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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s3

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
83.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5679
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0857
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002622-4.12%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002621-3.63%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.00262-3.85%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.00289-6.01%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002596-3.68%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002606-3.29%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.00266-3.11%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002679-3.11%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002762-2.56%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002675-2.72%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002745-2.83%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002747-3.26%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002706-2.99%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002673-2.63%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002798-3.18%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002855-2.90%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003093-4.82%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003007-3.91%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002907-4.06%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002829-3.45%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002896-3.80%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002858-3.45%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002838-2.65%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.00291-2.99%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.00303-3.49%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003238-5.31%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002859-1.24%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002793-0.26%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002835-0.16%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002948+0.09%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002939+1.52%0.002735-5.53%0.0253✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002579+2.34%0.00272+7.94%0.0346✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002683+2.03%0.002725+3.61%0.0090✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002896+0.03%0.003075+6.22%0.0474✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002652-0.32%0.002695+1.32%0.0370✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002425+1.05%0.002695+12.29%0.0485✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002461+0.26%0.002745+11.81%0.0363✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002578+1.30%0.002765+8.64%0.0318✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002587+0.26%0.002835+9.88%0.0228✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002687-0.47%0.00275+1.85%0.0274✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002736-0.32%0.002825+2.91%0.0347✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.00262+0.58%0.00284+9.02%0.0084✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.00289+1.04%0.00279-2.45%0.0804✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002769+1.80%0.002745+0.92%0.0423✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002704+3.00%0.00289+10.10%0.0245✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002794+4.45%0.00294+9.91%0.0037✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002903+5.75%0.00325+18.40%0.0497✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.00279+5.87%0.00313+18.79%0.0467✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.003065+6.44%0.00303+5.21%0.0446✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002973+1.46%0.00293+0.00%0.0976✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.00322+0.32%0.00301-6.23%0.1529✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003116+3.00%0.00296-2.15%0.1124✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002646+3.36%0.002915+13.87%0.0053✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002649+4.08%0.003+17.88%0.0615✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002846+2.19%0.00314+12.75%0.0186✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002982+5.01%0.00342+20.42%0.0880✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002825+5.21%0.002895+7.82%0.0328✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002848+5.29%0.0028+3.51%0.0836✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.003011+5.10%0.00284-0.87%0.1189✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003152+3.17%0.002945-3.60%0.1710✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003045+3.04%0.002895-2.03%0.1648✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003194+5.07%0.00252-17.11%0.2717✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002986-1.77%0.00263-13.49%0.2360✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002956-4.65%0.002895-6.61%0.2028✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.0028-7.90%0.00266-12.50%0.2669✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.002951-8.64%0.0024-25.70%0.4058✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002786-8.36%0.002455-19.24%0.3389✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002815-8.60%0.002545-17.37%0.3434✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002682-8.32%0.00258-11.79%0.2613✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002676-8.51%0.0027-7.69%0.2263✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.00288-9.72%0.002745-13.95%0.2329✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002679-9.02%0.002605-11.54%0.1641✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003043-11.15%0.00286-16.50%0.1040✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002746-9.68%0.00272-10.53%0.0221✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002782-9.97%0.002625-15.05%0.0588✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.00296-10.56%0.002675-19.18%0.1037✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003276-12.05%0.002745-26.31%0.1911✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004202-15.62%0.002635-47.09%0.4759✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002751-8.00%0.00288-3.68%0.0811✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.0029-8.80%0.00293-7.86%0.0377✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.002976-9.53%0.00321-2.43%0.1002✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.002967-8.70%0.003025-6.92%0.0551✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002885-7.81%0.00256-18.21%0.0853✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.00296-7.92%0.002545-20.84%0.1156✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003179-7.85%0.002785-19.28%0.0868✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003348-7.77%0.00284-21.76%0.1101✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.00338-7.41%0.002685-26.44%0.1820✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003495-7.53%0.002705-28.44%0.2088✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003437-6.99%0.002865-22.46%0.1330✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003449-6.53%0.003055-17.21%0.0879✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003579-6.68%0.002955-22.95%0.1545✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003732-6.69%0.00304-24.00%0.1658✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003734-6.18%0.00304-23.62%0.1838✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003671-5.37%0.0031-20.10%0.1567✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003898-5.15%0.00304-26.03%0.2486✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003882-4.51%0.00323-20.54%0.1848✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004033-4.32%0.00304-27.88%0.2859✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004162-3.65%0.00308-28.70%0.3033✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004362-3.70%0.002925-35.43%0.4071✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003642-1.31%0.002925-20.73%0.2251✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004053-1.14%0.00319-22.20%0.2377✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004211-0.80%0.002945-30.62%0.3580✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004332-0.54%0.003425-21.35%0.2341✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004678-0.89%0.00304-35.59%0.4277✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