O
o1.exchange · Base · gru_s3
- token id
- #266
- symbol
- O
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-17
- predictions
- 357
Track record at +30d
assessed
89
of 119 predictions shown
direction hit
93.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1233
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0454
actual -0.1449
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.43434 | 0.417253 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.43252 | 0.418083 | -3.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.439245 | 0.42355 | -3.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.407545 | 0.392127 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.42721 | 0.411388 | -3.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.445015 | 0.427205 | -4.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4589 | 0.441428 | -3.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.455525 | 0.438835 | -3.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.46111 | 0.442227 | -4.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.454922 | -3.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.48416 | 0.460855 | -4.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.480645 | 0.457743 | -4.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.47832 | 0.452776 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.449425 | 0.425989 | -5.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.454605 | 0.428213 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.47178 | 0.441694 | -6.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.503025 | 0.469418 | -6.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.50726 | 0.47216 | -6.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.513105 | 0.478365 | -6.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.51275 | 0.476095 | -7.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5204 | 0.485673 | -6.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.539035 | 0.505216 | -6.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.55308 | 0.519518 | -6.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.566075 | 0.53215 | -5.99% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.52923 | 0.498681 | -5.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.53924 | 0.508969 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.543685 | 0.514046 | -5.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.548345 | 0.519508 | -5.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.55141 | 0.524387 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.54546 | 0.520152 | -4.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.55875 | 0.535481 | -4.16% | 0.43434 | -22.27% | 0.1903 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.54479 | 0.524851 | -3.66% | 0.43252 | -20.61% | 0.1788 | ✓ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.550025 | 0.523884 | -4.75% | 0.439245 | -20.14% | 0.1896 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.566845 | 0.540053 | -4.73% | 0.407545 | -28.10% | 0.2859 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.572975 | 0.546509 | -4.62% | 0.42721 | -25.44% | 0.2552 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.55887 | 0.53234 | -4.75% | 0.445015 | -20.37% | 0.2196 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.536045 | 0.513715 | -4.17% | 0.4589 | -14.39% | 0.1604 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.52681 | 0.506905 | -3.78% | 0.455525 | -13.53% | 0.1734 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.54605 | 0.526972 | -3.49% | 0.46111 | -15.56% | 0.1673 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.506 | 0.490471 | -3.07% | 0.47322 | -6.48% | 0.0960 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.541645 | 0.524578 | -3.15% | 0.48416 | -10.61% | 0.1224 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.54789 | 0.533521 | -2.62% | 0.480645 | -12.27% | 0.1646 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.53246 | 0.520727 | -2.20% | 0.47832 | -10.17% | 0.1443 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.525035 | 0.518379 | -1.27% | 0.449425 | -14.40% | 0.1836 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.53373 | 0.528338 | -1.01% | 0.454605 | -14.82% | 0.1815 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.54462 | 0.538124 | -1.19% | 0.47178 | -13.37% | 0.1710 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.53535 | 0.533015 | -0.44% | 0.503025 | -6.04% | 0.1072 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.53493 | 0.531901 | -0.57% | 0.50726 | -5.17% | 0.1036 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.55411 | 0.551292 | -0.51% | 0.513105 | -7.40% | 0.1364 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.56077 | 0.562942 | +0.39% | 0.51275 | -8.56% | 0.1265 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.549935 | 0.543814 | -1.11% | 0.5204 | -5.37% | 0.1168 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.555541 | -0.42% | 0.539035 | -3.38% | 0.1052 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.55311 | 0.557827 | +0.85% | 0.55308 | -0.01% | 0.0598 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.53392 | 0.541527 | +1.42% | 0.566075 | +6.02% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.5311 | 0.542183 | +2.09% | 0.52923 | -0.35% | 0.0777 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.452265 | 0.469208 | +3.75% | 0.53924 | +19.23% | 0.0726 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.4366 | 0.461445 | +5.69% | 0.543685 | +24.53% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.44712 | 0.47219 | +5.61% | 0.548345 | +22.64% | 0.0926 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.446145 | 0.471972 | +5.79% | 0.55141 | +23.59% | 0.0897 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.43008 | 0.458987 | +6.72% | 0.54546 | +26.83% | 0.1110 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.44159 | 0.467001 | +5.75% | 0.55875 | +26.53% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.4364 | 0.459596 | +5.32% | 0.54479 | +24.84% | 0.0596 