QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s3

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +1d

assessed

186

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0539

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0099

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007656	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007981	-0.30%	0.00768	-4.06%	0.0365	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008428	-0.38%	0.008005	-5.38%	0.0608	✓	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008634	-0.36%	0.00846	-2.37%	0.0189	✓	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.00891	-0.39%	0.008665	-3.13%	0.0331	✓	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008912	-0.37%	0.008945	+0.00%	0.0047	✗	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.009021	-0.32%	0.008945	-1.16%	0.0032	✓	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008848	-0.25%	0.00905	+2.03%	0.0178	✗	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008993	-0.30%	0.00887	-1.66%	0.0024	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009099	-0.34%	0.00902	-1.20%	0.0192	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009591	-0.35%	0.00913	-5.14%	0.0263	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009698	-0.38%	0.009625	-1.13%	0.0180	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009402	-0.30%	0.009735	+3.23%	0.0295	✗	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009377	-0.29%	0.00943	+0.27%	0.0046	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009317	-0.25%	0.009405	+0.70%	0.0285	✗	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009896	-0.34%	0.00934	-5.94%	0.0314	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010173	-0.41%	0.00993	-2.79%	0.0219	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010996	-0.58%	0.010215	-7.64%	0.0655	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011357	-0.77%	0.01106	-3.36%	0.0461	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010879	-0.70%	0.011445	+4.47%	0.0481	✗	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010215	-0.53%	0.010955	+6.67%	0.0739	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010357	-0.60%	0.01027	-1.44%	0.0240	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010692	-0.77%	0.01042	-3.29%	0.0250	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011269	-0.80%	0.010775	-5.15%	0.0470	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010749	-0.65%	0.01136	+4.99%	0.0664	✗	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011132	-0.83%	0.01082	-3.61%	0.0289	✓	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010204	-0.55%	0.011225	+9.41%	0.0920	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009963	-0.47%	0.01026	+2.50%	0.0324	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010077	-0.52%	0.01001	-1.18%	0.0068	✓	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009896	-0.45%	0.01013	+1.91%	0.0438	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009669	-0.37%	0.00994	+2.42%	0.0321	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.00854	-0.17%	0.009705	+13.44%	0.0690	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008694	-0.19%	0.008555	-1.78%	0.0153	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008684	-0.18%	0.00871	+0.11%	0.0009	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008616	-0.27%	0.0087	+0.69%	0.0432	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008647	-0.26%	0.00864	-0.35%	0.0033	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008804	-0.35%	0.00867	-1.87%	0.0214	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008692	-0.21%	0.008835	+1.44%	0.0449	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008904	-0.24%	0.00871	-2.41%	0.0377	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009785	-0.31%	0.008925	-9.07%	0.0869	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010079	-0.31%	0.009815	-2.92%	0.0271	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010605	-0.33%	0.01011	-4.98%	0.0549	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.01127	-0.31%	0.01064	-5.88%	0.0397	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.01112	-0.18%	0.011305	+1.48%	0.0182	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012713	-0.95%	0.01114	-13.21%	0.1259	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010817	+0.29%	0.012835	+19.01%	0.1848	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010897	+0.34%	0.010785	-0.69%	0.0158	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009795	+0.62%	0.01086	+11.56%	0.1015	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008391	+0.85%	0.009735	+17.01%	0.1680	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007523	+0.51%	0.00832	+11.16%	0.0592	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007998	+0.60%	0.007485	-5.85%	0.0653	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008611	+0.71%	0.00795	-7.02%	0.0682	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008909	+0.66%	0.00855	-3.39%	0.0494	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009026	+0.63%	0.00885	-1.34%	0.0145	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009489	+0.52%	0.00897	-4.98%	0.0598	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010572	+0.49%	0.00944	-10.27%	0.0933	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010047	+0.32%	0.01052	+5.04%	0.0362	✓	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011141	+0.10%	0.010015	-10.02%	0.1106	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011614	-0.01%	0.01113	-4.18%	0.0388	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011686	-0.12%	0.011615	-0.73%	0.0162	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011757	