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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s3

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
76.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2385
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0232
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002692-1.58%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002681-1.44%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002684-1.49%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003-2.44%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.00266-1.30%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002663-1.18%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002713-1.17%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002733-1.18%0.002735-1.08%0.0124✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002802-1.17%0.00272-4.06%0.0277✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002719-1.13%0.002725-0.91%0.0011✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.00279-1.24%0.003075+8.85%0.1130✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002801-1.36%0.002695-5.11%0.0241✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002755-1.27%0.002695-3.41%0.0118✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002713-1.15%0.002745+0.00%0.0074✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002848-1.45%0.002765-4.33%0.0143✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002898-1.43%0.002835-3.57%0.0005✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003181-2.11%0.00275-15.38%0.1034✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003074-1.79%0.002825-9.74%0.0525✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002975-1.81%0.00284-6.27%0.0259✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002879-1.73%0.00279-4.78%0.0093✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002958-1.72%0.002745-8.80%0.0392✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002912-1.63%0.00289-2.36%0.0044✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002874-1.42%0.00294+0.86%0.0011✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002953-1.56%0.00325+8.33%0.0710✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003086-1.72%0.00313-0.32%0.0078✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003335-2.48%0.00303-11.40%0.0996✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002862-1.13%0.00293+1.21%0.0185✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002776-0.85%0.00301+7.50%0.0754✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002816-0.85%0.00296+4.23%0.0597✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002919-0.88%0.002915-1.02%0.0277✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002876-0.65%0.003+3.63%0.0795✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002522+0.07%0.00314+24.60%0.1850✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.00263-0.02%0.00342+30.04%0.2296✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002877-0.62%0.002895+0.00%0.0290✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002651-0.35%0.0028+5.26%0.0286✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002407+0.30%0.00284+18.33%0.0792✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002458+0.10%0.002945+19.96%0.0657✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002556+0.45%0.002895+13.75%0.0325✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002584+0.16%0.00252-2.33%0.0733✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002698-0.08%0.00263-2.59%0.0704✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002746+0.03%0.002895+5.46%0.0145✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002613+0.32%0.00266+2.11%0.0200✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002871+0.38%0.0024-16.08%0.1555✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002742+0.82%0.002455-9.74%0.0798✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002659+1.28%0.002545-3.05%0.0341✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.00272+1.69%0.00258-3.55%0.0137✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002794+1.77%0.0027-1.64%0.0051✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002676+1.56%0.002745+4.17%0.0515✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002926+1.60%0.002605-9.55%0.0692✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002929-0.05%0.00286-2.39%0.0354✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003188-0.68%0.00272-15.26%0.1713✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003019-0.19%0.002625-13.22%0.1466✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002565+0.21%0.002675+4.49%0.0000✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002552+0.29%0.002745+7.86%0.0531✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.00278-0.18%0.002635-5.39%0.0763✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002849+0.33%0.00288+1.41%0.0012✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002694+0.34%0.00293+9.12%0.1042✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002713+0.29%0.00321+18.67%0.1816✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002872+0.24%0.003025+5.58%0.0568✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.00305-0.17%0.00256-16.20%0.1742✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002949-0.19%0.002545-13.87%0.1623✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003045+0.16%0.002785-8.39%0.0831✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003-1.31%0.00284-6.58%0.1517✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003039-1.98%0.002685-13.39%0.2785✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002954-2.84%0.002705-11.02%0.3403✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.00313-3.10%0.002865-11.30%0.3313✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002952-2.89%0.003055+0.49%0.2105✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002987-3.01%0.002955-4.06%0.2372✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002841-2.88%0.00304+3.93%0.1770✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002839-2.93%0.00304+3.93%0.0994✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003083-3.35%0.0031-2.82%0.0780✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002857-3.00%0.00304+3.23%0.0491✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003292-3.87%0.00323-5.69%0.0209✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002942-3.21%0.00304+0.00%0.0348✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002989-3.27%0.00308-0.32%0.0301✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003194-3.52%0.002925-11.63%0.0875✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003571-4.13%0.002925-21.48%0.1987✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004646-6.71%0.00319-35.94%0.3751✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002928-2.08%0.002945-1.51%0.0047✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003104-2.38%0.003425+7.70%0.0993✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003203-2.63%0.00304-7.60%0.0497✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003182-2.09%0.00309-4.92%0.0240✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003081-1.58%0.00331+5.75%0.0770✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003158-1.78%0.003725+15.86%0.1639✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003382-1.97%0.00498+44.35%0.3895✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003551-2.16%0.00299-17.63%0.1713✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003579-1.96%0.00318-12.88%0.1189✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003695-2.24%0.00329-12.96%0.1236✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003628-1.80%0.00325-12.04%0.1159✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.00363-1.62%0.00313-15.18%0.1517✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003766-1.81%0.003215-16.17%0.1592✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003919-2.02%0.00345-13.75%0.1354✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003906-1.86%0.00363-8.79%0.0829✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003832-1.24%0.00365-5.93%0.0534✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004056-1.31%0.00378-8.03%0.0684✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004026-0.96%0.003695-9.10%0.0873✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004179-0.86%0.00369-12.46%0.1238✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004292