MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s3

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1035

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0108

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000344382	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000362677	-0.14%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000357363	-0.02%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0028	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000416982	-0.27%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1520	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000434409	-0.33%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0459	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000456031	-0.50%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0438	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000447289	-1.24%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0319	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000430384	-5.14%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0442	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000519015	-7.29%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1158	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000601533	-9.75%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000601807	-14.39%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.1255	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000309409	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000316071	-0.29%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0593	✗	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000318258	-0.30%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0245	✓	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000395276	-0.61%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0787	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000399948	-0.61%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0036	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000395786	-0.66%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0010	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000444951	-0.68%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1287	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000489299	-0.79%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0145	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000482478	-0.77%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0509	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000466476	-0.73%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0371	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.00046239	-0.71%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0227	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000497177	-0.82%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0158	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000536858	-1.00%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0109	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000512879	-1.50%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0481	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.00053878	-0.94%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0209	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000545557	-1.01%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0005	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000504798	-0.86%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0510	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000495941	-0.85%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0323	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.00049514	-0.85%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0156	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000543852	-1.12%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0821	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000536857	-0.95%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0936	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.00049525	-0.71%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0241	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000506102	-0.76%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0226	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000497904	-0.72%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0169	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000517456	-0.79%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0208	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000531816	-1.11%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0303	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000488729	-0.34%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0088	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000511901	-0.45%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0344	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000531416	-0.47%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0550	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000485822	+0.00%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0460	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000566949	-0.54%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0851	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000586414	-0.64%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1552	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000614917	-0.80%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0230	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000625831	-0.74%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0942	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000616785	-0.69%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0436	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000660792	-0.62%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1721	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000627022	-0.20%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0249	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000815396	-1.50%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0193	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000678319	-0.25%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0446	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000707994	-0.28%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0970	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000593349	+0.38%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1905	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000649615	+0.25%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1118	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000593324	+0.46%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2530	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000690749	+0.14%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0537	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000754214	-0.18%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0778	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000787974	-0.26%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0311	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000799168	-0.23%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0261	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000817647	-0.29%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0548	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000683004	+0.44%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1252	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000648743	+0.78%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0124	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000695364	+0.78%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0713	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000745682	+0.77%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0661	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000716755	+0.95%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0823	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000817496	+0.93%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1440	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000897902	+0.89%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1333	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001096	+0.53%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1662	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001411	+0.06%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3326	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001372	+0.13%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0883	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.00155	-0.00%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1589	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001571	+0.04%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0132	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001473	+0.23%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0658	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001602	+0.15%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0852	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001446	+0.43%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1038	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001349	+0.64%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1085	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001762	+0.13%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1456	✗	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001419	+0.64%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0879	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001728	+0.49%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.1058	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002057	+0.32%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1217	✗	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002402	+0.08%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0864	✗	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002504	+0.17%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0732	✗	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002352	+0.50%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0155	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002731	+0.39%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1303	✗	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003111	+0.35%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1188	✗	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004098	-0.28%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2161	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004566	-0.52%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.1019	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004986	-0.67%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1097	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006291	-1.55%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2333	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006507	-1.85%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0551	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004792	-1.79%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2162	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004857	-5.13%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0214	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006935	-5.00%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2242	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009116	-3.53%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2302	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010651	-2.38%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2377	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013459	-1.90%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1949	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010041	-3.17%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.2076	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012917	-1.85%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2805	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016496	-1.69%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2259	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015745	-1.65%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0653	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019515	-1.98%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1939	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020185	-2.25%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0824	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017651	-1.72%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2426	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022336	-2.12%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1574	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025663	-2.94%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0465	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022258	-2.72%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0530	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019756	-2.39%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1426	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020161	-3.35%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0017	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016037	-2.81%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2263	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012637	-1.66%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1977	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012586	-1.75%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0082	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013039	-1.89%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0388	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011037	-1.45%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2139	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015114	-2.68%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2831	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011923	-2.43%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2542	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007857	-0.55%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4575	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008976	-0.93%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0899	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009859	-1.11%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009891	-1.09%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008355	-0.53%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1831	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007504	-0.22%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1351	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006818	-0.03%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1035	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007638	-0.29%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1173	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011077	-0.93%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3407	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013561	-1.16%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1351	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015745	-2.14%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1380	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012241	-1.12%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2577	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010644	-0.90%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1215	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009759	-0.73%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0961	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010899	-0.83%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1171	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011756	-1.04%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0558	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009334	-0.59%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1953	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009301	-0.63%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0164	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011435	-0.82%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1614	✓	1.00