O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s3

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

111

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

67.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0799

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0070

actual -0.0293

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.438186	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.434767	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.404228	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.423289	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.440063	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.453382	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.450404	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.4555	-1.22%	0.44305	-3.92%	0.0350	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.46774	-1.16%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0618	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.477389	-1.40%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1588	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.47492	-1.19%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0935	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.47207	-1.31%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0474	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.445656	-0.84%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0372	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.450553	-0.89%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0077	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.466996	-1.01%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0003	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.497274	-1.14%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0332	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.501425	-1.15%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0081	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.507274	-1.14%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0360	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.5063	-1.26%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0451	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.51372	-1.28%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1213	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.531679	-1.36%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1362	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.544582	-1.54%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1417	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.556785	-1.64%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1134	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.522143	-1.34%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0446	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.531924	-1.36%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0506	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.536238	-1.37%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0472	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.540885	-1.36%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0415	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.544081	-1.33%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0126	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.53878	-1.22%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0319	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.551647	-1.27%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0505	✗	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.53889	-1.08%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0001	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.544733	-0.96%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0348	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.561063	-1.02%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0544	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.567659	-0.93%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0595	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.555992	-0.51%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0716	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.536981	+0.17%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0562	✗	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.530116	+0.63%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0527	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.549409	+0.62%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0899	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.514963	+1.77%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0237	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.548115	+1.19%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0039	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.555509	+1.39%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0037	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.543313	+2.04%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0301	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.540718	+2.99%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0127	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.550239	+3.09%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0149	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.561327	+3.07%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0187	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.556603	+3.97%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0599	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.556029	+3.94%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0005	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.573741	+3.54%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0214	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.583139	+3.99%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0435	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.563126	+2.40%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0803	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.569968	+2.16%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0767	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.566632	+2.44%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0452	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.545029	+2.08%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0458	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.540899	+1.84%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0278	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.46233	+2.23%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1621	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.447953	+2.60%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2136	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.456924	+2.19%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2054	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.454788	+1.94%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2176	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.438387	+1.93%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2374	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.448317	+1.52%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1755	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.441984	+1.28%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1693	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.517246	+0.99%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1290	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.481029	+0.10%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1734	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.483032	-0.64%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.2005	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.478131	-1.28%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.3055	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.45237	-1.27%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2950	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.443229	-1.38%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2624	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.449032	-1.42%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2730	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.435873	-1.41%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.1032	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.438682	-1.48%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0801	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.432732	-1.50%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0084	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.438811	-1.59%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0769	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.445556	-1.68%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0173	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.463454	-1.83%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0070	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.459116	-1.88%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0274	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.467799	-2.01%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0206	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.470584	-2.10%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0394	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.479069	-2.21%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0642	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.492681	-2.34%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0898	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.486801	-2.37%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0801	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.468563	-2.35%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0183	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.503025	-2.49%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1161	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.484592	-2.39%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0572	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.490452	-2.42%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0103	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.468109	-2.25%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0307	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.47627	-2.25%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0532	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.471623	-2.12%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0605	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.468223	-2.00%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0666	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.499305	-2.10%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0711	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.4768	-1.88%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0717	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.533013	-2.23%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0514	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.579478	-2.06%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1448	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.607078	-2.10%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1652	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.611878	-2.29%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.2058	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.577108	-2.10%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.2026	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.563248	-2.04%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0886	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.554672	-2.08%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1363	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.512737	-1.75%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0415	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.545595	-1.87%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0601	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.545698	-1.83%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.516231	-1.72%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1469	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.533093	-1.76%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0859	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.552902	-1.85%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0232	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.544009	-1.78%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0441	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.561171	-1.88%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0820	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.544524	-1.78%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.548827	-1.78%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.52402	-1.60%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0299	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.544325	-1.68%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.59752	-1.97%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0697	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.531484	-1.60%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.548571	-1.66%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.549074	-1.60%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0276	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.498485	-1.29%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0354	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.526742	-1.55%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0509	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.481143	-1.41%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0735	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.421471	-1.43%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3177	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.449665	-1.61%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1422	✗	1.00