O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s3

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

117

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0337

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0016

actual -0.0028

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.442089	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.438359	-0.20%	0.44305	+0.87%	0.0122	✗	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.407101	-0.11%	0.439245	+7.78%	0.0690	✗	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.426561	-0.15%	0.407545	-4.60%	0.0445	✓	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.444144	-0.20%	0.42721	-4.00%	0.0429	✓	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.457874	-0.22%	0.445015	-3.03%	0.0277	✓	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.454491	-0.23%	0.4589	+0.74%	0.0137	✗	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.460093	-0.22%	0.455525	-1.21%	0.0136	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.472167	-0.22%	0.46111	-2.56%	0.0135	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.482735	-0.29%	0.47322	-2.26%	0.0291	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.479418	-0.26%	0.48416	+0.73%	0.0242	✗	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.476639	-0.35%	0.480645	+0.49%	0.0026	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.448871	-0.12%	0.47832	+6.43%	0.0608	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.454026	-0.13%	0.449425	-1.14%	0.0166	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.470911	-0.18%	0.454605	-3.64%	0.0238	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.501667	-0.27%	0.47178	-6.21%	0.0462	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.505949	-0.26%	0.503025	-0.83%	0.0044	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.511763	-0.26%	0.50726	-1.14%	0.0041	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.511353	-0.27%	0.513105	+0.07%	0.0077	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.51903	-0.26%	0.51275	-1.47%	0.0137	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.53746	-0.29%	0.5204	-3.46%	0.0301	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.551002	-0.38%	0.539035	-2.54%	0.0302	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.563662	-0.43%	0.55308	-2.30%	0.0184	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.527629	-0.30%	0.566075	+6.96%	0.0691	✗	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.537595	-0.31%	0.52923	-1.86%	0.0084	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.542037	-0.30%	0.53924	-0.82%	0.0055	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.546709	-0.30%	0.543685	-0.85%	0.0078	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.549704	-0.31%	0.548345	-0.56%	0.0004	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.544013	-0.27%	0.55141	+1.09%	0.0135	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.55705	-0.30%	0.54546	-2.38%	0.0035	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.543554	-0.23%	0.55875	+2.56%	0.0298	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.549056	-0.18%	0.54479	-0.95%	0.0479	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.565682	-0.21%	0.550025	-2.97%	0.0275	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.571897	-0.19%	0.566845	-1.07%	0.0117	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.558456	-0.07%	0.572975	+2.52%	0.0108	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.536711	+0.12%	0.55887	+4.26%	0.0386	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.528036	+0.23%	0.536045	+1.75%	0.0091	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.547184	+0.21%	0.52681	-3.52%	0.0111	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.508721	+0.54%	0.54605	+7.92%	0.0573	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.543643	+0.37%	0.506	-6.58%	0.0673	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.550092	+0.40%	0.541645	-1.14%	0.0160	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.535441	+0.56%	0.54789	+2.90%	0.0165	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.529181	+0.79%	0.53246	+1.41%	0.0236	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.537879	+0.78%	0.525035	-1.63%	0.0226	✗	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.548834	+0.77%	0.53373	-2.00%	0.0216	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.540603	+0.98%	0.54462	+1.73%	0.0197	✓	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.540029	+0.95%	0.53535	+0.08%	0.0137	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.558611	+0.81%	0.53493	-3.46%	0.0449	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.565675	+0.87%	0.55411	-1.19%	0.0050	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.55263	+0.49%	0.56077	+1.97%	0.0262	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.559983	+0.37%	0.549935	-1.43%	0.0171	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.555265	+0.39%	0.55791	+0.87%	0.0172	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.535125	+0.23%	0.55311	+3.59%	0.0236	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.531395	+0.06%	0.53392	+0.53%	0.0108	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.453802	+0.34%	0.5311	+17.43%	0.1532	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.438424	+0.42%	0.452265	+3.59%	0.0589	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.448546	+0.32%	0.4366	-2.35%	0.0414	✗	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.447307	