MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s3
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +7d
assessed
120
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
66.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3182
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0806
actual -0.1811
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000285926 | -11.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.00027657 | -12.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000321194 | -11.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000309254 | -13.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000364363 | -12.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000373197 | -14.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000384287 | -16.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000368411 | -18.66% | 0.000324 | -28.46% | 0.1536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000362385 | -20.13% | 0.0003162 | -30.31% | 0.1660 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000448924 | -19.81% | 0.0003632 | -35.13% | 0.2099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000535302 | -19.68% | 0.00035745 | -46.37% | 0.4050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000559342 | -20.43% | 0.0004181 | -40.53% | 0.2709 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000309416 | -0.19% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.00031517 | -0.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000316815 | -0.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000392037 | -1.42% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000396681 | -1.42% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000392239 | -1.55% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.00043943 | -1.91% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.00048127 | -2.42% | 0.00031 | -37.15% | 0.1851 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000474519 | -2.40% | 0.000317 | -34.80% | 0.3061 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000458736 | -2.38% | 0.0003192 | -32.07% | 0.2473 | ✓ | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000454157 | -2.48% | 0.0003977 | -14.60% | 0.1570 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000486011 | -3.05% | 0.0004024 | -19.73% | 0.1742 | ✓ | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000522081 | -3.73% | 0.0003984 | -26.54% | 0.1563 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000499448 | -4.08% | 0.000448 | -13.96% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000520439 | -4.31% | 0.0004932 | -9.32% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000526861 | -4.40% | 0.0004862 | -11.78% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000486641 | -4.43% | 0.0004699 | -7.72% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000474868 | -5.06% | 0.0004657 | -6.90% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000474371 | -5.01% | 0.0005013 | +0.38% | 0.0470 | ✓ | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000519216 | -5.60% | 0.0005423 | -1.40% | 0.0330 | ✓ | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000510287 | -5.85% | 0.0005207 | -3.93% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000478767 | -4.02% | 0.0005439 | +9.04% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000488205 | -4.27% | 0.0005511 | +8.06% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000482702 | -3.75% | 0.0005092 | +1.54% | 0.0450 | ✓ | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000499049 | -4.32% | 0.0005002 | -4.10% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000513416 | -4.53% | 0.0004994 | -7.14% | 0.0301 | ✓ | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000475959 | -2.94% | 0.00055 | +12.15% | 0.0517 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.00049496 | -3.74% | 0.000542 | +5.41% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000513738 | -3.78% | 0.0004988 | -6.57% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000475655 | -2.09% | 0.00051 | +4.98% | 0.1047 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000548083 | -3.85% | 0.0005015 | -12.02% | 0.1474 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000557744 | -5.50% | 0.0005216 | -11.62% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000584195 | -5.76% | 0.0005378 | -13.24% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.00058895 | -6.59% | 0.0004904 | -22.22% | 0.1167 | ✗ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000580522 | -6.53% | 0.0005142 | -17.21% | 0.1064 | ✗ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.00062564 | -5.90% | 0.0005339 | -19.70% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000597401 | -4.92% | 0.0004858 | -22.68% | 0.0418 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000753531 | -8.97% | 0.00057 | -31.14% | 0.1381 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000645687 | -5.05% | 0.0005902 | -13.21% | 0.0957 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000679806 | -4.25% | 0.0006199 | -12.69% | 0.1729 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000573658 | -2.95% | 0.0006305 | +6.67% | 0.0781 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000626098 | -3.38% | 0.0006211 | -4.15% | 0.2204 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000565983 | -4.17% | 0.0006649 | +12.58% | 0.2094 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000651268 | -5.59% | 0.0006283 | -8.92% | 0.1548 | ✗ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000693307 | -8.24% | 0.0008278 | +9.56% | 0.2466 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.00072297 | -8.48% | 0.00068 | -13.92% | 0.3208 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000734903 | -8.25% | 0.00071 | -11.36% | 0.3996 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000744524 | -9.20% | 0.0005911 | -27.91% | 0.2723 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000621558 | -8.59% | 0.000648 | -4.71% | 0.4956 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000586734 | -8.85% | 0.0005906 | -8.25% | 0.2550 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000623859 | -9.59% | 0.0006898 | -0.03% | 0.2489 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000662609 | -10.46% | 0.0007556 | +2.11% | 0.1264 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000614672 | -13.43% | 0.00079 | +11.27% | 0.2855 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000713882 | -11.87% | 0.000801 | -1.11% | 0.1613 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000791706 | -11.04% | 0.00082 | -7.87% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000980615 | -10.04% | 0.00068 | -37.61% | 0.3245 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001284 | -8.91% | 0.0006437 | -54.35% | 0.6848 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.00123 | -10.21% | 0.00069 | -49.64% | 0.5176 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001396 | -9.93% | 0.00074 | -52.26% | 0.6217 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.00141 | -10.18% | 0.00071 | -54.78% | 0.7273 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.00131 | -10.89% | 0.00081 | -44.90% | 0.5163 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001425 | -10.95% | 0.00089 | -44.38% | 0.4728 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.00125 | -13.19% | 0.00109 | -24.31% | 0.1818 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001125 | -16.01% | 0.00141 | +5.22% | 0.3007 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001509 | -14.28% | 0.00137 | -22.16% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001153 | -18.23% | 0.00155 | +9.93% | 0.3374 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001427 | -17.05% | 0.00157 | -8.72% | 0.2342 | ✗ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001723 | -15.94% | 0.00147 | -28.29% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002037 | -15.13% | 0.0016 | -33.33% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002119 | -15.23% | 0.00144 | -42.40% | 0.1584 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.001946 | -16.82% | 0.00134 | -42.74% | 0.2610 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002311 | -15.04% | 0.00176 | -35.29% | 0.2536 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002684 | -13.41% | 0.00141 | -54.52% | 0.4898 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003765 | -8.39% | 0.00172 | -58.15% | 0.6627 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.004238 | -7.67% | 0.00205 | -55.34% | 0.6554 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.004656 | -7.26% | 0.0024 | -52.19% | 0.6863 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.005937 | -7.08% | 0.0025 | -60.88% | 0.8673 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.006106 | -7.91% | 0.00234 | -64.71% | 0.8141 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.004292 | -12.04% | 0.00272 | -44.26% | 0.4539 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.004481 | -12.48% | 0.0031 | -39.45% | 0.4060 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.006557 | -10.18% | 0.00411 | -43.70% | 0.4743 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.008609 | -8.90% | 0.00459 | -51.43% | 0.6471 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.010016 | -8.19% | 0.00502 | -53.99% | 0.8037 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012769 | -6.93% | 0.00639 | -53.43% | 0.7811 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.009331 | -10.02% | 0.00663 | -36.07% | 0.5878 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.011983 | -8.94% | 0.00488 | -62.92% | 1.1210 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.015524 | -7.49% | 0.00512 | -69.49% | 1.3059 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.014608 | -8.76% | 0.0073 | -54.40% | 0.9787 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.018449 | -7.34% | 0.00945 | -52.54% | 0.9401 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.019112 | -7.45% | 0.01091 | -47.17% | 0.7915 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.016389 | -8.74% | 0.01372 | -23.61% | 0.3585 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.021126 | -7.43% | 0.01037 | -54.56% | 0.6987 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.024657 | -6.74% | 0.01316 | -50.23% | 0.3862 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.021262 | -7.07% | 0.01678 | -26.66% | 0.1159 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.018821 | -7.01% | 0.01601 | -20.90% | 0.0472 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.019343 | -7.27% | 0.01991 | -4.55% | 0.1370 | ✗ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.01536 | -6.91% | 0.02065 | +25.15% | 0.4291 | ✗ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.012066 | -6.10% | 0.01796 | +39.77% | 0.3797 | ✗ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.012045 | -5.97% | 0.02282 | +78.14% | 0.5394 | ✗ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.012489 | -6.02% | 0.02644 | +98.95% | 0.4844 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.010606 | -5.30% | 0.02288 | +104.29% | 0.6301 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.014486 | -6.72% | 0.02024 | +30.33% | 0.3026 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.011557 | -5.43% | 0.02086 | +70.70% | 0.5493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.007571 | -4.17% | 0.0165 | +108.86% | 0.7662 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.008663 | -4.38% | 0.01285 | +41.83% | 0.4455 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.009551 | -4.21% | 0.01281 | +28.49% | 0.3482 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.009619 | -3.81% | 0.01329 | +32.90% | 0.3461 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.008091 | -3.68% | 0.0112 | +33.33% | 0.3414 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.007159 | -4.80% | 0.01553 | +106.52% | 0.7962 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006287 | -7.81% | 0.01222 | +79.18% | 0.7020 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.007203 | -5.97% | 0.0079 | +3.13% | 0.1100 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.010811 | -3.30% | 0.00906 | -18.96% | 0.1686 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.013305 | -3.03% | 0.00997 | -27.33% | 0.2148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.015418 | -4.18% | 0.01 | -37.85% | 0.3200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.012086 | -2.38% | 0.0084 | -32.15% | 0.2699 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.010481 | -2.41% | 0.00752 | -29.98% | 0.2900 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.00955 | -2.85% | 0.00682 | -30.62% | 0.2999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.010746 | -2.22% | 0.00766 | -30.30% | 0.3116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.011624 | -2.16% | 0.01118 | -5.89% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.009025 | -3.89% | 0.01372 | +46.11% | 0.3254 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.00896 | -4.27% | 0.01609 | +71.90% | 0.4991 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.011244 | -2.48% | 0.01238 | +7.37% | 0.0645 | ✗ | 1.00 |