DCR

Decred · native · gru_s4

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

74.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0629

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0112

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.5316	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.5596	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.3287	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.2914	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.2513	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.5772	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.9282	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.859	-1.82%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0812	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.0643	-1.84%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0839	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.0183	-1.92%	14.512	-11.15%	0.0996	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.3653	-1.92%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1076	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.5438	-2.06%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1235	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.0857	-2.28%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1370	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.9817	-2.28%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1201	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.6246	-2.57%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0712	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.8826	-2.58%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0665	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.0192	-2.77%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0618	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.8612	-2.69%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0424	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8225	-2.59%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0366	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.7745	-2.63%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0018	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.7168	-2.50%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0101	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9585	-2.58%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0099	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.6853	-2.38%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0195	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.434	-2.15%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0398	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.1032	-2.25%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0053	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.8907	-2.09%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0193	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.3695	-1.87%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0458	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.9072	-1.97%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0102	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.9061	-2.02%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0369	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.3311	-2.12%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0140	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.6617	-1.72%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0376	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.936	-2.12%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0567	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.1682	-1.91%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0310	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.4061	-1.88%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0157	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.5631	-1.71%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0147	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.525	-1.03%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0778	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7337	-0.12%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1289	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.5473	-0.87%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0060	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.2247	-0.65%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0228	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0379	-0.13%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0497	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.9221	+0.31%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0724	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.6652	+0.69%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0749	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.6134	+0.81%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0370	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.3477	-0.06%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1349	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.0014	+1.35%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0512	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.7617	+0.98%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0078	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.053	+1.01%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0248	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.7385	+1.16%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0313	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.648	+2.48%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1075	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0243	+0.55%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1504	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.3936	+0.06%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1754	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.5805	+0.25%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0738	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0964	+0.21%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1346	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2948	+0.30%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0888	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1507	+0.15%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0750	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.0344	+0.73%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0076	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.9142	+0.46%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0218	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.7342	+0.51%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0589	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9291	+0.56%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0478	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2929	+0.29%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0152	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.0137	+0.21%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0035	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.1284	+0.94%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0792	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0134	+0.49%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0663	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8751	-0.45%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0322	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5138	-1.70%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0295	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8611	-1.79%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0561	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7482	-1.84%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0317	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8239	-1.77%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0447	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7709	-1.66%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1307	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.9431	-1.62%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1476	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.0497	-1.60%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1039	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.7595	-1.74%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1046	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.576	-1.62%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0498	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.734	-1.68%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0285	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.59	-1.63%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0136	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.5625	-1.49%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0165	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.3348	-1.40%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0020	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.7767	-1.54%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0228	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.1373	-1.85%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0030	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.0139	-1.93%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0253	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9686	-1.98%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0237	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.8341	-2.05%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0387	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8744	-2.16%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0441	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2923	-2.31%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0531	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4427	-1.78%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1150	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.3746	-1.78%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1596	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0087	-1.56%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1904	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5075	-1.52%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1670	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4552	-1.08%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1576	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4962	-0.84%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1541	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8976	-0.80%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1390	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.3611	-0.87%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0275	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.487	-0.88%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0367	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.5855	-1.13%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0954	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5589	-1.27%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0820	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.545	-1.34%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0725	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.4126	-1.36%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0711	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1059	-1.73%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1082	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.2584	-1.80%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0819	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.5081	-1.86%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0926	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.3193	-1.55%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0072	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.0629	-1.10%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0397	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1757	-0.69%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1148	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0843	-0.68%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1302	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.944	-0.62%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1893	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9058	-0.59%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1784	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9495	-0.57%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2051	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.142	-0.66%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1411	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.0753	-0.63%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0943	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.2143	-0.62%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0065	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4057	-0.68%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0454	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1072	-0.67%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0333	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8661	-0.68%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0241	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6588	-0.65%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0382	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1772	-0.92%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0505	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11	-0.95%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0444	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3532	-1.18%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0501	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.0724	-1.11%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0016	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8462	-1.04%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0061	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.0156	-1.34%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0810	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0686	-0.97%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0306	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.3924	-1.04%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0454	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3165	-1.02%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0364	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7394	-1.13%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0475	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.491	-1.08%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0303	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3651	-0.99%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0155	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9011	-1.15%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0783	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.2396	-1.21%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0445	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.5163	-1.21%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.6483	-1.28%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0627	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.0965	-1.19%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.9081	-1.03%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.0474	-1.02%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.7478	-0.71%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.875	-0.73%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.15	-0.99%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.2525	-1.05%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.2331	-0.46%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0564	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.0752	-0.22%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0438	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.009	-1.09%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0627	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.3104	-1.35%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1488	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.4832	-1.78%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1137	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.1985	-2.66%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0910	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.4923	-3.18%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0737	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.