KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

153

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1689

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0159

actual -0.0446

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029024	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029377	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028267	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028466	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033348	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.03441	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.031916	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030341	-4.94%	0.030038	-5.89%	0.0089	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027608	-4.39%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0996	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026205	-4.38%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1139	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024061	-3.90%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2089	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023963	-4.19%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3779	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.02407	-4.48%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4120	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023679	-4.60%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3529	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019923	-3.79%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4761	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021783	-4.09%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2864	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025265	-5.86%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0890	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019403	-4.52%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2640	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018507	-4.13%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.3067	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020958	-4.77%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1904	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020521	-4.49%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1999	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022928	-5.04%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1010	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025089	-5.74%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1052	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030464	-8.23%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1325	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.01414	-3.70%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3472	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014361	-4.32%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2933	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.01312	-2.68%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5142	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012915	-2.38%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5055	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013298	-2.51%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6029	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013272	-2.07%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7147	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013467	-1.99%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9262	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013221	-2.15%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0746	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013537	-2.06%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0743	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013298	-1.57%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0153	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013716	-1.28%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1236	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013788	-1.17%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.1015	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013119	+0.18%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0876	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013093	+0.60%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0507	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013348	+0.78%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0417	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014082	+0.66%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0666	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014105	+0.98%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0863	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.014046	+1.10%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0086	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014205	+1.70%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0085	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014408	+1.62%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0614	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015129	+1.37%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1400	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015972	+1.48%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1472	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015896	+1.28%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0983	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016521	+0.93%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1433	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017	+1.24%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1585	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017329	-0.41%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2286	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017713	-0.44%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2366	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018101	-0.24%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.1993	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017665	-0.40%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1508	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017504	-0.30%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1324	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017846	-0.37%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1138	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017808	+0.10%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0746	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017262	+0.05%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0361	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018152	-0.17%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0013	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018688	-0.16%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0224	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020146	-0.98%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1263	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018155	-0.25%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0548	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017583	+0.18%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0274	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017206	-0.49%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1137	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.01668	-1.03%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1686	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015715	-1.52%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1727	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017343	-1.79%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2487	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.01742	-1.97%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1932	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017552	-1.97%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2979	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017501	-1.98%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3594	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017163	-1.84%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2359	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016949	-1.80%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1454	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018063	-1.99%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1517	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.01769	-1.86%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0159	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016968	-1.58%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0998	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016746	-1.50%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1172	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017519	-1.64%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0704	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017913	-1.79%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0016	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018167	-1.93%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0196	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017997	-2.11%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0388	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016928	-1.98%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0500	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015761	-1.55%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0515	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014626	-1.28%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0907	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015004	-1.33%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1140	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016664	-1.98%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1027	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015153	-1.48%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1824	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014136	-1.21%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2575	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013394	-0.93%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2601	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016878	-2.44%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0095	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012957	-0.71%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1658	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013969	-1.03%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1112	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013499	-0.85%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2376	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012978	-0.62%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2174	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012919	-0.62%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1604	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014935	-1.22%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0631	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015772	-1.40%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0766	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015404	-1.32%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1538	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015948	-1.40%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1268	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018708	-1.64%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3497	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019177	-1.60%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4181	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020563	-1.66%	0.013	-37.83%	0.4961	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019891	-1.46%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3497	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020434	-1.52%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2693	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020221	-1.51%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2852	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020624	-1.56%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2369	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019962	-1.40%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0636	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019741	-1.27%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0758	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020729	-1.41%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0333	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021746	-1.56%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0300	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021049	-1.45%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0182	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020031	-1.20%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0078	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020959	-1.32%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0404	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022526	-1.48%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1513	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022606	-1.32%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1846	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023521	-1.30%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2492	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026269	-1.78%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2780	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025724	-1.61%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.2972	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.0249	-1.48%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2912	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026044	-1.65%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2728	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024938	-1.35%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1349	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023846	-1.22%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0108	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025155	-1.62%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0652	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.028965	-2.39%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0231	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029602	-2.37%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0204	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.0296	-2.44%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0387	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026992	-1.67%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0716	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025972	-1.29%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0537	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.02805	-1.78%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0645	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.02879	-1.98%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0455	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029029	-2.00%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0789	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030112	-2.04%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0683	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031368	-1.99%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0280	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030524	-1.57%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1046	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.02994	-1.28%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1123	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.03073	-0.95%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1532	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031209	-0.86%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1638	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.03206	-1.05%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1646	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034192	-1.35%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1708	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037309	-1.43%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2814	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028375	+1.37%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0069	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034106	-0.19%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1135	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037369	-0.67%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1447	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036567	-0.61%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0723	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.040843	-2.31%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1086	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.047928	-4.14%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1737	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.062502	-7.45%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.3090	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038316	+0.17%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1299	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.037068	+0.81%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03942	+0.61%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1021	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044301	-0.13%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0569	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.050882	-1.13%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1164	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054034	-1.24%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053006	-0.70%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2804	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055656	-0.61%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3471	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053319	-0.44%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3182	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053473	-0.44%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2694	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061564	-0.86%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3154	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.060527	-1.04%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1661	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073016	-1.61%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2830	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.075074	-1.86%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3222	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.092121	-2.05%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4510	✓	1.00