BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
27.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2760
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0325
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9809 | -5.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.925 | -5.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8529 | -5.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.28 | -5.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2977 | -5.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8255 | -5.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.718 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2518 | -5.40% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0484 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.978 | -5.29% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0298 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6604 | -5.09% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1708 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5479 | -4.79% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4155 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5115 | -4.59% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4510 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5031 | -4.58% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2303 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3363 | -4.05% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3150 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2492 | -3.73% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6136 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1728 | -3.36% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5337 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1878 | -3.72% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3149 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.195 | -4.08% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2564 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.988369 | -4.75% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4330 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3125 | -5.00% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1414 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3508 | -4.76% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0368 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2666 | -4.69% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0180 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3224 | -4.78% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0445 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0689 | -4.49% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1935 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1686 | -4.27% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1114 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.961027 | -4.05% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0843 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2443 | -5.40% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1140 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.92015 | -3.59% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4427 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.994854 | -4.14% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2715 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.870961 | -2.99% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4967 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.777894 | -2.85% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4007 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.714297 | -4.38% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4960 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.567622 | -3.84% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5294 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.604387 | -4.10% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7386 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.685432 | -4.79% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2309 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.713743 | -4.86% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2717 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.673326 | -4.50% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1563 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.567314 | -2.62% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2423 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.688908 | -6.20% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.538438 | -2.16% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0418 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.501778 | -1.38% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1815 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.492468 | -1.52% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3821 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.45094 | -0.04% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5367 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.439828 | +0.47% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.454445 | +0.75% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2601 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.453934 | +1.46% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.458962 | +1.50% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.463782 | +1.58% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1241 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.463876 | +2.09% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.491275 | +0.34% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0979 | ✗ | 1.00 |