-0.19%	0.0117	-0.68%	0.0104	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011948	-0.18%	0.01178	-1.59%	0.0037	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011993	-0.48%	0.01197	-0.66%	0.0496	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011943	-0.81%	0.01205	+0.08%	0.0285	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011854	-1.05%	0.01204	+0.50%	0.0398	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011553	-0.83%	0.01198	+2.83%	0.0337	✗	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011486	-0.81%	0.01165	+0.60%	0.0069	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011223	-0.68%	0.01158	+2.48%	0.0337	✗	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011419	-0.71%	0.0113	-1.74%	0.0110	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011459	-0.88%	0.0115	-0.52%	0.0094	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010929	-0.56%	0.01156	+5.19%	0.0560	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.011084	-0.50%	0.01099	-1.35%	0.0071	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011632	-0.58%	0.01114	-4.79%	0.0390	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011852	-0.62%	0.0117	-1.89%	0.0026	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011783	-0.57%	0.011925	+0.63%	0.0126	✗	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011799	-0.52%	0.01185	-0.08%	0.0042	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.01167	-0.43%	0.01186	+1.19%	0.0098	✗	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011449	-0.35%	0.01172	+2.00%	0.0268	✗	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011586	-0.33%	0.01149	-1.16%	0.0139	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011339	-0.18%	0.011625	+2.33%	0.0191	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012242	-0.31%	0.01136	-7.49%	0.0745	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012218	-0.26%	0.01228	+0.24%	0.0023	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011687	-0.11%	0.01225	+4.70%	0.0477	✗	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012223	-0.18%	0.0117	-4.45%	0.0255	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013196	-0.33%	0.012245	-7.52%	0.0826	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013936	-0.39%	0.01324	-5.36%	0.0517	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013948	-0.37%	0.01399	-0.07%	0.0016	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015609	-0.58%	0.014	-10.83%	0.0954	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.01513	-0.59%	0.0157	+3.15%	0.0290	✗	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014699	-0.55%	0.01522	+2.98%	0.0333	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016766	-0.74%	0.01478	-12.49%	0.1197	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016799	-0.72%	0.01689	-0.18%	0.0123	✗	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016974	-0.77%	0.01692	-1.08%	0.0003	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017288	-0.90%	0.017105	-1.95%	0.0202	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016978	-0.77%	0.017445	+1.96%	0.0232	✗	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018254	-0.93%	0.01711	-7.14%	0.0640	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018358	-1.09%	0.018425	-0.73%	0.0023	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019646	-1.77%	0.01856	-7.20%	0.0577	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.017104	-0.99%	0.02	+15.77%	0.1641	✗	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018769	-1.89%	0.017275	-9.70%	0.0807	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013397	-0.54%	0.01913	+42.02%	0.3545	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016966	-0.93%	0.01347	-21.34%	0.2338	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.02966	-5.09%	0.017125	-45.20%	0.5493	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013078	-0.55%	0.03125	+137.64%	0.8713	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013448	-0.60%	0.01315	-2.81%	0.0230	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012633	-0.60%	0.01353	+6.45%	0.0691	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011925	-0.42%	0.01271	+6.14%	0.0637	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.01259	-0.47%	0.011975	-5.34%	0.0503	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012811	-0.50%	0.01265	-1.75%	0.0125	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.01227	-0.45%	0.012875	+4.46%	0.0484	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011954	-0.47%	0.012325	+2.62%	0.0310	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011058	-0.29%	0.01201	+8.30%	0.0842	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014586	-1.38%	0.01109	-25.02%	0.2776	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010169	-0.11%	0.01479	+45.28%	0.3793	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009113	+0.03%	0.01018	+11.75%	0.1083	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010225	-0.05%	0.00911	-10.95%	0.1149	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009518	+0.08%	0.01023	+7.57%	0.0720	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009687	+0.12%	0.00951	-1.71%	0.0184	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009528	+0.18%	0.009675	+1.74%	0.0155	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010455	+0.05%	0.00951	-9.00%	0.0966	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010999	-0.01%	0.01045	-5.00%	0.0544	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012078	-0.10%	0.011	-9.02%	0.0971	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012138	-0.06%	0.01209	-0.45%	0.0019	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011701	+0.01%	