UPROBINHOOD
? · · gru_s3
- token id
- #949
- symbol
- UPROBINHOOD
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-11
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +30d
assessed
34
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.6210
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2278
actual -0.3130
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.28138 | 0.234888 | -16.52% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.281425 | 0.235961 | -16.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.277585 | 0.236323 | -14.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.24885 | 0.214724 | -13.71% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21966 | 0.189215 | -13.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23107 | 0.199646 | -13.60% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.28208 | 0.243733 | -13.59% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.279945 | 0.241593 | -13.70% | – | pending | – | – | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.27437 | 0.238583 | -13.04% | – | pending | – | – | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.297375 | 0.254647 | -14.37% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.198445 | 0.176031 | -11.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.23632 | 0.207462 | -12.21% | – | pending | – | – | 2.06 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.20848 | 0.185106 | -11.21% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.20578 | 0.182981 | -11.08% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.19801 | 0.17629 | -10.97% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.22919 | 0.205085 | -10.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.96 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.24363 | 0.215825 | -11.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.96 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.266405 | 0.233988 | -12.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.94 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.28781 | 0.248505 | -13.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.92 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.290305 | 0.251842 | -13.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.94 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.27341 | 0.238104 | -12.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.29989 | 0.255886 | -14.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.40591 | 0.33198 | -18.21% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.39374 | 0.323006 | -17.96% | – | pending | – | – | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.291185 | 0.249442 | -14.34% | – | pending | – | – | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.31507 | 0.264268 | -16.12% | – | pending | – | – | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.36447 | 0.297599 | -18.35% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.33586 | 0.275781 | -17.89% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.33996 | 0.275788 | -18.88% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.39528 | 0.313181 | -20.77% | – | pending | – | – | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.482965 | 0.371466 | -23.09% | 0.28138 | -41.74% | 0.2350 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.55709 | 0.425604 | -23.60% | 0.281425 | -49.48% | 0.3601 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.46212 | 0.367331 | -20.51% | 0.277585 | -39.93% | 0.3147 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.485615 | 0.384804 | -20.76% | 0.24885 | -48.76% | 0.4476 | ✓ | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.58476 | 0.460974 | -21.17% | 0.21966 | -62.44% | 0.7630 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.388937 | -17.81% | 0.23107 | -51.17% | 0.6013 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.37378 | 0.317251 | -15.12% | 0.28208 | -24.53% | 0.2051 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.318955 | 0.266966 | -16.30% | 0.279945 | -12.23% | 0.0580 | ✓ | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.37084 | 0.31141 | -16.03% | 0.27437 | -26.01% | 0.1711 | ✓ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.379015 | 0.314217 | -17.10% | 0.297375 | -21.54% | 0.1398 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.353985 | 0.276255 | -21.96% | 0.198445 | -43.94% | 0.3941 | ✓ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.382085 | 0.290731 | -23.91% | 0.23632 | -38.15% | 0.2957 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.396465 | 0.288225 | -27.30% | 0.20848 | -47.42% | 0.4124 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.41882 | 0.294049 | -29.79% | 0.20578 | -50.87% | 0.4099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.50196 | 0.364745 | -27.34% | 0.19801 | -60.55% | 0.6514 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.41255 | -26.05% | 0.22919 | -58.92% | 0.6393 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.679235 | 0.533727 | -21.42% | 0.24363 | -64.13% | 0.8470 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.790295 | 0.638763 | -19.17% | 0.266405 | -66.29% | 0.9460 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.63101 | 0.494168 | -21.69% | 0.28781 | -54.39% | 0.6228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.76968 | 0.621581 | -19.24% | 0.290305 | -62.28% | 0.8032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.838135 | 0.66308 | -20.89% | 0.27341 | -67.38% | 0.9749 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.87428 | 0.688377 | -21.26% | 0.29989 | -65.70% | 0.9228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.91438 | 0.720593 | -21.19% | 0.40591 | -55.61% | 0.6356 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.52462 | 0.426472 | -18.71% | 0.39374 | -24.95% | 0.1540 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.32435 | 0.272937 | -15.85% | 0.291185 | -10.23% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.24126 | 0.205521 | -14.81% | 0.31507 | +30.59% | 0.3456 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.26469 | 0.231073 | -12.70% | 0.36447 | +37.70% | 0.4054 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.37223 | 0.31144 | -16.33% | 0.33586 | -9.77% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.15754 | 0.143721 | -8.77% | 0.33996 | +115.79% | 0.7890 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.19865 | 0.180635 | -9.07% | 0.39528 | +98.98% | 0.7170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1409 | 0.128748 | -8.62% | 0.482965 | +242.77% | 1.2187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0851 | 0.055464 | -34.83% | 0.55709 | +554.63% | 2.1903 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1107 | 0.086869 | -21.53% | 0.46212 | +317.45% | 1.6359 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.1054 | 0.072539 | -31.18% | 0.485615 | +360.74% | 1.7946 | ✗ | 1.00 |