PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s3

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

55.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2021

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0419

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.580212	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.573867	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.584534	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.583418	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.569183	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.598871	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.550055	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.54333	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.577139	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.569776	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.621137	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.620682	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.604304	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.586536	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.600208	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.601308	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.672558	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.727461	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.650614	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.673522	-9.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.636314	-9.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.644668	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.615979	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.605446	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.590853	-9.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.562549	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.594739	-10.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.56237	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.530382	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.531588	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.527428	-8.09%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.2056	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.478859	-6.57%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2457	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.499435	-7.25%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2348	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.499207	-7.30%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2287	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.478397	-7.16%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2185	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.477344	-7.38%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2806	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.454277	-6.75%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2317	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.463854	-6.62%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.2145	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.445412	-6.15%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.3053	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.451055	-6.17%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2908	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.458202	-6.50%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3611	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.456368	-7.30%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3690	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.449241	-6.07%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3660	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.420713	-3.97%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.4077	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.429193	-4.30%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.4111	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.413568	-2.23%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4402	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.408298	-1.71%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5684	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.405988	-1.39%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6655	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.411356	+0.65%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5415	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.397211	-2.19%	0.747	+83.94%	0.6065	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.40234	-2.79%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5310	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.406291	-1.52%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5521	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.40867	-2.01%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4875	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.417831	-1.70%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4555	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.416348	-0.89%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4327	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.428095	+2.91%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3520	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.419334	+2.68%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4382	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.429312	+2.21%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3446	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.454973	+1.67%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2259	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.418447	+2.89%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3011	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.404323	+2.99%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3255	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.431401	+2.57%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1659	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.392657	-1.19%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3056	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.38538	-3.10%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3167	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.370801	-4.41%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3184	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.354746	-3.73%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3581	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.352646	-4.05%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3068	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.361761	-3.86%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2947	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.35654	-3.43%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2637	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.364687	-3.53%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2599	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.365322	-3.58%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2729	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.376014	-3.99%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2405	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.383907	-4.20%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1818	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.391037	-4.37%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0761	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.377037	-4.03%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1325	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.37751	-3.99%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0837	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.378636	-4.13%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0531	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.378828	-3.95%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0341	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.384577	-4.19%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0036	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.394634	-4.86%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0219	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.417095	-5.25%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0578	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.420609	-5.48%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0696	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.414075	-4.94%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0403	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.430163	-4.67%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0501	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.416376	-4.12%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0138	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.410075	-3.90%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0039	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.386632	-2.97%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0336	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.370986	-1.88%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0966	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.377484	-2.18%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1376	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.378925	-1.69%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0406	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.376102	-1.04%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0145	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.362581	-0.43%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1152	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341285	-0.00%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1328	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324543	+0.06%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1933	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347492	-0.69%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1100	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.362977	-0.97%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0160	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.387223	-1.92%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0484	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.386723	-1.75%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0247	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.381932	-1.37%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0274	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.379683	-1.15%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0015	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.385095	-1.45%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0211	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.407392	-2.00%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0387	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.40844	-2.08%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0195	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.405567	-2.08%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0056	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.38696	-1.54%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0100	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.394677	-1.21%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0119	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.408778	-1.38%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0371	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.401233	-1.08%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0190	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.387563	-0.88%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0338	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.412541	-1.80%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0042	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.416755	-1.80%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0516	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.410006	-1.52%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0782	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.411157	-1.16%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0498	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.413357	-0.99%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0711	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.447462	-1.61%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0353	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.45185	-1.75%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0636	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.450735	-1.98%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1289	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.421888	-1.38%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1164	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.427143	-1.72%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1076	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.447322	-2.52%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1513	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.484034	-3.59%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2404	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.5175	-4.44%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3483	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.525489	-4.63%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4269	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.53117	-4.89%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4918	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.536886	-4.83%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4263	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.56835	-5.75%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4369	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.525257	-4.83%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2851	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.529439	-5.08%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2950	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.552013	-5.60%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3536	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.550297	-5.53%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3592	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.559772	-5.59%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3581	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.579184	-6.10%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3319	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.526337	-4.92%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2328	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.555005	-5.35%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2995	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.550918	-5.36%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3416	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.56731	-5.87%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3489	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.594428	-6.55%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3606	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.601298	-6.65%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4023	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.600779	-7.12%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4365	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.573447	-6.51%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3067	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.569572	-6.57%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2848	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.563779	-6.89%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2628	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.581274	-7.98%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2455	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.57563	-7.98%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1612	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.569569	-7.85%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0811	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.56265	-7.62%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0591	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.576763	-7.92%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0882	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.586934	-8.15%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1023	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.56343	-7.44%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.572565	-7.26%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.573544	-7.09%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0729	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.603711	-7.46%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0725	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.592004	-7.31%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1047	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.611349	-7.40%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0981	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.588029	-6.90%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1579	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.540269	-6.02%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3094	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.593028	-6.57%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1054	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.667127	-7.63%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.700276	-8.22%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.663264	-6.82%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.691754	-6.56%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0756	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.657206	-6.43%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1580	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.713797	-6.92%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.746387	-6.75%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.83019	-8.85%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.881036	-12.18%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1336	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.784729	-9.42%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.601169	-4.91%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3427	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.