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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s3

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
56.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0781
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0060
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002725-0.36%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002711-0.33%0.002735+0.55%0.0118✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002714-0.39%0.00272-0.18%0.0116✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003046-0.94%0.002725-11.38%0.1093✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002687-0.28%0.003075+14.10%0.1272✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002688-0.26%0.002695+0.00%0.0040✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002738-0.27%0.002695-1.82%0.0083✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002757-0.28%0.002745-0.72%0.0111✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002827-0.27%0.002765-2.47%0.0040✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002743-0.25%0.002835+3.09%0.0176✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002817-0.29%0.00275-2.65%0.0058✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002831-0.31%0.002825-0.53%0.0095✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002782-0.27%0.00284+1.79%0.0170✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002739-0.24%0.00279+1.64%0.0103✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.00288-0.36%0.002745-5.02%0.0337✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.00293-0.34%0.00289-1.70%0.0070✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003229-0.64%0.00294-9.54%0.0917✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003116-0.46%0.00325+3.83%0.0507✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003016-0.48%0.00313+3.30%0.0178✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002913-0.58%0.00303+3.41%0.0367✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002997-0.43%0.00293-2.66%0.0188✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002949-0.38%0.00301+1.69%0.0065✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002905-0.34%0.00296+1.54%0.0197✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002987-0.43%0.002915-2.83%0.0265✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003125-0.46%0.003-4.46%0.0300✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003387-0.96%0.00314-8.19%0.0763✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002885-0.34%0.00342+18.13%0.1662✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002793-0.25%0.002895+3.39%0.0393✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002833-0.26%0.0028-1.41%0.0117✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002936-0.31%0.00284-3.57%0.0126✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002885-0.36%0.002945+1.73%0.0253✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.00252-0.00%0.002895+14.88%0.0831✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002629-0.04%0.00252-4.18%0.0416✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002887-0.27%0.00263-9.15%0.0973✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002656-0.14%0.002895+8.83%0.0381✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002402+0.08%0.00266+10.83%0.0998✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002455+0.02%0.0024-2.24%0.0293✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002548+0.10%0.002455-3.54%0.0068✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002581+0.04%0.002545-1.36%0.0295✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002699-0.04%0.00258-4.44%0.0397✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002744-0.03%0.0027-1.64%0.0168✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002606+0.02%0.002745+5.37%0.0442✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002854-0.21%0.002605-8.92%0.0720✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002722+0.08%0.00286+5.15%0.0511✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002631+0.22%0.00272+3.62%0.0400✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002682+0.28%0.002625-1.87%0.0080✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002753+0.29%0.002675-2.55%0.0343✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002642+0.25%0.002745+4.17%0.0368✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002886+0.20%0.002635-8.51%0.0753✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002926-0.15%0.00288-1.71%0.0624✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003192-0.56%0.00293-8.72%0.0846✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003008-0.55%0.00321+6.12%0.0797✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002559-0.06%0.003025+18.16%0.1533✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002543-0.08%0.00256+0.59%0.0137✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002781-0.16%0.002545-8.62%0.0934✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002837-0.11%0.002785-1.94%0.0115✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002683-0.07%0.00284+5.77%0.0424✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002702-0.10%0.002685-0.74%0.0123✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002862-0.11%0.002705-5.58%0.0511✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003049-0.19%0.002865-6.22%0.0782✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.00295-0.17%0.003055+3.38%0.0264✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003035-0.15%0.002955-2.80%0.0109✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003028-0.40%0.00304+0.00%0.0677✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003085-0.47%0.00304-1.94%0.0763✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003021-0.61%0.0031+1.97%0.0640✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003206-0.75%0.00304-5.88%0.0569✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003021-0.62%0.00323+6.25%0.0372✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.00306-0.64%0.00304-1.30%0.0034✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002908-0.57%0.00308+5.30%0.0566✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002908-0.58%0.002925+0.00%0.0143✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003167-0.73%0.002925-8.31%0.0796✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002928-0.58%0.00319+8.32%0.0871✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003392-0.95%0.002945-14.01%0.1402✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003021-0.64%0.003425+12.66%0.1266✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.00307-0.64%0.00304-1.62%0.0099✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003286-0.73%0.00309-6.65%0.0615✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003684-1.09%0.00331-11.14%0.1078✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004822-3.17%0.003725-25.20%0.2579✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002979-0.36%0.00498+66.56%0.5150✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003166-0.45%0.00299-5.97%0.0558✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.00327-0.60%0.00318-3.34%0.0280✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003238-0.38%0.00329+1.23%0.0179✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003123-0.23%0.00325+3.83%0.0397✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003205-0.30%0.00313-2.64%0.0294✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003438-0.33%0.003215-6.81%0.0642✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003616-0.40%0.00345-4.96%0.0467✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003638-0.34%0.00363-0.55%0.0016✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003763-0.44%0.00365-3.44%0.0372✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003684-0.29%0.00378+2.30%0.0295✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003681-0.25%0.003695+0.14%0.0044✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003823-0.30%0.00369-3.78%0.0388✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003985-0.38%0.003835-4.13%0.0420✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003966-0.36%0.004+0.50%0.0071✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003874-0.15%0.00398+2.58%0.0310✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004102-0.19%0.00388-5.60%0.0539✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