NIULAI
? · · gru_s3
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
88.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3386
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0982
actual -0.3105
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.06274 | 0.057006 | -9.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.062305 | 0.057002 | -8.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.057308 | -8.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.053768 | -7.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.054562 | -7.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.055416 | -6.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.060247 | -7.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.062373 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.064673 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.069111 | -7.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.067263 | -6.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.073719 | -7.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.074787 | -6.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.069666 | -6.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.068947 | -5.68% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.067482 | -5.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.074144 | -6.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.071878 | -6.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.076975 | -6.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.074666 | -6.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.0815 | -6.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.09236 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.097441 | -7.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.09769 | -7.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.107706 | -7.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.096693 | -7.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.098361 | -7.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.096892 | -7.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.09342 | -7.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.099834 | -7.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.104724 | -6.77% | 0.06274 | -44.14% | 0.4819 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.100411 | -6.83% | 0.062305 | -42.19% | 0.4374 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.092685 | -8.31% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.4258 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.098681 | -8.56% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.5430 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.109227 | -8.69% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.6398 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.093845 | -11.69% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.5203 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.087136 | -13.34% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.3608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.105277 | -12.06% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.5292 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.108377 | -11.35% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.4849 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.103028 | -12.01% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.4013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.120844 | -10.44% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.5734 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.113019 | -10.13% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.4352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.109104 | -10.11% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.3893 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.068428 | -12.92% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.091252 | -10.65% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.2623 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.070859 | -13.22% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.080441 | -11.62% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.0799 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.108759 | -9.79% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.4194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.075746 | -9.95% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.08821 | -8.41% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.1382 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.071022 | -8.74% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.1202 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.076859 | -7.80% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.1640 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.093673 | -8.94% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.0509 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.092031 | -9.31% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.0590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.05482 | -0.22% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.6836 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.056117 | +0.10% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.5356 | ✓ | 1.00 |