PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s3

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0382

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0059

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.625285	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.616011	-0.56%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0232	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.63018	-0.63%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0260	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.627953	-0.67%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0112	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.611668	-0.51%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0279	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.647853	-0.85%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0514	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.589402	-0.45%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1081	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.582214	-0.40%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0122	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.619552	-0.61%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0466	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.612997	-0.60%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0066	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.671964	-0.85%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0740	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.673333	-0.90%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0014	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.65544	-0.86%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0336	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.635986	-0.80%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0331	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.652057	-0.96%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0066	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.652123	-0.86%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0241	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.733355	-1.04%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1075	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.798971	-1.83%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0709	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.710652	-1.06%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1263	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.738005	-1.20%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0284	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.694722	-1.04%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0744	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.706968	-1.39%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0141	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.672761	-1.08%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0641	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.66157	-1.35%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0267	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.645039	-1.69%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0452	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.611796	-0.95%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0696	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.650552	-1.66%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0539	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.611669	-1.15%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0802	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.572894	-1.21%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0770	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.572945	-0.94%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0242	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.566913	-1.21%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0230	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.508842	-0.72%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0849	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.533883	-0.85%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0403	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.533703	-0.89%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0065	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.511359	-0.76%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0225	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.511312	-0.79%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0065	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.483907	-0.67%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0601	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.492539	-0.85%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0023	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.471714	-0.61%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0448	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.477822	-0.60%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0044	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.485981	-0.83%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0112	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.485238	-1.43%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0067	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.471542	-1.40%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0518	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.435555	-0.58%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0942	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.444368	-0.92%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0115	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.422623	-0.09%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0654	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415159	-0.06%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0163	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.411567	-0.03%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0086	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.409498	+0.20%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0128	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.40507	-0.25%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0052	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.412459	-0.35%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0152	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.41137	-0.29%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0100	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.415322	-0.41%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0101	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.423362	-0.40%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0130	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.418575	-0.36%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0140	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.415019	-0.24%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0211	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.407365	-0.25%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0165	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.418415	-0.39%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0261	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.443999	-0.78%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0540	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.404869	-0.45%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0966	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.391306	-0.33%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0367	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.418581	-0.48%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0611	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.395897	-0.38%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0539	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.395749	-0.49%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0019	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.385952	-0.50%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0255	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367197	-0.35%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0546	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366257	-0.35%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0038	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.374958	-0.36%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0197	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368052	-0.31%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0221	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.37672	-0.35%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0196	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.377589	-0.35%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0012	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390079	-0.40%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0288	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.398931	-0.45%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0173	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.406726	-0.53%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0119	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391169	-0.43%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0445	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391506	-0.43%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0034	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.393243	-0.43%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0019	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.392746	-0.42%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0068	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.399633	-0.44%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0152	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.412718	-0.50%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0302	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.437525	-0.61%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0532	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.442318	-0.60%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0074	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.433163	-0.56%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0272	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.4484	-0.63%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0230	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.431389	-0.66%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0435	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.423139	-0.83%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0259	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396701	-0.44%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0727	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.376875	-0.32%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0595	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.384511	-0.36%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0194	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.383956	-0.39%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0045	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.378179	-0.49%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0216	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363034	-0.31%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0489	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340714	-0.17%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0679	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323966	-0.12%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0489	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.349275	-0.18%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0756	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.365712	-0.23%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0439	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.3937	-0.28%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0746	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.392543	-0.27%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0053	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.3863	-0.25%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0222	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.383245	-0.22%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0114	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.389882	-0.22%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0264	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414489	-0.29%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0536	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.415822	-0.31%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0002	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.41293	-0.31%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0113	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392074	-0.24%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0520	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398591	-0.23%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0171	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413269	-0.30%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0307	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.404342	-0.31%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0269	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.39007	-0.24%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0379	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419117	-0.23%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0710	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423428	-0.23%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0097	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.415586	-0.18%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0180	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415457	-0.13%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0021	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417178	-0.08%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0068	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.453817	-0.22%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0810	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.458452	-0.31%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0090	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.458743	-0.24%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0032	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427476	-0.08%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0731	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434211	-0.09%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0153	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458082	-0.18%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0516	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.50054	-0.30%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0879	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.539426	-0.39%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0738	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.548733	-0.41%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0121	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.556017	-0.44%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0105	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.561682	-0.44%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0046	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.59879	-0.70%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0590	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.549597	-0.42%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0940	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.555368	-0.43%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0053	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.581618	-0.54%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0415	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.579819	-0.46%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0082	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.590121	-0.47%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0138	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.612978	-0.62%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0343	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.55177	-0.33%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1114	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584206	-0.37%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0593	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.58008	-0.35%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0115	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.600293	-0.40%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0277	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.632927	-0.50%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0484	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.640879	-0.50%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0142	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.642628	-0.65%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0028	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.610916	-0.40%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0746	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.607254	-0.38%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0115	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.602936	-0.42%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0310	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.627553	-0.66%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0011	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.621658	-0.62%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0378	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.614473	-0.59%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0197	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.605837	-0.53%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0163	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.622487	-0.62%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0205	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.634476	-0.71%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.605472	-0.53%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0740	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.614065	-0.54%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0098	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.614176	-0.51%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.648277	-0.63%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.635064	-0.57%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0111	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.655511	-0.71%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.62813	-0.55%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0489	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.573334	-0.27%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0876	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.631845	-0.45%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0922	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.717223	-0.69%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1162	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.755843	-0.94%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.707304	-0.63%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0879	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.734528	-0.78%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.698285	-0.59%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0361	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.761344	-0.72%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0656	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.794157	-0.78%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0196	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.897098	-1.50%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1083	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.973473	-2.96%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0855	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.841704	-2.84%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1697	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.628893	-0.52%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3180	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.