QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s3

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

89.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3208

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0346

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007353	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007712	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008046	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008272	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008508	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008545	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008707	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008594	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.00887	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008854	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009308	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009356	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009144	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009114	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009153	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009702	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.009864	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010458	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.010566	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010217	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009774	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.009788	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010092	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010446	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010167	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010454	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.009818	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009719	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009841	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009936	-0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.00984	+1.39%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.2026	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008642	+1.02%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0963	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008736	+0.30%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0388	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008739	+0.44%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0206	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008404	-2.73%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0038	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008423	-2.85%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0013	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008516	-3.61%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0075	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008578	-1.52%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0024	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.00874	-2.08%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0380	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.0095	-3.21%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0878	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009771	-3.35%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0820	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.01025	-3.67%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1165	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.010985	-2.83%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.1943	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010997	-1.29%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1878	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012322	-4.00%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3158	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011253	+4.34%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1802	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011493	+5.83%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1805	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010671	+9.62%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0336	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.00938	+12.74%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.1579	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.008111	+8.36%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.2266	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008718	+9.66%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.0873	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.009541	+11.59%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.0397	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009885	+11.69%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.0326	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.010163	+13.30%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.0654	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.010641	+12.72%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0414	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.012152	+15.52%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.1120	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.01145	+14.33%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.1486	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.012451	+11.87%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.2644	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012813	+10.32%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2786	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012626	+7.91%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.3048	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012463	+5.80%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.3239	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012901	+7.78%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.4335	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011776	-2.28%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3740	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.010987	-8.75%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3442	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.010563	-11.83%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3341	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010334	-11.30%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3106	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010288	-11.16%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3036	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010136	-10.30%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3288	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010296	-10.47%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3051	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010311	-10.80%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2096	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.009938	-9.57%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1357	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010077	-9.54%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.0833	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.01054	-9.91%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.0747	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.01074	-9.94%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.0978	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.010699	-9.71%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0433	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.010759	-9.29%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1392	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.010653	-9.10%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1233	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010513	-8.50%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2146	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.010641	-8.46%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.3995	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010479	-7.76%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4613	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011294	-8.03%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4755	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011285	-7.88%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4203	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.010921	-6.66%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3443	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011523	-5.89%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3670	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012393	-6.39%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.3922	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013034	-6.84%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3517	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.01307	-6.64%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.3944	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.014521	-7.51%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3625	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014072	-7.54%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.2935	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.013687	-7.39%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2480	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.015408	-8.77%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3401	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.015463	-8.61%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3303	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.015625	-8.65%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3009	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.015789	-9.49%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3004	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.015484	-9.50%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.2566	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.016514	-10.37%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.3467	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.016536	-10.91%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.3492	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.017468	-12.66%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4306	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.015639	-9.47%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.2931	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.016886	-11.73%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.3655	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.012605	-6.42%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1379	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.015544	-9.23%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3336	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.024878	-20.39%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.7542	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012457	-5.27%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0440	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.012788	-5.49%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.0771	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.01216	-4.33%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0234	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011539	-3.64%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0156	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012156	-3.90%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0562	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012374	-3.89%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0623	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.011962	-2.94%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0515	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011763	-2.06%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0437	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010969	-1.09%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.1125	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.01397	-5.55%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.1839	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010155	-0.24%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.2066	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009118	+0.09%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3784	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010271	+0.40%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3121	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009563	+0.56%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3828	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009785	+1.14%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4751	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009633	+1.30%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4600	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010519	+0.66%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3444	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011073	+0.67%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4267	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012136	+0.38%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3381	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012218	+0.60%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3456	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011869	+1.45%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3875	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012723	+1.50%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.2987	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.01352	+1.20%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3129	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012594	+1.73%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.3875	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.01239	+2.86%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4785	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013157	+2.15%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2716	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013629	+1.71%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3388	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.01398	+1.71%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0375	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014997	+0.99%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1326	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.01562	+0.71%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.6934	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015632	+1.34%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1732	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016991	-0.32%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2278	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017791	-1.00%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3367	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017597	-1.20%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3849	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017746	-1.03%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3363	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019116	-2.52%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3934	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019283	-3.44%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4483	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020102	-4.32%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5167	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020354	-5.46%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6158	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.020542	-6.84%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.3650	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.020745	-7.53%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.7685	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.01996	-7.03%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8324	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.020714	-7.36%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7525	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.019725	-6.52%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.7728	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020158	-6.93%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.7830	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.021356	-7.57%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.8871	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.020627	-6.75%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7403	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.021545	-6.83%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7237	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.020805	-6.24%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.5900	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.022732	-7.31%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6546	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.023355	-6.77%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7297	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025133	-7.19%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7375	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024229	-7.05%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6430	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.025916	-7.28%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.7852	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026622	-7.08%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8389	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026604	-6.44%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7695	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.02679	-5.65%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7420	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027042	-3.87%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7337	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.027622	-5.18%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6646	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027221	-3.78%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5958	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027602	-2.50%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6211	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027562	-1.25%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5143	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028554	-2.45%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4753	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.02862	-2.72%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2379	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029361	-3.10%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2195	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029569	-1.50%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1222	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029779	-1.78%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1621	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029991	-2.88%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1352	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029318	-3.49%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1445	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030614	-3.21%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2298	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.030875	-3.45%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2579	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.031692	-5.11%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3556	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.032639	-6.32%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3462	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.032277	-5.84%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.3876	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.033257	-5.55%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.3886	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033407	-4.33%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3318	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.03403	-5.62%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4256	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.033624	-5.76%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3680	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.035255	-5.15%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4419	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034189	-4.71%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.2962	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.032627	-6.10%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.2798	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.031825	-6.07%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.1825	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.032541	-7.92%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2610	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.033147	-6.05%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.1864	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.