MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s3

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3477

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0030

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001856	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001736	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001862	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001733	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001999	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002229	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002278	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002144	-4.86%	0.001936	-14.07%	0.1144	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001978	-3.20%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0922	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.00208	-3.45%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0701	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001815	-0.78%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0139	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001824	-0.28%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1656	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001848	-0.00%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2637	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.00208	-1.21%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1449	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002345	-2.76%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0102	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002324	-2.36%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0807	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002749	-4.46%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1662	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002308	-0.81%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1709	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001772	+3.15%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.0625	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001749	+3.83%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.0885	✓	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001759	+4.19%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.2346	✓	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002478	+3.68%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0211	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003161	+2.14%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.3217	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003661	+0.69%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2867	✗	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003701	+0.85%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4883	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004488	-1.66%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9641	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004823	-2.39%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0569	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004465	-0.67%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9782	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004565	-0.49%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6372	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004797	-0.93%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.4082	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005254	-1.75%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3314	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004536	+1.60%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2518	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004377	+2.53%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005658	+0.99%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1745	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005615	+1.92%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.3225	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004478	+3.09%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0787	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.006077	+2.62%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3586	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008634	+1.02%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5813	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006458	+2.73%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.4243	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.00862	+2.58%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.7529	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005744	-9.71%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.0712	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008208	-2.90%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.3963	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010081	-3.85%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8142	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017995	+0.79%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0743	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.01808	+0.42%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7376	✗	1.00