QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s3

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

73.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1492

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0198

actual -0.0675

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.00736	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007923	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.00835	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008566	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008841	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008846	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008977	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008814	-0.63%	0.007425	-16.29%	0.1920	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.00899	-0.33%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1149	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009079	-0.56%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0714	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009566	-0.61%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0792	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009666	-0.71%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0564	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009389	-0.44%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0333	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009359	-0.49%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0388	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.00931	-0.33%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0278	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009878	-0.53%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0623	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010138	-0.76%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0599	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010923	-1.24%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0956	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.01123	-1.88%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1221	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010768	-1.70%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1102	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010143	-1.23%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0386	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010243	-1.70%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0889	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010548	-2.11%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0789	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011062	-2.63%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1073	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010584	-2.18%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0218	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010935	-2.59%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0422	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010073	-1.82%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0797	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009853	-1.57%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0367	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009952	-1.76%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0546	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.0098	-1.41%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1237	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009591	-1.17%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.2055	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008531	-0.28%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2014	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008674	-0.41%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2230	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008656	-0.50%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1358	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008502	-1.60%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0714	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008518	-1.76%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0806	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.00863	-2.32%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0331	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008519	-2.19%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0438	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008702	-2.50%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0657	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009605	-2.14%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1405	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009898	-2.10%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1676	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010413	-2.13%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1847	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.01105	-2.26%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2207	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010946	-1.74%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.1854	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012361	-3.69%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3413	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.0107	-0.79%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1418	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010786	-0.68%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0657	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009707	-0.29%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0672	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008297	-0.27%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.3075	✗	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007345	-1.86%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.4207	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007812	-1.73%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3437	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008437	-1.32%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.4142	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008717	-1.50%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1883	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008866	-1.16%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1884	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009331	-1.16%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0258	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.01052	+0.00%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2426	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.009933	-0.82%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2692	✓	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.01098	-1.35%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3136	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011439	-1.52%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.2876	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011438	-2.24%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2560	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011438	-2.90%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2527	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011654	-2.64%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2067	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011435	-5.10%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1478	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011322	-5.96%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2169	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011298	-5.69%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1707	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011036	-5.27%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1136	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011029	-4.76%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1153	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010808	-4.36%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0791	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011002	-4.33%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.0940	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011045	-4.45%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0273	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010577	-3.76%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0606	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.01072	-3.77%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0978	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011225	-4.06%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0309	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011444	-4.03%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0341	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011407	-3.74%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0113	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011449	-3.47%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0244	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011349	-3.17%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0271	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011142	-3.03%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0015	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011272	-3.04%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0065	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011014	-3.05%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0560	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011927	-2.87%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0134	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011881	-3.01%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0239	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011334	-3.13%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0249	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011889	-2.91%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0099	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012917	-2.44%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1237	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.01367	-2.29%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1640	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013694	-2.18%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1848	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015403	-1.89%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2116	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014895	-2.13%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1836	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014431	-2.36%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2004	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016519	-2.20%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2972	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016583	-1.99%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2104	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016773	-1.94%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1634	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017057	-2.22%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1862	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016709	-2.34%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0672	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018001	-2.30%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1644	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018083	-2.57%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.2030	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019366	-3.17%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1451	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.01679	-2.81%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0033	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.01846	-3.50%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0891	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013142	-2.43%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2813	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016551	-3.35%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0351	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.028899	-7.52%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4487	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012847	-2.30%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3680	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013196	-2.47%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4155	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012428	-2.22%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3308	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011763	-1.77%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4864	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012402	-1.96%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0822	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012609	-2.07%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.3062	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012103	-1.80%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9489	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.01181	-1.66%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.1086	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010961	-1.16%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2132	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014251	-3.64%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1197	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010121	-0.58%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1835	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009082	-0.31%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3369	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010192	-0.38%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2366	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009506	-0.04%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2611	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009684	+0.09%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2164	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009527	+0.18%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1529	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010436	-0.14%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3473	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010962	-0.35%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0822	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.01201	-0.66%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2871	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012084	-0.50%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1777	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011658	-0.36%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2145	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012492	-0.35%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2629	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013309	-0.38%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3419	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012353	-0.22%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1694	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012043	-0.02%	0.011	-8.68%	0.0911	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012874	-0.04%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0639	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013412	+0.09%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1000	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013779	+0.25%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1636	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014867	+0.11%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1706	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015506	-0.02%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1487	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015446	+0.14%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2216	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017005	-0.23%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3449	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017876	-0.53%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3261	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017729	-0.45%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2788	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017884	-0.26%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2608	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019488	-0.62%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2701	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019785	-0.93%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2437	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.02076	-1.19%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.2998	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021193	-1.56%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2260	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021548	-2.28%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2074	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021843	-2.64%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2413	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020942	-2.46%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2006	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021798	-2.51%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1470	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020628	-2.24%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0625	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021128	-2.46%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0396	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022429	-2.93%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0830	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021488	-2.85%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0054	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.02246	-2.87%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0124	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021613	-2.60%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0166	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.023837	-2.81%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0684	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024286	-3.05%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1515	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026237	-3.11%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2004	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025262	-3.08%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.0922	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027098	-3.05%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2019	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027792	-3.00%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1854	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027619	-2.87%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2239	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027602	-2.79%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1307	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027369	-2.71%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.0996	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.02838	-2.57%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0515	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027605	-2.42%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0641	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027681	-2.22%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0014	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027376	-1.91%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0384	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028754	-1.76%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0128	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028917	-1.71%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029805	-1.63%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0712	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029595	-1.42%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0109	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029885	-1.43%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0496	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030388	-1.59%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0940	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029853	-1.73%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1126	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031143	-1.54%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0868	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031473	-1.59%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032755	-1.93%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1252	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034049	-2.27%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.1983	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033522	-2.21%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1588	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034431	-2.21%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1405	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034242	-1.94%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1182	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035242	-2.25%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1213	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034866	-2.28%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.03638	-2.12%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035169	-1.98%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0225	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033978	-2.21%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033141	-2.18%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0410	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034436	-2.56%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0497	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034463	-2.32%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0202	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.