PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s3

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0926

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0191

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.614624	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.606111	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.619631	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.617905	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.603156	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.63675	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.582263	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.575361	-1.57%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0804	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.609815	-2.17%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0170	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.60342	-2.15%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0490	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.658575	-2.82%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0307	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.659395	-2.95%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0599	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.641932	-2.90%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0247	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.622961	-2.83%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0537	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.637514	-3.17%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0755	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.637097	-3.14%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0062	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.715092	-3.50%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1222	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.777485	-4.47%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1208	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.69268	-3.56%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0095	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.718624	-3.80%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0732	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.676902	-3.58%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0374	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.688347	-3.99%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0429	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.655594	-3.60%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0070	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.644618	-3.88%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1273	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.628264	-4.24%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2463	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.596389	-3.44%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1839	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.633297	-4.27%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1626	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.596204	-3.65%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1605	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.559271	-3.56%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2536	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.559532	-3.26%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2123	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.55382	-3.49%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2147	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.499113	-2.62%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2518	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.522969	-2.88%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1459	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.522933	-2.89%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2142	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.501966	-2.59%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1586	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.501879	-2.62%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0941	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.476112	-2.27%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1421	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.484797	-2.41%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1281	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.465232	-1.97%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0753	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.471283	-1.96%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1137	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.479174	-2.22%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0993	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.477914	-2.92%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0762	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.46587	-2.59%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1117	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.432556	-1.27%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1313	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.441316	-1.60%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1221	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.422716	-0.07%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1329	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415963	+0.14%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1573	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.412773	+0.26%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1831	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.413972	+1.29%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1959	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.404082	-0.50%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1650	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.410281	-0.87%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0618	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.410417	-0.52%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0870	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.413246	-0.91%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0134	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.421272	-0.89%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0196	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.416767	-0.79%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0185	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.416235	+0.06%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0218	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.407891	-0.12%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0019	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.418236	-0.43%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0062	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.443166	-0.97%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0702	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.404831	-0.46%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0299	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.39132	-0.33%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0795	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.418291	-0.55%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0054	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.393009	-1.10%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0479	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.391448	-1.57%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0272	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.38105	-1.77%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0849	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.363194	-1.44%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1899	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.362162	-1.47%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0973	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.370776	-1.47%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0363	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.364298	-1.33%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1192	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.372663	-1.42%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0526	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.373489	-1.43%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0534	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.385441	-1.59%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0036	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.393877	-1.72%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0682	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.401389	-1.84%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0819	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.386343	-1.66%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0202	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.386657	-1.66%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0420	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.388288	-1.69%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0243	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.387892	-1.65%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0191	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.394406	-1.74%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0051	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.4067	-1.95%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0165	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.430743	-2.15%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0574	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.43529	-2.18%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1101	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.426742	-2.03%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0891	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.441933	-2.06%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1110	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.425701	-1.97%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0776	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.417786	-2.09%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0403	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.392353	-1.53%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0560	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.373487	-1.22%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1686	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.380807	-1.32%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1596	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.380508	-1.28%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1383	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.375122	-1.30%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1856	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.36053	-0.99%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1926	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.338764	-0.74%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2393	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.322307	-0.63%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2159	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.346954	-0.84%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0841	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.36303	-0.96%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0625	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.390167	-1.17%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0128	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.3891	-1.14%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0280	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.383133	-1.06%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0558	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.380261	-1.00%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1136	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.386721	-1.03%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1883	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.410562	-1.24%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1633	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.411768	-1.28%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1200	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.408879	-1.28%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0342	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.388733	-1.09%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0107	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.395412	-1.02%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0285	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.409683	-1.16%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0692	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.401039	-1.12%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0206	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.387234	-0.96%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0705	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.415489	-1.10%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0017	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.419798	-1.08%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0186	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.412428	-0.94%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0532	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.412861	-0.75%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0393	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.415114	-0.57%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0145	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.45038	-0.97%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1102	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.455036	-1.06%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1577	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.455226	-1.01%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0850	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.425237	-0.60%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0053	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.431758	-0.65%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0387	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.454322	-1.00%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0873	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.494874	-1.43%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1727	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.532145	-1.74%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1630	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.541135	-1.79%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1683	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.547914	-1.90%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1818	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.553439	-1.90%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2629	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.588976	-2.33%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3070	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.541685	-1.85%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1631	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.547011	-1.93%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0834	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.572066	-2.17%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0535	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.570531	-2.05%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0337	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.580694	-2.06%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0388	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.602763	-2.28%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0661	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.544538	-1.64%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1025	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.576389	-1.71%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0511	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.57261	-1.63%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0362	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.591649	-1.83%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0186	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.622782	-2.09%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0721	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.63152	-1.95%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0728	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.633254	-2.09%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0331	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.602691	-1.75%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0835	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.599424	-1.67%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0058	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.594449	-1.83%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0177	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.615978	-2.49%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0414	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.610014	-2.48%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1470	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.603316	-2.39%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2013	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.595604	-2.21%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2075	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.61147	-2.38%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0991	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.622828	-2.53%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1273	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.595833	-2.11%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1450	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.604109	-2.15%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1246	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.604563	-2.06%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0793	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.636897	-2.38%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.624888	-2.16%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.644174	-2.43%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0255	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.618738	-2.04%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0739	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.567651	-1.26%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.622695	-1.89%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.703341	-2.61%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1249	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.740035	-3.01%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1072	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.694988	-2.36%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0377	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.721845	-2.49%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.686953	-2.20%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0609	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.747585	-2.52%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2154	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.779936	-2.56%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1458	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.877428	-3.66%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1346	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.94611	-5.69%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1830	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.823577	-4.93%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1317	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.620949	-1.78%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1625	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.