SWM
Swarm · · gru_s3
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
76.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2899
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0859
actual -0.1469
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.09181 | 0.085017 | -7.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.084633 | -7.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.084958 | -7.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.086272 | -7.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.085793 | -8.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.086829 | -8.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.081501 | -8.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.082313 | -8.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.093663 | -9.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.091321 | -9.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.090783 | -9.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.090446 | -9.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.089396 | -9.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.089373 | -9.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.087384 | -9.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.089356 | -9.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.078314 | -7.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.085342 | -8.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.083286 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.085651 | -8.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.086985 | -8.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.097838 | -9.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.113614 | -10.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.111198 | -9.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.139978 | -11.51% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.11561 | -9.61% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.097103 | -7.89% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.096216 | -7.49% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.09616 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.088296 | -6.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.095129 | -7.50% | 0.09181 | -10.73% | 0.1268 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.102185 | -9.67% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0648 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.106807 | -10.18% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1340 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.10621 | -11.20% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.0966 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.113615 | -12.14% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.122862 | -12.52% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.112466 | -13.36% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.135222 | -13.17% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.13501 | -13.80% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.3436 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.158332 | -14.67% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.5062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.165867 | -15.42% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.5842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.156722 | -15.70% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.5287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.120089 | -12.15% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.2472 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.120309 | -12.29% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.2353 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.105206 | -10.45% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.1393 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.094727 | -7.96% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.073772 | -4.17% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.073166 | -3.27% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.1560 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.072359 | -1.27% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.1850 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.068504 | -2.30% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2240 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.068881 | -1.29% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.2311 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.069666 | +0.30% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.3785 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.071435 | -0.01% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.4993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.072494 | +1.16% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.4684 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.075726 | +1.47% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.6550 | ✓ | 1.00 |