004061-0.10%0.00411+1.11%0.0116✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004212-0.08%0.004065-3.56%0.0327✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004318-0.05%0.004215-2.43%0.0238✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004522-0.18%0.00432-4.64%0.0497✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003711+0.57%0.00453+22.76%0.1984✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00412+0.48%0.00369-10.00%0.1060✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004262+0.41%0.0041-3.42%0.0417✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004372+0.40%0.004245-2.53%0.0297✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004731+0.24%0.004355-7.73%0.0845✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005334+0.07%0.00472-11.44%0.1187✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004933+0.27%0.00533+8.33%0.0811✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006227-0.21%0.00492-21.15%0.2422✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007399-0.42%0.00624-16.02%0.1747✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008065-0.55%0.00743-8.38%0.0808✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007761-0.50%0.00811+3.97%0.0455✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008217-0.58%0.0078-5.63%0.0502✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008506-0.63%0.008265-3.45%0.0257✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007868-0.54%0.00856+8.22%0.0904✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008543-0.66%0.00791-8.02%0.0731✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008996-1.03%0.0086-5.39%0.0509✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007083-0.38%0.00909+27.85%0.2527✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007779-0.52%0.00711-9.08%0.0923✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008054-0.57%0.00782-3.46%0.0298✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007951-0.55%0.0081+1.31%0.0201✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007837-0.54%0.007995+1.46%0.0154✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008551-0.69%0.00788-8.48%0.0891✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008917-0.81%0.00861-4.23%0.0415✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008626-0.74%0.00899+3.45%0.0449✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009439-0.96%0.00869-8.81%0.0878✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009068-0.84%0.00953+4.21%0.0535✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008857-0.81%0.009145+2.41%0.0348✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009615-0.98%0.00893-8.03%0.0829✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010056-1.22%0.00971-4.62%0.0410✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009441-1.25%0.01018+6.49%0.0727✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008333-0.80%0.00956+13.81%0.1401✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.00935-1.26%0.0084-11.30%0.1024✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007448-0.56%0.00947+26.44%0.2448✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007361-0.52%0.00749+1.22%0.0172✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007498-0.56%0.0074-1.86%0.0023✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006519-0.17%0.00754+15.47%0.1443✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007169-0.44%0.00653-9.31%0.1017✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.00778-0.64%0.0072-8.05%0.0793✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008029-0.63%0.00783-3.09%0.0063✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007845-0.57%0.00808+2.41%0.0282✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008757-0.94%0.00789-10.75%0.1293✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008998-1.01%0.00884-2.75%0.0191✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009636-1.17%0.00909-6.77%0.0701✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012153-3.01%0.00975-22.19%0.2993✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009251-1.43%0.01253+33.51%0.2752✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008798-1.26%0.009385+5.33%0.0624✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010661-3.08%0.00891-19.00%0.1752✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007251-0.54%0.011+50.89%0.4154✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007467-0.78%0.00729-3.12%0.0310✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007611-0.77%0.007525-1.89%0.0251✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008827-1.16%0.00767-14.11%0.1463✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009823-1.42%0.00893-10.39%0.0944✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010494-1.47%0.009965-6.43%0.0512✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011942-1.91%0.01065-12.53%0.1134✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013466-2.63%0.012175-11.97%0.1052✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012894-2.39%0.01383+4.69%0.0702✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017145-3.16%0.01321-25.39%0.2600✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019565-4.79%0.017705-13.84%0.0996✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016715-4.16%0.02055+17.83%0.2084✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017416-4.41%0.01744-4.28%0.0040✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021371-5.81%0.01822-19.70%0.1566✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016306-5.14%0.02269+32.00%0.3408✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020385-6.58%0.01719-21.22%0.1801✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006469-4.66%0.02182+221.59%1.2328✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004258-3.23%0.006785+54.20%0.4864✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002442+0.10%0.0044+80.33%0.5972✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002431+0.06%0.00244+0.41%0.0243✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.00238-0.01%0.00243+2.10%0.0120✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002271+0.06%0.00238+4.85%0.0432✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002241+0.07%0.00227+1.34%0.0408✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002354-0.02%0.00224-4.88%0.0562✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002299-0.06%0.002355+2.39%0.0116✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002406-0.16%0.0023-4.56%0.0608✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002474-0.26%0.00241-2.82%0.0245✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002415-0.22%0.00248+2.48%0.0212✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002635-0.36%0.00242-8.51%0.1098✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002733-0.45%0.002645-3.64%0.0397✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002935-0.49%0.002745-6.95%0.0598✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002906-0.46%0.00295+1.03%0.0284✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003095-0.82%0.00292-6.41%0.0414✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002731-0.69%0.00312+13.45%0.1205✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003246-0.74%0.00275-15.90%0.1682✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003331-0.87%0.00327-2.68%0.0082✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003419-0.77%0.00336-2.47%0.0182✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003244-0.81%0.003445+5.35%0.0374✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003527-0.92%0.00327-8.15%0.0818✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003506-1.09%0.00356+0.42%0.0107✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003445-0.85%0.003545+2.01%0.0535✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003493-1.05%0.003475-1.56%0.0124✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003791-1.28%0.00353-8.07%0.0970✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003575-0.83%0.00384+6.52%0.0671✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.00355-0.83%0.003605+0.70%0.0065✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003503-1.04%0.00358+1.13%0.0253✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003977-0.96%0.00354-11.83%0.1720✓1.10
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