ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
64.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0428
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0090
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004711 | -1.34% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004375 | -0.68% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0856 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004406 | -0.66% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0084 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004791 | -1.11% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0786 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004835 | -1.03% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0072 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004945 | -1.39% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0132 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004569 | -0.56% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0884 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004536 | -0.54% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0173 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004608 | -0.58% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0221 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004752 | -0.68% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0147 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004947 | -0.77% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0486 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.00507 | -0.78% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0109 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005017 | -0.74% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0212 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005213 | -0.90% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0238 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.00566 | -1.05% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0873 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005757 | -0.91% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0264 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.00582 | -0.94% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0035 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005934 | -1.01% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0166 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006075 | -1.13% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0023 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005896 | -1.07% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0434 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005856 | -1.00% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0146 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006153 | -1.08% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0281 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006237 | -1.16% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0034 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006352 | -1.30% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0050 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006433 | -1.33% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0085 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006333 | -1.27% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0294 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006325 | -1.26% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0170 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00643 | -1.38% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0064 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006154 | -1.22% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0578 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006718 | -1.64% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.0925 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006739 | -1.77% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0098 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006698 | -1.50% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0984 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006895 | -1.78% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0149 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006799 | -1.82% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0276 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006739 | -1.34% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0303 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006658 | -1.37% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.00765 | -3.96% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1325 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005873 | -0.21% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3385 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006123 | -0.04% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0573 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.00633 | +0.08% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0269 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006636 | +0.01% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006933 | -0.10% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007052 | +0.03% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.00795 | -0.37% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007973 | -0.46% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007913 | -0.40% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008183 | -0.14% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0359 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008281 | -0.11% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008294 | -0.07% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009238 | -0.35% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1570 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009721 | -0.45% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.01049 | -0.61% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.01067 | -0.65% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0224 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.01098 | -0.63% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 1.00 |