LONGXIA

? · · gru_s3

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2350

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0101

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021984	+0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021332	+0.65%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0298	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020537	+0.90%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0137	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021087	+0.99%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0326	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027615	+0.57%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2906	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.02925	+0.57%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0611	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030183	+0.63%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0262	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029845	+0.74%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0047	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048092	-1.09%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4674	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040202	-0.23%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1775	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043774	-0.54%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0673	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045972	-0.64%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0500	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045753	-0.54%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0082	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051425	-1.03%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1195	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041181	+0.05%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2529	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.064689	-2.22%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4455	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045321	-0.26%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3792	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.045216	-0.16%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0079	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.049747	-0.40%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.1038	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.039361	+0.44%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2368	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.104784	-4.89%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9832	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035843	-0.16%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1376	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068946	-0.04%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6536	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.070119	-0.15%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0142	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.087312	-0.50%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2333	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.102992	-0.78%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1595	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128515	-1.28%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2174	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.101958	-1.43%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2478	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.165216	-1.73%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4683	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.137623	-1.32%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2215	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.229197	-2.17%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4922	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.232162	-2.58%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.220277	-2.68%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.216134	-2.75%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0417	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.222622	-3.50%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.205525	-3.55%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1128	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.188442	-3.85%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1155	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.156027	-3.14%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2618	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.140235	-3.10%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1208	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.146758	-5.06%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069831	-0.98%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7940	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038419	+0.86%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.5986	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049478	+0.66%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2390	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058997	+0.27%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1804	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054749	+0.37%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0802	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074072	-0.04%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2903	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.08739	-0.40%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1713	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.