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.51216 | 0.537642 | +4.98% | 0.550025 | +7.39% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.48057 | 0.487527 | +1.45% | 0.566845 | +17.95% | 0.0647 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.48616 | 0.481444 | -0.97% | 0.572975 | +17.86% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.484325 | 0.467553 | -3.46% | 0.55887 | +15.39% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.45821 | 0.439012 | -4.19% | 0.536045 | +16.99% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.449445 | 0.426777 | -5.04% | 0.52681 | +17.21% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.455485 | 0.430841 | -5.41% | 0.54605 | +19.88% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.417019 | -5.67% | 0.506 | +14.45% | 0.0472 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44526 | 0.419673 | -5.75% | 0.541645 | +21.65% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.439325 | 0.412735 | -6.05% | 0.54789 | +24.71% | 0.0439 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.445895 | 0.417862 | -6.29% | 0.53246 | +19.41% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.45317 | 0.423734 | -6.50% | 0.525035 | +15.86% | 0.0320 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.47207 | 0.440968 | -6.59% | 0.53373 | +13.06% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.467935 | 0.434587 | -7.13% | 0.54462 | +16.39% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.47738 | 0.442431 | -7.32% | 0.53535 | +12.14% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.4807 | 0.444274 | -7.58% | 0.53493 | +11.28% | 0.0759 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.489915 | 0.452381 | -7.66% | 0.55411 | +13.10% | 0.0495 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.50446 | 0.465547 | -7.71% | 0.56077 | +11.16% | 0.1060 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.49863 | 0.459276 | -7.89% | 0.549935 | +10.29% | 0.0610 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.47985 | 0.44053 | -8.19% | 0.55791 | +16.27% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.51585 | 0.475782 | -7.77% | 0.55311 | +7.22% | 0.1422 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.496455 | 0.457529 | -7.84% | 0.53392 | +7.55% | 0.1224 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.5026 | 0.463953 | -7.69% | 0.5311 | +5.67% | 0.1286 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.47888 | 0.441819 | -7.74% | 0.452265 | -5.56% | 0.2426 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.487225 | 0.450324 | -7.57% | 0.4366 | -10.39% | 0.3397 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.48183 | 0.445142 | -7.61% | 0.44712 | -7.20% | 0.2856 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4778 | 0.440883 | -7.73% | 0.446145 | -6.63% | 0.2584 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.51004 | 0.471914 | -7.48% | 0.43008 | -15.68% | 0.4215 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.48595 | 0.448547 | -7.70% | 0.44159 | -9.13% | 0.3208 | ✓ | 1.58 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.54517 | 0.504494 | -7.46% | 0.4364 | -19.95% | 0.3910 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.59166 | 0.547424 | -7.48% | 0.51216 | -13.44% | 0.2980 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.6201 | 0.575423 | -7.20% | 0.48057 | -22.50% | 0.3046 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.6262 | 0.579655 | -7.43% | 0.48616 | -22.36% | 0.2613 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.5895 | 0.54637 | -7.32% | 0.484325 | -17.84% | 0.1205 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.57496 | 0.534351 | -7.06% | 0.45821 | -20.31% | 0.1470 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.56643 | 0.525741 | -7.18% | 0.449445 | -20.65% | 0.1340 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.521855 | 0.484245 | -7.21% | 0.455485 | -12.72% | 0.0494 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.556 | 0.518109 | -6.81% | 0.4421 | -20.49% | 0.1314 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.55588 | 0.518399 | -6.74% | 0.44526 | -19.90% | 0.1277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.525275 | 0.488085 | -7.08% | 0.439325 | -16.36% | 0.1235 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.542635 | 0.50457 | -7.01% | 0.445895 | -17.83% | 0.1203 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.56335 | 0.524299 | -6.93% | 0.45317 | -19.56% | 0.1480 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.55385 | 0.5167 | -6.71% | 0.47207 | -14.77% | 0.1015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.57192 | 0.532691 | -6.86% | 0.467935 | -18.18% | 0.1567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.55441 | 0.516556 | -6.83% | 0.47738 | -13.89% | 0.1206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.558795 | 0.521372 | -6.70% | 0.4807 | -13.98% | 0.0960 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.53254 | 0.497085 | -6.66% | 0.489915 | -8.00% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.55362 | 0.518262 | -6.39% | 0.50446 | -8.88% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.609515 | 0.568509 | -6.73% | 0.49863 | -18.19% | 0.1372 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.54012 | 0.504831 | -6.53% | 0.47985 | -11.16% | 0.0663 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.557835 | 0.521572 | -6.50% | 0.51585 | -7.53% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.558 | 0.520768 | -6.67% | 0.496455 | -11.03% | 0.0945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.505 | 0.470166 | -6.90% | 0.5026 | -0.48% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.535035 | 0.501621 | -6.25% | 0.47888 | -10.50% | 0.1066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.488 | 0.451235 | -7.53% | 0.487225 | -0.16% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.427605 | 0.376493 | -11.95% | 0.48183 | +12.68% | 0.1859 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.457 | 0.408105 | -10.70% | 0.4778 | +4.55% | 0.0724 | ✓ | 1.00 |