005261-1.29%0.00309-42.03%0.5257✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004877-0.87%0.00331-32.72%0.3772✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.00601-3.69%0.003725-40.30%0.4726✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007027-5.42%0.00498-32.97%0.3405✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007566-6.71%0.00299-63.13%0.9269✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007288-6.56%0.00318-59.23%0.8282✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007653-7.40%0.00329-60.19%0.8411✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007882-7.92%0.00325-62.03%0.8822✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007329-7.34%0.00313-60.43%0.8396✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007878-8.40%0.003215-62.62%0.8801✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008203-9.76%0.00345-62.05%0.8532✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006645-6.55%0.00363-48.95%0.5844✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007232-7.53%0.00365-53.32%0.6652✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007456-7.95%0.00378-53.33%0.6538✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007359-7.95%0.003695-53.78%0.6667✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007257-7.91%0.00369-53.17%0.6658✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007843-8.90%0.003835-55.46%0.7052✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008117-9.71%0.004-55.51%0.6974✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007868-9.45%0.00398-54.20%0.6655✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.00849-10.91%0.00388-59.29%0.7781✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008178-10.58%0.00411-55.06%0.6819✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007981-10.63%0.004065-54.48%0.6654✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008577-11.67%0.004215-56.59%0.7135✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.00889-12.67%0.00432-57.56%0.7312✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008405-12.08%0.00453-52.62%0.6247✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007531-10.35%0.00369-56.07%0.7168✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008291-12.45%0.0041-56.71%0.7125✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006785-9.42%0.004245-43.32%0.4679✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006719-9.20%0.004355-41.15%0.4325✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006813-9.64%0.00472-37.40%0.3533✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.00599-8.28%0.00533-18.38%0.1092✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006516-9.50%0.00492-31.67%0.2860✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.006993-10.70%0.00624-20.31%0.1137✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007167-11.30%0.00743-8.04%0.0601✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.006978-11.56%0.00811+2.79%0.1678✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007659-13.36%0.0078-11.76%0.0119✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.007817-14.01%0.008265-9.08%0.0470✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008312-14.75%0.00856-12.21%0.0055✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.01017-18.84%0.00791-36.87%0.4541✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.007969-15.09%0.0086-8.36%0.1301✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007599-14.72%0.00909+2.02%0.0048✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.00897-18.46%0.00711-35.36%0.3942✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006374-12.57%0.00782+7.27%0.0617✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006516-13.40%0.0081+7.64%0.0784✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006634-13.51%0.007995+4.24%0.0229✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.00759-15.00%0.00788-11.76%0.0370✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008355-16.16%0.00861-13.60%0.0259✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.008866-16.75%0.00899-15.59%0.0083✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.009946-18.31%0.00869-28.62%0.1479✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.011124-19.57%0.00953-31.09%0.1851✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01068-19.15%0.009145-30.77%0.1829✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.014051-20.64%0.00893-49.56%0.4693✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.01604-21.95%0.00971-52.75%0.4778✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.013714-21.37%0.01018-41.63%0.2485✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.014297-21.53%0.00956-47.53%0.3545✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.017635-22.28%0.0084-62.98%0.6977✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013488-21.53%0.00947-44.91%0.2583✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.016957-22.29%0.00749-65.67%0.7215✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005646-16.79%0.0074+9.06%0.5376✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004146-5.77%0.00754+71.36%0.9784✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002711+11.09%0.00653+167.62%1.3061✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002632+8.32%0.0072+196.30%1.3673✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002549+7.12%0.00783+228.99%1.4855✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002413+6.32%0.00808+255.95%1.6239✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002397+7.01%0.00789+252.23%1.6494✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002459+4.40%0.00884+275.37%1.5097✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002373+3.19%0.00909+295.22%1.5549✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002409-0.03%0.00975+304.56%1.5565✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002445-1.39%0.01253+405.24%1.7288✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002384-1.48%0.009385+287.81%1.4293✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002537-4.09%0.00891+236.86%1.2895✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002613-4.82%0.011+300.73%1.4690✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002777-5.88%0.00729+147.12%1.0020✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002781-4.76%0.007525+157.71%1.0354✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002913-6.64%0.00767+145.83%1.0047✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00259-5.83%0.00893+224.73%1.2429✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.002979-8.89%0.009965+204.74%1.2135✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.00307-8.64%0.01065+216.96%1.2645✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003122-9.38%0.012175+253.41%1.3960✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.002936-10.21%0.01383+322.94%1.5349✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.00313-12.09%0.01321+271.07%1.4199✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003099-12.58%0.017705+399.44%1.7057✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003071-11.61%0.02055+491.37%1.8852✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003124-11.51%0.01744+394.05%1.7158✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.00334-13.01%0.01822+374.48%1.6577✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003185-11.65%0.02269+529.40%1.9083✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003152-11.95%0.01719+380.17%1.6073✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003103-12.36%0.02182+516.38%1.8874✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003452-14.02%0.006785+68.99%0.5346✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003511-14.67%0.0044+6.93%0.1003✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003451-14.69%0.00244-39.68%0.4796✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003309-14.05%0.00243-36.88%0.4370✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.00344-14.65%0.00238-40.94%0.5011✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003655-16.08%0.00227-47.88%0.5936✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003288-13.12%0.00224-40.82%0.5533✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003522-13.90%0.002355-42.42%0.5629✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003638-13.38%0.0023-45.24%0.6313✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.00358-13.21%0.00241-41.58%0.5561✓1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.003562-13.01%0.00248-39.44%0.5247✓1.00
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