MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s3
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 399
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 133 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8291
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2013
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003449 | 0.00029608 | -14.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000311642 | -14.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000306988 | -14.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000352467 | -15.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000363922 | -16.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000375071 | -18.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000327259 | -27.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000176615 | -61.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000155865 | -72.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000123705 | -81.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000057256 | -91.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000297012 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.00030177 | -4.80% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000303423 | -4.94% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000366431 | -7.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000369343 | -8.22% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000366713 | -7.95% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000405042 | -9.59% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000440648 | -10.66% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000435704 | -10.39% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000422279 | -10.13% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.00041868 | -10.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000446007 | -11.03% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000478119 | -11.83% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000459599 | -11.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000479117 | -11.91% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000482995 | -12.36% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000449541 | -11.72% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000441813 | -11.67% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.00044126 | -11.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000476773 | -13.31% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000469445 | -13.39% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000442297 | -11.33% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000447998 | -12.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000443923 | -11.48% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000457761 | -12.24% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000467062 | -13.15% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000443704 | -9.52% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000458058 | -10.92% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000471919 | -11.61% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000443382 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000496587 | -12.88% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.3258 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000503065 | -14.76% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.2240 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000516779 | -16.64% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.1933 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000522068 | -17.20% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.0576 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000513682 | -17.29% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000549514 | -17.35% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.1819 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000531423 | -15.42% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.0538 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000645361 | -22.04% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000573827 | -15.61% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.0556 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000594265 | -16.30% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.1702 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000519032 | -12.19% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0402 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000562524 | -13.19% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1244 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000521981 | -11.62% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.0877 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000592633 | -14.09% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0334 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000633255 | -16.19% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.1655 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000656294 | -16.92% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.1501 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000664392 | -17.05% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.0986 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000677446 | -17.38% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.2305 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000596801 | -12.24% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.2777 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000579653 | -9.95% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.3617 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000620303 | -10.10% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.1826 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000665289 | -10.10% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.2011 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000651845 | -8.19% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.2498 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000740422 | -8.59% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.1605 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000807548 | -9.26% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.0151 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000952983 | -12.57% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.0696 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001178 | -16.46% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.2993 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001157 | -15.55% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.2744 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.00129 | -16.76% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.3439 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.00131 | -16.57% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.2611 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001244 | -15.40% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.1430 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.00134 | -16.28% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.4163 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001238 | -14.03% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.3079 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001173 | -12.46% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.3182 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001475 | -16.19% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.4700 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001245 | -11.69% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.2491 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001497 | -12.96% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.3577 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001763 | -13.98% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.4876 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002044 | -14.82% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.4704 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002152 | -13.92% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.4422 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.002064 | -11.79% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.6757 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002427 | -10.77% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.7071 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002805 | -9.50% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 1.0959 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003653 | -11.12% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.2600 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.004006 | -12.72% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.4111 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.004281 | -14.72% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.4677 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.005129 | -19.73% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.6280 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.005277 | -20.41% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.6258 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.003268 | -33.03% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.4139 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.002026 | -60.42% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 0.9857 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.003112 | -57.37% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.2876 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.005175 | -45.24% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 1.7417 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.007255 | -33.50% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.2537 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.010505 | -23.43% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.4755 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.005944 | -42.68% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 1.9014 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.009505 | -27.77% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.2656 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.013054 | -22.21% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.2636 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.012158 | -24.06% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.2693 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.015444 | -22.43% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.3521 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.015961 | -22.71% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.4433 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.013812 | -23.09% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.2909 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.017462 | -23.48% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.3781 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.020005 | -24.34% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.4579 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.017326 | -24.27% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.5425 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.015432 | -23.76% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.2698 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.015662 | -24.92% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.3934 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.012672 | -23.20% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.1062 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.010248 | -20.25% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.8230 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.01019 | -20.45% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.7500 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.010531 | -20.76% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.7418 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.009075 | -18.98% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.5762 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.011893 | -23.42% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.5457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.00974 | -20.30% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.2302 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.006884 | -12.85% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.6064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.007786 | -14.06% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.5823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.008503 | -14.71% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.5797 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.008541 | -14.59% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.3799 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007413 | -11.74% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.2218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.00675 | -10.24% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.3737 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006121 | -10.25% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.2132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.0068 | -11.22% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.009683 | -13.39% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.0631 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.01196 | -12.83% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.013505 | -16.07% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0699 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.010975 | -11.35% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009565 | -10.94% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.3894 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.008805 | -10.43% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.7155 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.009778 | -11.03% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.5493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.010552 | -11.17% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.7013 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.0084 | -10.54% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 0.9430 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008327 | -11.04% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.7924 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.010316 | -10.53% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.8367 | ✗ | 1.00 |