0.012145	+3.80%	0.0348	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012534	-0.01%	0.0117	-6.66%	0.0673	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013355	-0.04%	0.012535	-6.18%	0.0623	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012387	+0.06%	0.01336	+7.92%	0.0747	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012063	+0.15%	0.01238	+2.78%	0.0257	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012892	+0.09%	0.012045	-6.48%	0.0683	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013412	+0.09%	0.01288	-3.88%	0.0403	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013761	+0.11%	0.0134	-2.51%	0.0264	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014859	+0.06%	0.013745	-7.44%	0.0783	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015516	+0.04%	0.01485	-4.26%	0.0439	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015449	+0.15%	0.01551	+0.55%	0.0038	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.01705	+0.03%	0.015425	-9.50%	0.1002	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.01796	-0.06%	0.017045	-5.15%	0.0530	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017809	-0.01%	0.01797	+0.90%	0.0089	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017946	+0.09%	0.01781	-0.67%	0.0059	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019602	-0.04%	0.01793	-8.57%	0.0893	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019942	-0.14%	0.01961	-1.80%	0.0197	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020962	-0.23%	0.01997	-4.95%	0.0487	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021463	-0.31%	0.02101	-2.42%	0.0256	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021945	-0.48%	0.02153	-2.36%	0.0333	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022322	-0.50%	0.02205	-1.72%	0.0200	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021383	-0.40%	0.022435	+4.49%	0.0474	✗	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.02226	-0.45%	0.02147	-3.98%	0.0349	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.021034	-0.31%	0.02236	+5.97%	0.0607	✗	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021587	-0.34%	0.0211	-2.59%	0.0253	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.023001	-0.45%	0.02166	-6.25%	0.0666	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.022047	-0.33%	0.023105	+4.45%	0.0421	✗	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.023039	-0.37%	0.02212	-4.35%	0.0398	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022137	-0.24%	0.023125	+4.21%	0.0448	✗	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024429	-0.39%	0.02219	-9.52%	0.0936	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024945	-0.42%	0.024525	-2.10%	0.0226	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026938	-0.52%	0.02505	-7.50%	0.0725	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.02592	-0.56%	0.02708	+3.89%	0.0460	✗	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027811	-0.50%	0.026065	-6.74%	0.0654	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028505	-0.51%	0.02795	-2.44%	0.0213	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028304	-0.46%	0.02865	+0.76%	0.0097	✗	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028276	-0.42%	0.028435	+0.14%	0.0024	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.028033	-0.35%	0.028395	+0.94%	0.0066	✗	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.029014	-0.40%	0.02813	-3.43%	0.0265	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.028205	-0.30%	0.02913	+2.97%	0.0302	✗	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028245	-0.23%	0.02829	-0.07%	0.0005	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027871	-0.14%	0.02831	+1.43%	0.0150	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029204	-0.23%	0.02791	-4.65%	0.0444	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029348	-0.25%	0.02927	-0.51%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030224	-0.25%	0.02942	-2.90%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029967	-0.18%	0.0303	+0.93%	0.0288	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030255	-0.22%	0.03002	-0.99%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030799	-0.26%	0.03032	-1.81%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030299	-0.27%	0.03088	+1.65%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031534	-0.30%	0.03038	-3.95%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031873	-0.33%	0.03163	-1.09%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.033228	-0.51%	0.03198	-4.25%	0.0633	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034635	-0.59%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0436	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.034085	-0.57%	0.03484	+1.63%	0.0293	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.035008	-0.57%	0.03428	-2.64%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034744	-0.51%	0.03521	+0.83%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035832	-0.62%	0.03492	-3.15%	0.0389	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035462	-0.61%	0.036055	+1.05%	0.0141	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036929	-0.65%	0.03568	-4.01%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035669	-0.59%	0.03717	+3.60%	0.0403	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034528	-0.63%	0.03588	+3.27%	0.0144	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033673	-0.61%	0.034745	+2.55%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.035064	-0.78%	0.03388	-4.13%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.035007	-0.77%	0.03534	+0.17%	0.0350	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.