ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
78.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1056
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0323
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004621 | -3.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004312 | -2.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.00434 | -2.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004691 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004732 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004824 | -3.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004485 | -2.39% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004451 | -2.39% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0788 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004515 | -2.59% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0259 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004647 | -2.88% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0460 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004828 | -3.14% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0098 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004944 | -3.25% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0243 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004898 | -3.12% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0152 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005077 | -3.49% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.0962 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.00549 | -4.02% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2008 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005584 | -3.89% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2078 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.00564 | -4.01% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.1998 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005742 | -4.23% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1660 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005866 | -4.54% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1545 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005698 | -4.40% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1375 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005659 | -4.32% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1013 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005934 | -4.59% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0393 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006004 | -4.85% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0163 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.0061 | -5.21% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0177 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006169 | -5.38% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0113 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006076 | -5.28% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0140 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006066 | -5.29% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0141 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006156 | -5.59% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0359 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005901 | -5.28% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0458 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006396 | -6.35% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0377 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.00641 | -6.56% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0252 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006398 | -5.92% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0647 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006558 | -6.58% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0221 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006485 | -6.35% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006498 | -4.86% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.0967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006448 | -4.47% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007232 | -9.20% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.1886 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005854 | -0.53% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0563 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006123 | -0.03% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0496 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.00634 | +0.23% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0518 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006639 | +0.05% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.00693 | -0.14% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007062 | +0.16% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.00789 | -1.13% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0467 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.00794 | -0.87% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2879 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007909 | -0.45% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2106 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008203 | +0.10% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008332 | +0.51% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1963 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008355 | +0.66% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1256 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009232 | -0.41% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009706 | -0.60% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010446 | -1.03% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2723 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010623 | -1.09% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010919 | -1.19% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3072 | ✓ | 1.00 |