051	-21.67%	0.2341	✗	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.709844	+2.58%	0.6183	-10.65%	0.2243	✗	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.721114	+2.56%	0.6875	-2.22%	0.1659	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.754258	+2.54%	0.6465	-12.11%	0.2058	✗	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.786997	+2.26%	0.6555	-14.83%	0.2359	✗	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.812248	+2.09%	0.6279	-21.08%	0.2547	✗	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.819911	+2.12%	0.6771	-15.67%	0.2299	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.828411	+2.11%	0.669	-17.54%	0.2962	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.839649	+2.15%	0.6529	-20.57%	0.3034	✗	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.885108	+1.71%	0.6722	-22.75%	0.3243	✗	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.933566	+1.13%	0.6644	-28.03%	0.4420	✗	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.950353	+0.84%	0.6809	-27.75%	0.4320	✗	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.952488	+0.57%	0.6459	-31.80%	0.4653	✗	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.863746	+1.63%	0.6292	-25.97%	0.4142	✗	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.876872	+1.53%	0.642	-25.67%	0.3854	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.923247	+0.91%	0.6526	-28.67%	0.3786	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.960568	+0.30%	0.612	-36.10%	0.4527	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.986478	-0.20%	0.6458	-34.67%	0.4179	✓	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0583	-1.33%	0.6859	-36.05%	0.4177	✓	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1109	-2.60%	0.6458	-43.38%	0.4488	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.937703	+0.57%	0.6502	-30.27%	0.4575	✗	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1125	-3.53%	0.7077	-38.63%	0.3569	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1025	-4.27%	0.7517	-34.73%	0.2839	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.1403	-5.61%	0.7127	-41.00%	0.3512	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.1378	-5.32%	0.721	-40.01%	0.3075	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.1533	-6.05%	0.7801	-36.45%	0.2138	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.1851	-7.64%	0.8504	-33.73%	0.0187	✓	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.19	-7.84%	0.81	-37.27%	0.0470	✓	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.3064	-9.12%	0.8276	-42.43%	0.0249	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.2892	-9.03%	0.7424	-47.61%	0.1415	✓	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.3748	-8.86%	0.7725	-48.79%	0.1958	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.2749	-8.19%	0.692	-50.17%	0.1704	✓	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.4233	-8.95%	0.7031	-55.02%	0.2540	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.4519	-9.28%	0.7356	-54.04%	0.2774	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.5443	-9.98%	0.7696	-55.14%	0.3011	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.5287	-10.34%	0.7956	-53.34%	0.2614	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.5717	-10.63%	0.8029	-54.34%	0.2518	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.5515	-11.59%	0.8113	-53.77%	0.1190	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.4126	-11.72%	0.822	-48.63%	0.0054	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.4957	-12.04%	0.8702	-48.82%	0.0046	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.6758	-12.31%	0.9231	-51.70%	0.0638	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.624	-12.24%	0.9424	-49.07%	0.0384	✓	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.6484	-13.14%	0.9471	-50.09%	0.0084	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.2954	-10.30%	0.8499	-41.15%	0.1451	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.2595	-8.71%	0.8637	-37.40%	0.0979	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.1556	-7.59%	0.9149	-26.84%	0.1980	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.036	-5.98%	0.9577	-13.09%	0.3120	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.0776	-6.70%	0.9885	-14.42%	0.2662	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.0884	-7.15%	1.0725	-8.51%	0.3200	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.1281	-8.02%	1.1406	-7.00%	0.2246	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.1697	-10.03%	0.9324	-28.29%	0.0771	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.1402	-9.92%	1.1532	-8.89%	0.2001	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.1452	-8.76%	1.1517	-8.24%	0.1405	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.1395	-8.25%	1.208	-2.73%	0.1593	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.1406	-8.07%	1.2018	-3.14%	0.1639	✗	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2021	-8.26%	1.2276	-6.31%	0.1104	✗	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.2359	-7.90%	1.2832	-4.37%	0.0670	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.2385	-8.58%	1.2912	-4.69%	0.0774	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.319	-9.04%	1.4375	-0.87%	0.0674	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.1598	-7.01%	1.4171	+13.62%	0.1889	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.1559	-6.83%	1.5084	+21.59%	0.2619	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.1479	-6.45%	1.3886	+13.16%	0.1973	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.2635	-7.98%	1.5632	+13.85%	0.1947	✗	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.1938	-7.07%	1.6004	+24.57%	0.2753	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.2221	-7.24%	1.7155	+30.21%	0.3196	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.2338	-7.90%	1.705	+27.28%	0.3158	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.2288	-7.76%	1.7586	+32.02%	0.3616	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.2469	-7.78%	1.7548	+29.79%	0.3017	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.2723	-7.79%	1.6001	+15.97%	0.1769	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.3137	-6.94%	1.7004	+20.45%	0.1620	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.4324	-8.52%	1.911	+22.05%	0.1991	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.3883	-8.60%	1.8505	+21.83%	0.2145	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.4198	-8.22%	1.8977	+22.67%	0.1884	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.425	-8.72%	1.4442	-7.49%	0.0536	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.4948	-9.88%	1.3797	-16.82%	0.0886	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.5312	-9.92%	1.2505	-26.43%	0.2079	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.6732	-11.97%	1.1019	-42.03%	0.3993	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	1.7991	-13.01%	1.155	-44.15%	0.4300	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	1.8923	-14.56%	1.1722	-47.07%	0.4647	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	1.8151	-12.52%	1.2265	-40.89%	0.3972	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	1.88	-12.90%	1.3002	-39.76%	0.3965	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	1.9076	-12.30%	1.2657	-41.81%	0.4486	