KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0681

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029748	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030178	-1.05%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0047	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029042	-1.10%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0491	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029292	-1.04%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0023	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034432	-1.34%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1507	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035543	-2.06%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0184	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032936	-2.32%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0964	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031292	-1.96%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0753	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028437	-1.51%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1153	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026963	-1.61%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0688	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024752	-1.14%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1038	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024647	-1.46%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0147	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024763	-1.73%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0096	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024358	-1.87%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0328	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020509	-0.95%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1952	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022447	-1.17%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0764	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.02604	-2.97%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1364	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020005	-1.56%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2962	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.0191	-1.07%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0569	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021621	-1.76%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1140	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021172	-1.46%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0397	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023649	-2.06%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1000	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025877	-2.78%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0690	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031544	-4.98%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1703	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014478	-1.40%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8376	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014709	-2.01%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0021	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013384	-0.72%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1122	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013152	-0.59%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0269	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013555	-0.63%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0243	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.01348	-0.54%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0252	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013664	-0.55%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0052	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013437	-0.54%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0270	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.01375	-0.52%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0169	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013457	-0.40%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0235	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013838	-0.40%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0744	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013851	-0.72%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0008	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013109	+0.10%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0555	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013043	+0.21%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0366	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013278	+0.26%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0373	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014018	+0.20%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0511	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014007	+0.27%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0019	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013934	+0.30%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0058	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014027	+0.42%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0121	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014233	+0.38%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0169	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014971	+0.31%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0470	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015784	+0.30%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0421	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015733	+0.24%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0054	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016391	+0.13%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0449	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016818	+0.16%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0128	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017368	-0.18%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0852	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017754	-0.21%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0189	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018106	-0.21%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0032	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017688	-0.27%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0135	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017517	-0.23%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0208	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017861	-0.28%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0231	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017758	-0.18%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0483	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017228	-0.15%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0121	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018144	-0.22%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0586	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018664	-0.29%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0183	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.02019	-0.77%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.0985	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018156	-0.24%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1017	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017531	-0.12%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0609	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017257	-0.20%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0920	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016806	-0.28%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0519	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015901	-0.35%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0552	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017581	-0.45%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1020	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017683	-0.49%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0435	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017816	-0.50%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0022	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017765	-0.51%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0067	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017403	-0.47%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0380	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017185	-0.43%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0170	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018333	-0.53%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0574	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.01794	-0.47%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0365	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017175	-0.38%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0731	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016934	-0.39%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0195	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017736	-0.42%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0428	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018146	-0.51%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0353	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.01841	-0.62%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0004	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018252	-0.73%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0010	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017143	-0.74%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0533	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015944	-0.41%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0809	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.01477	-0.31%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0599	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015155	-0.33%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0210	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016858	-0.83%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0514	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015311	-0.45%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0830	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.01426	-0.35%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0744	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013493	-0.20%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0548	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017112	-1.09%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1969	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013035	-0.11%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2618	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014084	-0.22%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0807	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013595	-0.15%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0581	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013048	-0.09%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0648	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.01299	-0.08%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0146	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015086	-0.22%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1794	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015953	-0.26%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0664	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015575	-0.22%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0293	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016138	-0.23%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0554	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018957	-0.33%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1618	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019426	-0.33%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0027	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02083	-0.38%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0597	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020124	-0.30%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0315	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020684	-0.32%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0145	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020467	-0.31%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0146	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020883	-0.32%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0078	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.02019	-0.27%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0126	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019949	-0.23%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0094	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020968	-0.27%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0195	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022013	-0.35%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0287	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021288	-0.33%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0265	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020235	-0.19%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0419	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021193	-0.22%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0584	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022803	-0.27%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0984	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022856	-0.23%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0413	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023756	-0.31%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0784	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026647	-0.37%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0650	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026061	-0.32%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0067	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025206	-0.27%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0495	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026393	-0.33%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0414	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.02522	-0.24%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0406	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024097	-0.18%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0846	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.0255	-0.27%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0077	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029526	-0.50%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1091	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030161	-0.52%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0353	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030163	-0.58%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0319	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027366	-0.31%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0843	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026258	-0.20%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0297	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028467	-0.33%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0406	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029261	-0.37%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0042	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029511	-0.37%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0111	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030623	-0.38%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0471	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031882	-0.38%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0690	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030927	-0.27%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0120	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030274	-0.18%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0246	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030992	-0.11%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0784	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031455	-0.08%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0073	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032363	-0.11%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0103	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034581	-0.23%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0586	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037678	-0.46%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1720	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028136	+0.52%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3026	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034211	+0.12%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1562	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037609	-0.03%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0922	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.0368	+0.03%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041624	-0.44%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0559	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049413	-1.17%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1359	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.065119	-3.57%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2615	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038342	+0.24%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5605	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.03693	+0.44%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039329	+0.38%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0564	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044431	+0.16%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1057	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051386	-0.15%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1284	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054595	-0.21%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0626	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053348	-0.06%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055954	-0.08%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053549	-0.01%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0723	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053713	+0.01%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0039	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.06201	-0.14%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1529	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061071	-0.15%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0189	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.07395	-0.35%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1838	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076205	-0.39%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093505	-0.58%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1886	✓	1.00