LONGXIA

? · · gru_s3

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +30d

assessed

18

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

94.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1935

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1548

actual -1.3308

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.018496	-12.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.018734	-11.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.018968	-10.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.018596	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.019302	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.025035	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.026738	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.02784	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.027741	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.041249	-15.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.036103	-10.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.038574	-12.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.040097	-13.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.039961	-13.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.04369	-15.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.036963	-10.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.052413	-20.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.039855	-12.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.03976	-12.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.042963	-13.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.034938	-10.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.085246	-22.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.028059	-21.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.061166	-11.32%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.061145	-12.93%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.075942	-13.46%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.088716	-14.53%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.109571	-15.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.079897	-22.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.137617	-18.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.113037	-18.95%	0.02106	-84.90%	1.6571	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.186958	-20.20%	0.021215	-90.94%	2.1460	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.187879	-21.16%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2037	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.178015	-21.35%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.1759	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.17436	-21.54%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.1362	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.179142	-22.35%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.9393	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.165746	-22.22%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8082	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.152692	-22.09%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7104	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.128697	-20.10%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5113	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.117149	-19.05%	0.04862	-66.40%	0.9583	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.123264	-20.26%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.1745	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.065775	-6.73%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4823	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.036475	-4.24%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.1579	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.047914	-2.52%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0938	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057575	-2.15%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1431	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053524	-1.88%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.3142	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073191	-1.23%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1637	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.085768	-2.25%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7068	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.