ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3423
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0952
actual -0.4375
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004485 | 0.004433 | -1.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00452 | 0.004482 | -0.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004362 | -0.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004364 | -1.59% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004701 | -2.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004725 | -3.27% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004826 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004467 | -2.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.00443 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004502 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004622 | -3.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004805 | -3.61% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004902 | -4.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004843 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005002 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005403 | -5.54% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005496 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005546 | -5.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005642 | -5.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005748 | -6.46% | – | pending | – | – | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.00558 | -6.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005537 | -6.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005798 | -6.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005864 | -7.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.005955 | -7.45% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006018 | -7.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.005931 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.005914 | -7.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.005997 | -8.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005758 | -7.57% | – | pending | – | – | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006234 | -8.73% | 0.004485 | -34.33% | 0.3479 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006245 | -8.96% | 0.00452 | -34.11% | 0.3470 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.00619 | -8.97% | 0.004405 | -35.22% | 0.3154 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006374 | -9.21% | 0.004435 | -36.82% | 0.3541 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006293 | -9.12% | 0.004845 | -30.04% | 0.2754 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006224 | -8.87% | 0.004885 | -28.48% | 0.3061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006148 | -8.91% | 0.005015 | -25.70% | 0.2717 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007023 | -11.83% | 0.004595 | -42.31% | 0.5071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005492 | -6.68% | 0.00456 | -22.51% | 0.2284 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.005681 | -7.26% | 0.004635 | -24.33% | 0.2823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.005844 | -7.60% | 0.004785 | -24.35% | 0.2564 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006124 | -7.71% | 0.004985 | -24.87% | 0.2862 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006393 | -7.88% | 0.00511 | -26.37% | 0.3040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.006455 | -8.44% | 0.005055 | -28.30% | 0.2975 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007297 | -8.56% | 0.00526 | -34.09% | 0.3679 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.00736 | -8.11% | 0.00572 | -28.59% | 0.3037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007195 | -9.44% | 0.00581 | -26.87% | 0.2766 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.007325 | -10.61% | 0.005875 | -28.31% | 0.2921 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.007453 | -10.10% | 0.005995 | -27.68% | 0.2999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.007305 | -11.99% | 0.006145 | -25.96% | 0.2148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.00827 | -10.78% | 0.00596 | -35.71% | 0.4166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.008788 | -10.01% | 0.005915 | -39.43% | 0.4878 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.009579 | -9.25% | 0.00622 | -41.07% | 0.4934 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.009776 | -8.98% | 0.00631 | -41.25% | 0.5119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010071 | -8.86% | 0.006435 | -41.76% | 0.5125 | ✓ | 1.00 |