BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +30d
assessed
21
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
4.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0380
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0276
actual +1.0104
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.463 | -11.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.4524 | -11.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.8624 | -8.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.7909 | -8.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2133 | -8.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2161 | -9.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.7557 | -8.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.6666 | -8.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.1653 | -9.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.8968 | -9.17% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.5994 | -8.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.492 | -8.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.4588 | -7.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4478 | -8.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.2816 | -7.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1917 | -8.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1102 | -8.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1278 | -8.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1364 | -8.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.933841 | -10.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2681 | -8.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3043 | -8.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.223 | -7.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.2739 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0365 | -7.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1357 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.94281 | -5.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1985 | -8.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.903654 | -5.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.973309 | -6.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.860068 | -4.20% | 1.6621 | +85.12% | 0.6820 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.772536 | -3.52% | 1.6423 | +105.11% | 0.7843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.707487 | -5.30% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.0389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.565452 | -4.21% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.60523 | -3.96% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.3700 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.684337 | -4.94% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.2068 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.711092 | -5.21% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9294 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.670762 | -4.86% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.9133 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.569127 | -2.31% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.3884 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.691203 | -5.89% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.0268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.537447 | -2.34% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1239 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.498868 | -1.95% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.1009 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.489901 | -2.03% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.0936 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.443879 | -1.60% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.2136 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.431285 | -1.48% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.1318 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.446944 | -0.91% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 1.0143 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.444308 | -0.69% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.9420 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.450127 | -0.46% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.9367 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.455763 | -0.17% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.9233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.456135 | +0.38% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7801 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.484238 | -1.10% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9593 | ✗ | 1.00 |