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.0394	-13.95%	1.2551	-47.04%	0.5037	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.021	-15.80%	1.2419	-48.26%	0.4744	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	1.88	-15.09%	1.2407	-43.96%	0.3854	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	1.8098	-12.42%	1.3103	-36.59%	0.3008	✓	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	1.824	-10.70%	1.3419	-34.30%	0.3188	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.7889	-11.36%	1.3547	-32.87%	0.2580	✓	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	1.9314	-12.19%	1.4501	-34.07%	0.2491	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	1.9753	-12.24%	1.2472	-44.59%	0.4292	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.2552	-14.90%	1.2406	-53.18%	0.5627	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.3767	-15.55%	1.2271	-56.40%	0.6283	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.4004	-14.57%	1.373	-51.14%	0.5570	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.5763	-17.17%	1.2847	-58.70%	0.6890	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.2666	-14.36%	1.3175	-50.22%	0.5484	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	1.861	-10.80%	1.3396	-35.79%	0.3558	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.0848	-13.07%	1.3321	-44.45%	0.4729	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.4734	-15.53%	1.352	-53.83%	0.6149	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	2.8855	-17.77%	1.3798	-60.68%	0.7283	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	2.8472	-18.78%	1.4117	-59.73%	0.6810	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.435	-19.96%	1.5658	-63.52%	0.7661	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.3293	-20.34%	1.5189	-63.66%	0.7615	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.5667	-17.28%	1.547	-50.15%	0.4631	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.3909	-17.02%	1.5612	-45.82%	0.3976	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.4025	-18.26%	1.6587	-43.56%	0.3324	✓	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.3105	-18.62%	1.6998	-40.13%	0.2598	✓	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.5591	-18.39%	1.9007	-39.39%	0.2591	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.4679	-18.21%	2.0681	-31.46%	0.1231	✓	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	1.8724	-14.73%	2.2147	+0.86%	0.1994	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.5678	-12.61%	2.0749	+15.66%	0.2946	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.5519	-12.93%	2.1585	+21.10%	0.3455	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.3068	-10.99%	2.1753	+48.16%	0.5093	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.6068	-13.51%	2.3701	+27.58%	0.3602	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.6193	-13.54%	2.4001	+28.16%	0.3754	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.3874	-12.21%	2.2141	+40.11%	0.4736	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.5598	-13.51%	2.0663	+14.58%	0.2549	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.3745	-12.60%	2.0424	+29.87%	0.3583	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.2037	-11.54%	2.0181	+48.30%	0.4812	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.1228	-11.02%	2.1995	+74.30%	0.6366	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.2859	-13.31%	2.2508	+51.74%	0.5047	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.2338	-13.85%	2.65	+85.04%	0.7111	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.4753	-14.55%	2.8145	+63.03%	0.5708	✗	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.3702	-13.86%	2.8099	+76.66%	0.6327	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.2738	-13.01%	3.1104	+112.42%	0.8074	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.2856	-12.88%	2.6466	+79.35%	0.6245	✗	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.2862	-12.91%	2.0862	+41.26%	0.3800	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.1331	-12.05%	2.3982	+86.14%	0.6285	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.0857	-12.01%	2.928	+137.32%	0.8783	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.131	-12.79%	3.509	+170.57%	1.0302	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.0102	-12.45%	3.5056	+203.83%	1.1493	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.0486	-13.08%	4.2919	+255.73%	1.3214	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.0926	-13.74%	4.1796	+229.96%	1.2727	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.2048	-14.60%	3.103	+119.95%	0.8670	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.2986	-15.16%	2.8813	+88.25%	0.6822	✗	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.232	-14.86%	2.939	+103.11%	0.7807	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.329	-14.94%	2.8393	+81.73%	0.6610	✗	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.2081	-14.06%	3.1359	+123.07%	0.8684	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.2796	-15.33%	3.0174	+99.67%	0.8276	✗	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	0.950483	-12.33%	2.1958	+102.53%	0.8030	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.837176	-10.51%	1.794	+91.77%	0.7628	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.711354	-8.81%	1.7824	+128.48%	0.9498	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.706174	-9.26%	1.4682	+88.67%	0.7774	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.675169	-5.83%	1.8578	+159.11%	1.0795	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.657285	-5.95%	1.8728	+167.96%	1.1166	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.660694	-6.14%	1.5803	+124.51%	0.9202	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.660293	-5.81%	1.8033	+157.25%	1.0393	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.668422	-6.21%	1.5727	+120.67%	0.8883	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.587115	-5.88%	1.3608	+118.15%	0.8609	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.579105	-6.43%	1.2619	+103.89%	0.7919	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.595624	-6.48%	1.4833	+132.89%	0.9228	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.536322	-6.27%	1.4321	+150.28%	0.9811	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.547409	-6.14%	1.7264	+196.02%	1.1413	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.581163	-6.37%	1.5906	+156.26%	0.9995	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.557835	-6.31%	1.4643	+145.94%	0.9614	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.568566	-6.55%	1.4757	+142.55%	0.9562	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.570013	-6.60%	1.4768	+141.98%	0.9542	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.55356	-6.59%	1.2884	+117.41%	0.8504	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.574142	-6.75%	1.2338	+100.39%	0.7696	✗	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.559617	-6.73%	1.2969	+116.15%	0.8589	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.58897	-6.91%	1.1538	+82.36%	0.7015	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.552109	-6.72%	1.2065	+103.84%	0.8275	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.596264	-6.98%	1.2667	+97.61%	0.7984	✗	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.