-0.64%0.003835-11.23%0.1091✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.00449-0.88%0.004-11.70%0.1100✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003743+1.44%0.00398+7.86%0.0670✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004148+1.18%0.00388-5.37%0.0624✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004285+0.95%0.00411-3.18%0.0400✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004397+0.97%0.004065-6.66%0.0735✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004738+0.39%0.004215-10.70%0.1181✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005319-0.21%0.00432-18.95%0.2057✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004945+0.52%0.00453-7.93%0.0780✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006153-1.39%0.00369-40.87%0.5013✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007272-2.12%0.0041-44.82%0.5844✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007904-2.54%0.004245-47.66%0.6212✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007609-2.44%0.004355-44.17%0.5559✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008041-2.71%0.00472-42.89%0.5275✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008316-2.85%0.00533-37.73%0.4399✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007708-2.55%0.00492-37.80%0.4400✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008355-2.85%0.00624-27.44%0.2792✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008774-3.48%0.00743-18.26%0.1530✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006965-2.04%0.00811+14.06%0.1712✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007624-2.50%0.0078-0.26%0.0384✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007884-2.66%0.008265+2.04%0.0594✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007785-2.63%0.00856+7.07%0.1037✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.00767-2.67%0.00791+0.38%0.0273✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008342-3.11%0.0086-0.12%0.0118✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008681-3.44%0.00909+1.11%0.0269✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008403-3.30%0.00711-18.18%0.1866✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009161-3.88%0.00782-17.94%0.1811✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008808-3.69%0.0081-11.43%0.1021✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008604-3.65%0.007995-10.47%0.0893✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009314-4.08%0.00788-18.85%0.1873✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009722-4.50%0.00861-15.42%0.1368✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009146-4.33%0.00899-5.96%0.0270✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008107-3.49%0.00869+3.45%0.0573✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009061-4.32%0.00953+0.63%0.0497✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007289-2.68%0.009145+22.10%0.2265✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007213-2.53%0.00893+20.68%0.2100✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007351-2.51%0.00971+28.78%0.2937✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006441-1.37%0.01018+55.90%0.4772✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007034-2.30%0.00956+32.78%0.3257✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.0076-2.94%0.0084+7.28%0.1175✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007844-2.92%0.00947+17.20%0.2156✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007665-2.85%0.00749-5.07%0.0060✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.00849-3.96%0.0074-16.29%0.1395✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008712-4.15%0.00754-17.05%0.1597✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009299-4.63%0.00653-33.03%0.3764✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011606-7.37%0.0072-42.54%0.6212✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008914-5.01%0.00783-16.57%0.2652✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008498-4.63%0.00808-9.32%0.2150✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010206-7.21%0.00789-28.27%0.3993✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.0071-2.60%0.00884+21.26%0.1201✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007283-3.22%0.00909+20.80%0.1249✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007401-3.51%0.00975+27.12%0.1874✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008514-4.66%0.01253+40.31%0.3612✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009443-5.24%0.009385-5.82%0.0184✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010073-5.42%0.00891-16.34%0.1273✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011433-6.10%0.011-9.65%0.0406✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012854-7.06%0.00729-47.29%0.5758✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012324-6.71%0.007525-43.04%0.4991✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016345-7.68%0.00767-56.68%0.7576✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018595-9.51%0.00893-56.55%0.7340✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015912-8.76%0.009965-42.86%0.4663✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016576-9.02%0.01065-41.55%0.4369✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020288-10.58%0.012175-46.34%0.4995✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015515-9.75%0.01383-19.55%0.0965✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019351-11.32%0.01321-39.46%0.3718✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006225-8.25%0.017705+160.94%1.0987✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004198-4.58%0.02055+367.05%1.6686✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002469+1.19%0.01744+614.75%2.0443✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002449+0.78%0.01822+649.79%2.0540✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002392+0.52%0.02269+853.36%2.2714✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002282+0.52%0.01719+657.27%1.9991✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002254+0.61%0.02182+874.11%2.3127✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002357+0.10%0.006785+188.11%1.0622✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002298-0.11%0.0044+91.30%0.6275✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002391-0.81%0.00244+1.24%0.0232✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.00245-1.19%0.00243-2.02%0.0323✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002392-1.15%0.00238-1.65%0.0289✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002596-1.84%0.00227-14.18%0.1809✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002688-2.07%0.00224-18.40%0.2536✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.00288-2.37%0.002355-20.17%0.2586✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002859-2.10%0.0023-21.23%0.2488✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003031-2.84%0.00241-22.76%0.2279✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00268-2.53%0.00248-9.82%0.0905✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003158-3.41%0.00242-25.99%0.2759✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003245-3.43%0.002645-21.28%0.1795✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003321-3.59%0.002745-20.32%0.1595✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003145-3.82%0.00295-9.79%0.0636✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003403-4.42%0.00292-17.98%0.1717✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003384-4.55%0.00312-11.99%0.1415✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003329-4.19%0.00275-20.86%0.2156✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.00338-4.26%0.00327-7.37%0.0376✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003657-4.77%0.00336-12.50%0.1257✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003458-4.07%0.003445-4.44%0.0481✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003433-4.10%0.00327-8.66%0.0776✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003391-4.21%0.00356+0.56%0.0298✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003833-4.54%0.003545-11.71%0.1246✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003916-4.85%0.003475-15.55%0.1593✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003854-4.73%0.00353-12.73%0.1489✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003691-4.12%0.00384-0.26%0.0110✓1.10
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