DCR

Decred · native · gru_s4

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0963

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0220

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	13.9316	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.0522	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.7522	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.7089	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.6199	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.9346	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.3103	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.1109	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.3833	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.2473	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.7189	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.8343	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.3164	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.1995	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.8274	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.1564	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.2605	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.1524	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.1345	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.0817	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.0857	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.2832	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.095	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.9414	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.6142	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.4697	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.0326	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.5447	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.5398	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.014	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.5397	-2.40%	14.773	-17.80%	0.1357	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.4957	-4.66%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1297	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.7899	-4.07%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1518	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.0373	-3.96%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1760	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.0745	-4.61%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1626	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.1424	-3.47%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0828	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.4424	-2.10%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0241	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.288	-2.42%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0401	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.9265	-2.48%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0321	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.7961	-1.63%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0090	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.7286	-0.91%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0027	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.467	-0.59%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0267	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.4851	+0.03%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0198	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.2347	-0.71%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0213	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.9328	+0.91%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0875	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.7246	+0.76%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0460	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.1532	+1.64%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0839	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.7868	+1.47%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0911	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.7556	+3.23%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1821	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0115	+0.46%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1869	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.4146	+0.21%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1502	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.7619	+1.49%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1690	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.2311	+1.17%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1783	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.5578	+2.14%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1472	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.4828	+2.50%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1767	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.5813	+4.66%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1815	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.4657	+4.44%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1469	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.3754	+5.20%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1770	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.7425	+6.44%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1576	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	15.1603	+6.38%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1201	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.9724	+7.06%	17.971	+28.50%	0.0798	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	14.1923	+9.13%	17.302	+33.04%	0.1656	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.5646	+5.10%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2394	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	12.0072	+0.66%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2471	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.2056	-4.33%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2364	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.5258	-4.57%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1351	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.3565	-5.11%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0663	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.4572	-4.82%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1485	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.421	-4.59%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1480	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.6122	-4.35%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1159	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.7318	-4.20%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0944	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.4113	-4.42%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0292	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.2734	-3.99%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0797	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.4361	-3.98%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1314	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.3007	-3.89%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0400	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.3056	-3.50%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0728	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.0898	-3.36%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0444	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.509	-3.61%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0026	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.7819	-4.50%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1425	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.6292	-4.83%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1115	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.571	-4.98%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0767	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.414	-5.25%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0817	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.4516	-5.37%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1048	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.906	-5.14%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1033	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.1409	-4.37%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0437	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.0872	-4.26%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0037	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.7555	-3.82%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0427	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.2787	-3.48%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0155	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3118	-2.32%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0045	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4113	-1.57%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0364	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8427	-1.26%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0047	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.3153	-1.24%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.1056	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4664	-1.05%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1297	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4852	-1.92%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1044	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4214	-2.35%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0588	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.4132	-2.38%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0226	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.2373	-2.76%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0060	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.8521	-3.63%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0539	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.0427	-3.40%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0590	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.294	-3.42%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0669	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.169	-2.75%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0094	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.974	-1.83%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0840	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1115	-1.26%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1382	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0096	-1.35%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1524	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8711	-1.28%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1389	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8287	-1.30%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1260	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8939	-1.07%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1248	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.071	-1.29%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1503	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.0041	-1.26%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.1892	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1383	-1.30%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1697	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3167	-1.45%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1418	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.003	-1.61%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1559	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.7381	-1.85%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1610	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5039	-2.10%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1683	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.9887	-2.59%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0059	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.7845	-2.89%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0102	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.0954	-3.42%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0444	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.8176	-3.39%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0049	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6177	-3.12%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0253	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.7544	-3.49%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0512	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.8302	-3.10%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0678	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.1579	-3.08%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0815	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.0704	-3.17%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0838	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.485	-3.27%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.2266	-3.36%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1061	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.1084	-3.23%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1051	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.6296	-3.41%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.9641	-3.44%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1371	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.2538	-3.28%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1208	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.371	-3.44%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1177	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.803	-3.59%	12.513	+2.21%	0.0926	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.6206	-3.42%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0453	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.7481	-3.48%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0463	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.4226	-3.46%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.5133	-3.75%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0684	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.7408	-4.32%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.8027	-4.68%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0697	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.7398	-4.48%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0961	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.5628	-4.46%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.4639	-5.23%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0881	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.7167	-5.44%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1537	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.8585	-6.02%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1337	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.4405	-7.52%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1042	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.6311	-8.56%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0813	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.