+0.26%	0.44712	+0.22%	0.0062	✗	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.43127	+0.28%	0.446145	+3.74%	0.0393	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.442491	+0.20%	0.43008	-2.61%	0.0436	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.437144	+0.17%	0.44159	+1.19%	0.0019	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.512194	+0.01%	0.4364	-14.79%	0.1464	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.480369	-0.04%	0.51216	+6.57%	0.0074	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.48531	-0.17%	0.48057	-1.15%	0.0588	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.482787	-0.32%	0.48616	+0.38%	0.0770	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.456809	-0.31%	0.484325	+5.70%	0.0547	✗	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.448004	-0.32%	0.45821	+1.95%	0.0088	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.454159	-0.29%	0.449445	-1.33%	0.0069	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.440894	-0.27%	0.455485	+3.03%	0.0317	✗	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.44396	-0.29%	0.4421	-0.71%	0.0045	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.438064	-0.29%	0.44526	+1.35%	0.0160	✗	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.444523	-0.31%	0.439325	-1.47%	0.0095	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.451649	-0.34%	0.445895	-1.61%	0.0056	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.470201	-0.40%	0.45317	-4.00%	0.0195	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.466126	-0.39%	0.47207	+0.88%	0.0138	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.475402	-0.41%	0.467935	-1.98%	0.0161	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.478646	-0.43%	0.47738	-0.69%	0.0143	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.487698	-0.45%	0.4807	-1.88%	0.0082	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.501953	-0.50%	0.489915	-2.88%	0.0348	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.496146	-0.50%	0.50446	+1.17%	0.0054	✗	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.477662	-0.46%	0.49863	+3.91%	0.0436	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.513048	-0.54%	0.47985	-6.98%	0.0821	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.494116	-0.47%	0.51585	+3.91%	0.0443	✗	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.500115	-0.49%	0.496455	-1.22%	0.0340	✗	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.476906	-0.41%	0.5026	+4.95%	0.0352	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.484811	-0.50%	0.47888	-1.71%	0.0133	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.479763	-0.43%	0.487225	+1.12%	0.0122	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.476135	-0.35%	0.48183	+0.84%	0.0494	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.507739	-0.45%	0.4778	-6.32%	0.0865	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.484304	-0.34%	0.51004	+4.96%	0.0465	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.541625	-0.65%	0.48595	-10.86%	0.0867	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.588927	-0.46%	0.54517	-7.86%	0.0557	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.61691	-0.51%	0.59166	-4.59%	0.0331	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.622386	-0.61%	0.6201	-0.97%	0.0315	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.586561	-0.50%	0.6262	+6.23%	0.0543	✗	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.572155	-0.49%	0.5895	+2.53%	0.0323	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.563456	-0.53%	0.57496	+1.51%	0.0011	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.519969	-0.36%	0.56643	+8.54%	0.0837	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.553649	-0.42%	0.521855	-6.14%	0.0444	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.553556	-0.42%	0.556	+0.02%	0.0086	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.523385	-0.36%	0.55588	+5.83%	0.0174	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.540597	-0.38%	0.525275	-3.20%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.561011	-0.42%	0.542635	-3.68%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.551675	-0.39%	0.56335	+1.72%	0.0265	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.569435	-0.43%	0.55385	-3.16%	0.0427	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.552193	-0.40%	0.57192	+3.16%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.556458	-0.42%	0.55441	-0.78%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.530719	-0.34%	0.558795	+4.93%	0.0622	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.551567	-0.37%	0.53254	-3.81%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.606372	-0.52%	0.55362	-9.17%	0.0989	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.538208	-0.35%	0.609515	+12.85%	0.1154	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.55566	-0.39%	0.54012	-3.18%	0.0451	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.55589	-0.38%	0.557835	-0.03%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.503592	-0.28%	0.558	+10.50%	0.0783	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.533083	-0.36%	0.505	-5.61%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.486407	-0.33%	0.535035	+9.64%	0.0838	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.426483	-0.26%	0.488	+14.12%	0.1425	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.455683	-0.29%	0.427605	-6.43%	0.0625	✓	1.00