BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
38.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1132
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0090
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0772 | -1.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0186 | -1.20% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0373 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9438 | -1.15% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0700 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3843 | -1.28% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1959 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.399 | -1.61% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0184 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9049 | -1.19% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2446 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7976 | -1.05% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0586 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3466 | -1.42% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2465 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0596 | -1.38% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1201 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7305 | -1.09% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2122 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6095 | -1.00% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0494 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5689 | -0.97% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0491 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5577 | -1.11% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0233 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3794 | -0.96% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1485 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2859 | -0.90% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0511 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2044 | -0.75% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0343 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2235 | -0.82% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0119 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2347 | -0.89% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0145 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0281 | -0.92% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2286 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.367 | -1.05% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2707 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.4031 | -1.07% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0227 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3145 | -1.08% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1041 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3704 | -1.32% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0325 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1075 | -1.05% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2304 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2074 | -1.09% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0996 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.993255 | -0.83% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2073 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2869 | -2.16% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2433 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.946332 | -0.85% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3229 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0228 | -1.44% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0691 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.889111 | -0.97% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1760 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.7919 | -1.10% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1301 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.737405 | -1.29% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.585801 | -0.76% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2441 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.624917 | -0.84% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0614 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.711965 | -1.10% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1796 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.739947 | -1.37% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.695967 | -1.29% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0676 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.578968 | -0.62% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2307 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.713536 | -2.85% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.547023 | -0.60% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3006 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.50716 | -0.32% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.497481 | -0.51% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.45134 | +0.05% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.438563 | +0.19% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0303 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.451863 | +0.18% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0236 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.448959 | +0.35% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.453712 | +0.33% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.45801 | +0.32% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.455926 | +0.34% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.488561 | -0.21% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1224 | ✓ | 1.00 |