MICRODUCK
microduck · Robinhood · gru_s3
- token id
- #784
- symbol
- MICRODUCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-29
- predictions
- 135
Track record at +30d
assessed
15
of 45 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.1915
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1085
actual -1.3000
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001936 | 0.001679 | -13.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0018 | 0.00158 | -12.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001942 | 0.001673 | -13.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001786 | 0.001573 | -11.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002094 | 0.001771 | -15.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002361 | 0.001936 | -18.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.002423 | 0.00196 | -19.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002253 | 0.001859 | -17.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002043 | 0.001737 | -15.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.002155 | 0.001812 | -15.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001615 | -11.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001624 | -11.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.001849 | 0.001645 | -11.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.002105 | 0.001822 | -13.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.002412 | 0.002016 | -16.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00238 | 0.001998 | -16.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002877 | 0.002312 | -19.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.002327 | 0.001994 | -14.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.001718 | 0.001595 | -7.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.001685 | 0.001592 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.001688 | 0.001619 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002285 | -4.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003095 | 0.002874 | -7.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003635 | 0.003278 | -9.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00367 | 0.003327 | -9.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.004564 | 0.003929 | -13.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.004941 | 0.004179 | -15.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.004495 | 0.003929 | -12.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.004587 | 0.004017 | -12.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.004842 | 0.0042 | -13.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.005348 | 0.004553 | -14.87% | 0.001936 | -63.80% | 0.8090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.004465 | 0.004061 | -9.04% | 0.0018 | -59.70% | 0.8357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.004269 | 0.003971 | -6.99% | 0.001942 | -54.51% | 0.7226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.005603 | 0.005034 | -10.15% | 0.001786 | -68.12% | 1.0502 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.005509 | 0.005047 | -8.39% | 0.002094 | -61.99% | 0.9435 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.004344 | 0.004098 | -5.67% | 0.002361 | -45.64% | 0.6191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.005922 | 0.005531 | -6.59% | 0.002423 | -59.08% | 0.9084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.008547 | 0.007678 | -10.17% | 0.002253 | -73.64% | 1.2685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006287 | 0.005887 | -6.35% | 0.002043 | -67.50% | 1.1372 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008404 | 0.007829 | -6.84% | 0.002155 | -74.36% | 1.3466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006361 | 0.004614 | -27.47% | 0.001829 | -71.24% | 1.0055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.008453 | 0.007119 | -15.78% | 0.001829 | -78.36% | 1.4390 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.008757 | -16.48% | 0.001849 | -82.37% | 1.6084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.017855 | 0.01732 | -3.00% | 0.002105 | -88.21% | 2.1481 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.018005 | 0.017464 | -3.00% | 0.002412 | -86.60% | 2.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |