LONGXIA

? · · gru_s3

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +7d

assessed

41

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

68.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6082

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0798

actual -0.1736

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.019791	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.020043	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.020138	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.019303	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.019728	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.026722	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.028444	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.029423	-1.91%	0.02106	-29.79%	0.3704	✓	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029079	-1.84%	0.021215	-28.39%	0.3577	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.045536	-6.34%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7629	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.038865	-3.55%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6477	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.041901	-4.79%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.6832	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.043963	-4.99%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4577	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.043953	-4.45%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4041	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.048971	-5.75%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.4943	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.039678	-3.60%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2701	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.060195	-9.02%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2064	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.04259	-6.27%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0391	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.04194	-7.40%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0595	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.046062	-7.78%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0151	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.034874	-11.01%	0.046	+17.38%	0.2877	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.098915	-10.22%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6410	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.03019	-15.91%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.3067	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.060682	-12.02%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.1102	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.060603	-13.70%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.2594	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.076578	-12.73%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.4943	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.091304	-12.04%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.5982	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.116991	-10.13%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.0986	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.088193	-14.74%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.2171	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.151632	-9.81%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4309	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.121527	-12.86%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.5362	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.214729	-8.35%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0808	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.217117	-8.89%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9458	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.206008	-8.98%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7239	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.20207	-9.08%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4788	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.208414	-9.66%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8006	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.192526	-9.65%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2382	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.177094	-9.64%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3703	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.147242	-8.59%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3622	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.132741	-8.28%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5299	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.139874	-9.52%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4312	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068747	-2.51%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1269	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.035687	-6.31%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8688	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.04766	-3.04%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5253	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057854	-1.68%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2574	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053012	-2.82%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1231	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073774	-0.44%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7189	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087122	-0.70%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6061	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.